Yuanrong Wang

Antonio Briola, Yuanrong Wang, Silvia Bartolucci et al.

Deep learning methods have demonstrated outstanding performances on classification and regression tasks on homogeneous data types (e.g., image, audio, and text data). However, tabular data still pose a challenge, with classic machine learning approaches being often computationally cheaper and equally effective than increasingly complex deep learning architectures. The challenge arises from the fact that, in tabular data, the correlation among features is weaker than the one from spatial or semantic relationships in images or natural language, and the dependency structures need to be modeled without any prior information. In this work, we propose a novel deep learning architecture that exploits the data structural organization through topologically constrained network representations to gain relational information from sparse tabular inputs. The resulting model leverages the power of convolution and is centered on a limited number of concepts from network topology to guarantee: (i) a data-centric and deterministic building pipeline; (ii) a high level of interpretability over the inference process; and (iii) an adequate room for scalability. We test our model on 18 benchmark datasets against 5 classic machine learning and 3 deep learning models, demonstrating that our approach reaches state-of-the-art performances on these challenging datasets. The code to reproduce all our experiments is provided at https://github.com/FinancialComputingUCL/HomologicalCNN.

Yuanrong Wang, Tomaso Aste

We propose an end-to-end architecture for multivariate time-series prediction that integrates a spatial-temporal graph neural network with a matrix filtering module. This module generates filtered (inverse) correlation graphs from multivariate time series before inputting them into a GNN. In contrast with existing sparsification methods adopted in graph neural network, our model explicitly leverage time-series filtering to overcome the low signal-to-noise ratio typical of complex systems data. We present a set of experiments, where we predict future sales from a synthetic time-series sales dataset. The proposed spatial-temporal graph neural network displays superior performances with respect to baseline approaches, with no graphical information, and with fully connected, disconnected graphs and unfiltered graphs.

Yuanrong Wang, Antonio Briola, Tomaso Aste

The rapid progress of Artificial Intelligence research came with the development of increasingly complex deep learning models, leading to growing challenges in terms of computational complexity, energy efficiency and interpretability. In this study, we apply advanced network-based information filtering techniques to design a novel deep neural network unit characterized by a sparse higher-order graphical architecture built over the homological structure of underlying data. We demonstrate its effectiveness in two application domains which are traditionally challenging for deep learning: tabular data and time series regression problems. Results demonstrate the advantages of this novel design which can tie or overcome the results of state-of-the-art machine learning and deep learning models using only a fraction of parameters.

Danial Saef, Yuanrong Wang, Tomaso Aste

The increasing adoption of Digital Assets (DAs), such as Bitcoin (BTC), rises the need for accurate option pricing models. Yet, existing methodologies fail to cope with the volatile nature of the emerging DAs. Many models have been proposed to address the unorthodox market dynamics and frequent disruptions in the microstructure caused by the non-stationarity, and peculiar statistics, in DA markets. However, they are either prone to the curse of dimensionality, as additional complexity is required to employ traditional theories, or they overfit historical patterns that may never repeat. Instead, we leverage recent advances in market regime (MR) clustering with the Implied Stochastic Volatility Model (ISVM). Time-regime clustering is a temporal clustering method, that clusters the historic evolution of a market into different volatility periods accounting for non-stationarity. ISVM can incorporate investor expectations in each of the sentiment-driven periods by using implied volatility (IV) data. In this paper, we applied this integrated time-regime clustering and ISVM method (termed MR-ISVM) to high-frequency data on BTC options at the popular trading platform Deribit. We demonstrate that MR-ISVM contributes to overcome the burden of complex adaption to jumps in higher order characteristics of option pricing models. This allows us to price the market based on the expectations of its participants in an adaptive fashion.

Yuanrong Wang, Vignesh Raja Swaminathan, Nikita P. Granger et al.

In this paper, we discuss the Dutch power market, which is comprised of a day-ahead market and an intraday balancing market that operates like an auction. Due to fluctuations in power supply and demand, there is often an imbalance that leads to different prices in the two markets, providing an opportunity for arbitrage. To address this issue, we restructure the problem and propose a collaborative dual-agent reinforcement learning approach for this bi-level simulation and optimization of European power arbitrage trading. We also introduce two new implementations designed to incorporate domain-specific knowledge by imitating the trading behaviours of power traders. By utilizing reward engineering to imitate domain expertise, we are able to reform the reward system for the RL agent, which improves convergence during training and enhances overall performance. Additionally, the tranching of orders increases bidding success rates and significantly boosts profit and loss (P&L). Our study demonstrates that by leveraging domain expertise in a general learning problem, the performance can be improved substantially, and the final integrated approach leads to a three-fold improvement in cumulative P&L compared to the original agent. Furthermore, our methodology outperforms the highest benchmark policy by around 50% while maintaining efficient computational performance.

Hongyu Lin, Antonio Briola, Yuanrong Wang et al.

Identifying the structural priors that enable Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) to overcome the curse of dimensionality is a fundamental challenge in machine learning theory. Existing literature suggests that effective high-dimensional learning is driven by compositional sparsity, where target functions decompose into constituents supported on low-dimensional variable subsets. To investigate this hypothesis, we combine Information Filtering Networks (IFNs), which extract sparse dependency structures via constrained information maximisation, with Homological Neural Networks (HNNs), which map the inferred topology into fixed-wiring sparse neural graphs. We formalise the design principles underlying this construction and present an interpretable pipeline in which abstraction emerges through hierarchical composition. HNNs are orders of magnitude sparser than standard DNNs and require only minimal hyperparameter tuning. On synthetic tasks with known sparse hierarchies, HNNs recover the underlying compositional structure and remain stable in regimes where dense alternatives degrade as dimensionality increases. Across a broad suite of real-world datasets, HNNs consistently match or outperform dense baselines while using far fewer parameters, exhibiting lower variance and showing reduced sensitivity to hyperparameters.

Yuanrong Wang, Yingpeng Du

Recommender systems (RS) greatly influence users' consumption decisions, making them attractive targets for malicious shilling attacks that inject fake user profiles to manipulate recommendations. Existing shilling methods can generate effective and stealthy fake profiles when training data only contain rating matrix, but they lack comprehensive solutions for scenarios where side features are present and utilized by the recommender. To address this gap, we extend the Leg-UP framework by enhancing the generator architecture to incorporate side features, enabling the generation of side-feature-aware fake user profiles. Experiments on benchmarks show that our method achieves strong attack performance while maintaining stealthiness.