Mouloud Belbahri

Olivier Gandouet, Mouloud Belbahri, Armelle Jezequel et al.

In this study, ChatGPT is utilized to create streamlined models that generate easily interpretable features. These features are then used to evaluate financial outcomes from earnings calls. We detail a training approach that merges knowledge distillation and transfer learning, resulting in lightweight topic and sentiment classification models without significant loss in accuracy. These models are assessed through a dataset annotated by experts. The paper also delves into two practical case studies, highlighting how the generated features can be effectively utilized in quantitative investing scenarios.

Mouloud Belbahri, Olivier Gandouet, Alejandro Murua et al.

Uplift is a particular case of conditional treatment effect modeling. Such models deal with cause-and-effect inference for a specific factor, such as a marketing intervention or a medical treatment. In practice, these models are built on individual data from randomized clinical trials where the goal is to partition the participants into heterogeneous groups depending on the uplift. Most existing approaches are adaptations of random forests for the uplift case. Several split criteria have been proposed in the literature, all relying on maximizing heterogeneity. However, in practice, these approaches are prone to overfitting. In this work, we bring a new vision to uplift modeling. We propose a new loss function defined by leveraging a connection with the Bayesian interpretation of the relative risk. Our solution is developed for a specific twin neural network architecture allowing to jointly optimize the marginal probabilities of success for treated and control individuals. We show that this model is a generalization of the uplift logistic interaction model. We modify the stochastic gradient descent algorithm to allow for structured sparse solutions. This helps training our uplift models to a great extent. We show our proposed method is competitive with the state-of-the-art in simulation setting and on real data from large scale randomized experiments.

Belbahri Mouloud, Gandouet Olivier, Kazma Ghaith

Uplift is a particular case of individual treatment effect modeling. Such models deal with cause-and-effect inference for a specific factor, such as a marketing intervention. In practice, these models are built on customer data who purchased products or services to improve product marketing. Uplift is estimated using either i) conditional mean regression or ii) transformed outcome regression. Most existing approaches are adaptations of classification and regression trees for the uplift case. However, in practice, these conventional approaches are prone to overfitting. Here we propose a new method using neural networks. This representation allows to jointly optimize the difference in conditional means and the transformed outcome losses. As a consequence, the model not only estimates the uplift, but also ensures consistency in predicting the outcome. We focus on fully randomized experiments, which is the case of our data. We show our proposed method improves the state-of-the-art on synthetic and real data.

Mouloud Belbahri, Alejandro Murua, Olivier Gandouet et al.

Uplift models provide a solution to the problem of isolating the marketing effect of a campaign. For customer churn reduction, uplift models are used to identify the customers who are likely to respond positively to a retention activity only if targeted, and to avoid wasting resources on customers that are very likely to switch to another company. We introduce a Qini-based uplift regression model to analyze a large insurance company's retention marketing campaign. Our approach is based on logistic regression models. We show that a Qini-optimized uplift model acts as a regularizing factor for uplift, much as a penalized likelihood model does for regression. This results in interpretable parsimonious models with few relevant xplanatory variables. Our results show that performing Qini-based parameters estimation significantly improves the uplift models performance.

Eyyüb Sari, Mouloud Belbahri, Vahid Partovi Nia

Binary Neural Networks (BNNs) are difficult to train, and suffer from drop of accuracy. It appears in practice that BNNs fail to train in the absence of Batch Normalization (BatchNorm) layer. We find the main role of BatchNorm is to avoid exploding gradients in the case of BNNs. This finding suggests that the common initialization methods developed for full-precision networks are irrelevant to BNNs. We build a theoretical study on the role of BatchNorm in binary training, backed up by numerical experiments.

Ali Vahdat, Mouloud Belbahri, Vahid Partovi Nia

Erbium-doped fiber amplifier (EDFA) is an optical amplifier/repeater device used to boost the intensity of optical signals being carried through a fiber optic communication system. A highly accurate EDFA model is important because of its crucial role in optical network management and optimization. The input channels of an EDFA device are treated as either on or off, hence the input features are binary. Labeled training data is very expensive to collect for EDFA devices, therefore we devise an active learning strategy suitable for binary variables to overcome this issue. We propose to take advantage of sparse linear models to simplify the predictive model. This approach simultaneously improves prediction and accelerates active learning query generation. We show the performance of our proposed active learning strategies on simulated data and real EDFA data.

Mouloud Belbahri, Eyyüb Sari, Sajad Darabi et al.

Deep neural networks (DNNs) have demonstrated success for many supervised learning tasks, ranging from voice recognition, object detection, to image classification. However, their increasing complexity might yield poor generalization error that make them hard to be deployed on edge devices. Quantization is an effective approach to compress DNNs in order to meet these constraints. Using a quasiconvex base function in order to construct a binary quantizer helps training binary neural networks (BNNs) and adding noise to the input data or using a concrete regularization function helps to improve generalization error. Here we introduce foothill function, an infinitely differentiable quasiconvex function. This regularizer is flexible enough to deform towards $L_1$ and $L_2$ penalties. Foothill can be used as a binary quantizer, as a regularizer, or as a loss. In particular, we show this regularizer reduces the accuracy gap between BNNs and their full-precision counterpart for image classification on ImageNet.

Sajad Darabi, Mouloud Belbahri, Matthieu Courbariaux et al.

There is a significant performance gap between Binary Neural Networks (BNNs) and floating point Deep Neural Networks (DNNs). We propose to improve the binary training method, by introducing a new regularization function that encourages training weights around binary values. In addition, we add trainable scaling factors to our regularization functions. Additionally, an improved approximation of the derivative of the sign activation function in the backward computation. These modifications are based on linear operations that are easily implementable into the binary training framework. Experimental results on ImageNet shows our method outperforms the traditional BNN method and XNOR-net.