Caroline Muller

Dingling Yao, Andrea Polesello, Adeel Pervez et al.

While Vision Foundation Models (VFMs) excel at predictive tasks on satellite imagery, their performance can arise from visual correlations rather than underlying structural invariants, making even perception-based out-of-distribution accuracy a poor proxy for scientific utility. As a result, models may look correct without reasoning correctly, a discrepancy we term the Perception-Physics Paradox. To address this gap, we introduce scientific alignment as an implicit objective for representation learning in scientific domains. We study a principled, testable aspect of scientific alignment through structural isomorphism, which requires latent representations to uniquely identify physical systems up to a linear reparameterization. This perspective induces a hierarchy of necessary conditions and yields a systematic probing protocol for physical and causal interpretability. To operationalize this framework, we release TC-Bench, a global, reproducible benchmark dataset with an automated construction pipeline for tropical cyclone research, and show that current VFMs rely on visual shortcuts that collapse in intense regimes, indicating that scientific alignment does not arise as a natural byproduct of scaling alone.

Dingling Yao, Caroline Muller, Francesco Locatello

Causal representation learning promises to extend causal models to hidden causal variables from raw entangled measurements. However, most progress has focused on proving identifiability results in different settings, and we are not aware of any successful real-world application. At the same time, the field of dynamical systems benefited from deep learning and scaled to countless applications but does not allow parameter identification. In this paper, we draw a clear connection between the two and their key assumptions, allowing us to apply identifiable methods developed in causal representation learning to dynamical systems. At the same time, we can leverage scalable differentiable solvers developed for differential equations to build models that are both identifiable and practical. Overall, we learn explicitly controllable models that isolate the trajectory-specific parameters for further downstream tasks such as out-of-distribution classification or treatment effect estimation. We experiment with a wind simulator with partially known factors of variation. We also apply the resulting model to real-world climate data and successfully answer downstream causal questions in line with existing literature on climate change.