Debasis Dwibedy

Debasis Dwibedy, Avyay Nishtala, Pranathi Mukku et al.

Modern crop advisory systems exhibit a critical limitation termed \textit{economic blindness}. These systems primarily optimize for biological yield, often overlooking market price, which can lead farmers toward agronomically sound yet financially unviable decisions. In this paper, we develop Kisan AI, a smart profit-aware crop advisory system that resolves the above-mentioned limitation through a research-driven, full-stack application. We train the Random Forest(RF) classifier model on a nine-feature benchmark dataset, the standard seven agronomic attributes augmented with a \textit{market\_price} variable, and evaluated against eight baseline models, considering the evaluation matrices, such as, accuracy, precision, recall, F1-score, and Log Loss. The RF model achieves the highest accuracy of 99.3\% and the lowest Log Loss, confirming that the inclusion of market price as a predictive feature is both valid and impactful. We then implement the RF model within a multilingual progressive Web App alongside a Facebook Prophet six-month price forecasting engine and a MobileNetV2 disease detection module. A nine-language AI chatbot powered by the Anthropic Claude API unifies all modules into a single, mobile-installable platform accessible to farmers across India.

Thrinadh Pinjala, Aswin Ram Kumar Gannina, Debasis Dwibedy

Accurate prediction of road accidents remains challenging due to intertwined spatial, temporal, and contextual factors in urban traffic. We propose MSGAT-GRU, a multi-scale graph attention and recurrent model that jointly captures localized and long-range spatial dependencies while modeling sequential dynamics. Heterogeneous inputs, such as traffic flow, road attributes, weather, and points of interest, are systematically fused to enhance robustness and interpretability. On the Hybrid Beijing Accidents dataset, MSGAT-GRU achieves an RMSE of 0.334 and an F1-score of 0.878, consistently outperforming strong baselines. Cross-dataset evaluation on METR-LA under a 1-hour horizon further supports transferability, with RMSE of 6.48 (vs. 7.21 for the GMAN model) and comparable MAPE. Ablations indicate that three-hop spatial aggregation and a two-layer GRU offer the best accuracy-stability trade-off. These results position MSGAT-GRU as a scalable and generalizable model for intelligent transportation systems, providing interpretable signals that can inform proactive traffic management and road safety analytics.

Chunduru Rohith Kumar, PHD Surya Shanmuk, Prabhala Naga Srinivas et al.

The increasing complexity of cascading risks in urban systems necessitates robust, data-driven frameworks to model interdependencies across multiple domains. This study presents a foundational Bayesian network-based approach for analyzing cross-domain risk propagation across key urban domains, including air, water, electricity, agriculture, health, infrastructure, weather, and climate. Directed Acyclic Graphs (DAGs) are constructed using Bayesian Belief Networks (BBNs), with structure learning guided by Hill-Climbing search optimized through Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC) and K2 scoring. The framework is trained on a hybrid dataset that combines real-world urban indicators with synthetically generated data from Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs), and is further balanced using the Synthetic Minority Over-sampling Technique (SMOTE). Conditional Probability Tables (CPTs) derived from the learned structures enable interpretable probabilistic reasoning and quantify the likelihood of cascading failures. The results identify key intra- and inter-domain risk factors and demonstrate the framework's utility for proactive urban resilience planning. This work establishes a scalable, interpretable foundation for cascading risk assessment and serves as a basis for future empirical research in this emerging interdisciplinary field.