Spandan Das

Spandan Das, Pavithra Prabhakar

In this paper, we present a Bayesian method for statistical model checking (SMC) of probabilistic hyperproperties specified in the logic HyperPCTL* on discrete-time Markov chains (DTMCs). While SMC of HyperPCTL* using sequential probability ratio test (SPRT) has been explored before, we develop an alternative SMC algorithm based on Bayesian hypothesis testing. In comparison to PCTL*, verifying HyperPCTL* formulae is complex owing to their simultaneous interpretation on multiple paths of the DTMC. In addition, extending the bottom-up model-checking algorithm of the non-probabilistic setting is not straight forward due to the fact that SMC does not return exact answers to the satisfiability problems of subformulae, instead, it only returns correct answers with high-confidence. We propose a recursive algorithm for SMC of HyperPCTL* based on a modified Bayes' test that factors in the uncertainty in the recursive satisfiability results. We have implemented our algorithm in a Python toolbox, HyProVer, and compared our approach with the SPRT based SMC. Our experimental evaluation demonstrates that our Bayesian SMC algorithm performs better both in terms of the verification time and the number of samples required to deduce satisfiability of a given HyperPCTL* formula.

Spandan Das, Pavithra Prabhakar

In this paper, we consider the problem of probabilistic stability analysis of a subclass of Stochastic Hybrid Systems, namely, Polyhedral Probabilistic Hybrid Systems (PPHS), where the flow dynamics is given by a polyhedral inclusion, the discrete switching between modes happens probabilistically at the boundaries of their invariant regions and the continuous state is not reset during switching. We present an abstraction-based analysis framework that consists of constructing a finite Markov Decision Processes (MDP) such that verification of certain property on the finite MDP ensures the satisfaction of probabilistic stability on the PPHS. Further, we present a polynomial-time algorithm for verifying the corresponding property on the MDP. Our experimental analysis demonstrates the feasibility of the approach in successfully verifying probabilistic stability on PPHS of various dimensions and sizes.