Mile Mitrovic

Mile Mitrovic, Ognjen Kundacina, Aleksandr Lukashevich et al.

The Gaussian Process (GP) based Chance-Constrained Optimal Power Flow (CC-OPF) is an open-source Python code developed for solving economic dispatch (ED) problem in modern power grids. In recent years, integrating a significant amount of renewables into a power grid causes high fluctuations and thus brings a lot of uncertainty to power grid operations. This fact makes the conventional model-based CC-OPF problem non-convex and computationally complex to solve. The developed tool presents a novel data-driven approach based on the GP regression model for solving the CC-OPF problem with a trade-off between complexity and accuracy. The proposed approach and developed software can help system operators to effectively perform ED optimization in the presence of large uncertainties in the power grid.

Mile Mitrovic, Aleksandr Lukashevich, Petr Vorobev et al.

In recent years, electricity generation has been responsible for more than a quarter of the greenhouse gas emissions in the US. Integrating a significant amount of renewables into a power grid is probably the most accessible way to reduce carbon emissions from power grids and slow down climate change. Unfortunately, the most accessible renewable power sources, such as wind and solar, are highly fluctuating and thus bring a lot of uncertainty to power grid operations and challenge existing optimization and control policies. The chance-constrained alternating current (AC) optimal power flow (OPF) framework finds the minimum cost generation dispatch maintaining the power grid operations within security limits with a prescribed probability. Unfortunately, the AC-OPF problem's chance-constrained extension is non-convex, computationally challenging, and requires knowledge of system parameters and additional assumptions on the behavior of renewable distribution. Known linear and convex approximations to the above problems, though tractable, are too conservative for operational practice and do not consider uncertainty in system parameters. This paper presents an alternative data-driven approach based on Gaussian process (GP) regression to close this gap. The GP approach learns a simple yet non-convex data-driven approximation to the AC power flow equations that can incorporate uncertainty inputs. The latter is then used to determine the solution of CC-OPF efficiently, by accounting for both input and parameter uncertainty. The practical efficiency of the proposed approach using different approximations for GP-uncertainty propagation is illustrated over numerous IEEE test cases.

Sajjad Asefi, Mile Mitrovic, Dragan Ćetenović et al.

Power system state estimation is being faced with different types of anomalies. These might include bad data caused by gross measurement errors or communication system failures. Sudden changes in load or generation can be considered as anomaly depending on the implemented state estimation method. Additionally, considering power grid as a cyber physical system, state estimation becomes vulnerable to false data injection attacks. The existing methods for anomaly classification cannot accurately classify (discriminate between) the above mentioned three types of anomalies, especially when it comes to discrimination between sudden load changes and false data injection attacks. This paper presents a new algorithm for detecting anomaly presence, classifying the anomaly type and identifying the origin of the anomaly, i.e., measurements that contain gross errors in case of bad data, or buses associated with loads experiencing a sudden change, or state variables targeted by false data injection attack. The algorithm combines analytical and machine learning (ML) approaches. The first stage exploits an analytical approach to detect anomaly presence by combining $χ^2$-test and anomaly detection index. The second stage utilizes ML for classification of anomaly type and identification of its origin, with particular reference to discrimination between sudden load changes and false data injection attacks. The proposed ML based method is trained to be independent of the network configuration which eliminates retraining of the algorithm after network topology changes. The results obtained by implementing the proposed algorithm on IEEE 14 bus test system demonstrate the accuracy and effectiveness of the proposed algorithm.

Mile Mitrovic, Aleksandr Lukashevich, Petr Vorobev et al.

The alternating current (AC) chance-constrained optimal power flow (CC-OPF) problem addresses the economic efficiency of electricity generation and delivery under generation uncertainty. The latter is intrinsic to modern power grids because of the high amount of renewables. Despite its academic success, the AC CC-OPF problem is highly nonlinear and computationally demanding, which limits its practical impact. For improving the AC-OPF problem complexity/accuracy trade-off, the paper proposes a fast data-driven setup that uses the sparse and hybrid Gaussian processes (GP) framework to model the power flow equations with input uncertainty. We advocate the efficiency of the proposed approach by a numerical study over multiple IEEE test cases showing up to two times faster and more accurate solutions compared to the state-of-the-art methods.

Ognjen Kundacina, Gorana Gojic, Mile Mitrovic et al.

Electrical power systems are increasing in size, complexity, as well as dynamics due to the growing integration of renewable energy resources, which have sporadic power generation. This necessitates the development of near real-time power system algorithms, demanding lower computational complexity regarding the power system size. Considering the growing trend in the collection of historical measurement data and recent advances in the rapidly developing deep learning field, the main goal of this paper is to provide a review of recent deep learning-based power system monitoring and optimization algorithms. Electrical utilities can benefit from this review by re-implementing or enhancing the algorithms traditionally used in energy management systems (EMS) and distribution management systems (DMS).

Aleksey Lapin, Igor Hromov, Stanislav Chumakov et al.

AutoML has advanced in handling complex tasks using the integration of LLMs, yet its efficiency remains limited by dependence on specific underlying tools. In this paper, we introduce LightAutoDS-Tab, a multi-AutoML agentic system for tasks with tabular data, which combines an LLM-based code generation with several AutoML tools. Our approach improves the flexibility and robustness of pipeline design, outperforming state-of-the-art open-source solutions on several data science tasks from Kaggle. The code of LightAutoDS-Tab is available in the open repository https://github.com/sb-ai-lab/LADS

Daria Grushina, Kseniia Kuvshinova, Alina Kostromina et al.

Supervised classification for tabular data remains a core machine learning task, yet its reliance on large labeled datasets limits applicability in data-scarce domains. For such few-shot scenarios, specialized methods like TabPFN - a state-of-the-art Prior-Data Fitted Network - have set a high standard by leveraging large-scale synthetic pretraining, though they still require a context of labeled examples to function. In contrast, Large Language Models (LLMs) could offer a more flexible alternative via zero- and few-shot in-context learning directly from task descriptions, but their performance on tabular data remains inconsistent and poorly understood. We introduce LLMTabBench, a benchmark designed to systematically evaluate LLMs for tabular classification under data-scarce conditions. LLMTabBench explicitly probes (i) how LLM prior knowledge interacts with in-context information (task descriptions and few-shot examples), and (ii) how model performance scales with increasing data complexity, using both real-world and controlled synthetic datasets. Our findings include: (1) LLMs are highly competitive in zero-shot settings and can outperform alternative models, even when those models have access to few-shot examples; (2) incorporating additional few-shot examples can conflict with LLM prior knowledge, limiting or even degrading performance; and (3) there is a data complexity threshold beyond which LLMs' performance declines and few-shot examples become less effective. Together, these findings reveal fundamental constraints of in-context learning for tabular data and provide practical guidance for deploying LLMs in low-data regimes.

Mile Mitrovic

The thesis focuses on developing a data-driven algorithm, based on machine learning, to solve the stochastic alternating current (AC) chance-constrained (CC) Optimal Power Flow (OPF) problem. Although the AC CC-OPF problem has been successful in academic circles, it is highly nonlinear and computationally demanding, which limits its practical impact. The proposed approach aims to address this limitation and demonstrate its empirical efficiency through applications to multiple IEEE test cases. To solve the non-convex and computationally challenging CC AC-OPF problem, the proposed approach relies on a machine learning Gaussian process regression (GPR) model. The full Gaussian process (GP) approach is capable of learning a simple yet non-convex data-driven approximation to the AC power flow equations that can incorporate uncertain inputs. The proposed approach uses various approximations for GP-uncertainty propagation. The full GP CC-OPF approach exhibits highly competitive and promising results, outperforming the state-of-the-art sample-based chance constraint approaches. To further improve the robustness and complexity/accuracy trade-off of the full GP CC-OPF, a fast data-driven setup is proposed. This setup relies on the sparse and hybrid Gaussian processes (GP) framework to model the power flow equations with input uncertainty.