Robert Shorten

Hugo Lhachemi, Robert Shorten

This paper deals with the establishment of Input-to-State Stability (ISS) estimates for infinite dimensional systems with respect to both boundary and distributed disturbances. First, a new approach is developed for the establishment of ISS estimates for a class of Riesz-spectral boundary control systems satisfying certain eigenvalue constraints. Second, a concept of weak solutions is introduced in order to relax the disturbances regularity assumptions required to ensure the existence of classical solutions. The proposed concept of weak solutions, that applies to a large class of boundary control systems which is not limited to the Riesz-spectral ones, provides a natural extension of the concept of both classical and mild solutions. Assuming that an ISS estimate holds true for classical solutions, we show the existence, the uniqueness, and the ISS property of the weak solutions.

Hugo Lhachemi, Christophe Prieur, Robert Shorten

This paper discusses the robustness of the constant-delay predictor feedback in the case of an uncertain time-varying input delay. Specifically, we study the stability of the closed-loop system when the predictor feedback is designed based on the knowledge of the nominal value of the time-varying delay. By resorting to an adequate Lyapunov-Krasovskii functional, we derive an LMI-based sufficient condition ensuring the exponential stability of the closed-loop system for small enough variations of the time-varying delay around its nominal value. These results are extended to the feedback stabilization of a class of diagonal infinite-dimensional boundary control systems in the presence of a time-varying delay in the boundary control input.

Yingqi Gu, Mingming Liu, Joe Naoum-Sawaya et al.

Electric Vehicles (EVs) and Plug-in Hybrid Electric Vehicles (PHEVs) are increasingly being seen as a means of mitigating the pressing concerns of traffic-related pollution. While hybrid vehicles are usually designed with the objective of minimising fuel consumption, in this paper we propose engine management strategies that also take into account environmental effects of the vehicles to pedestrians outside of the vehicles. Specifically, we present optimisation based engine energy management strategies for PHEVs, that attempt to minimise the environmental impact of pedestrians along the route of the vehicle, while taking account of route dependent uncertainties. We implement the proposed approach in a real PHEV, and evaluate the performance in a hardware-in-the-loop platform. A variety of simulation results are given to illustrate the efficacy of our proposed approach.

Hugo Lhachemi, David Saussié, Guchuan Zhu et al.

This note establishes the Exponential Input-to-State Stability (EISS) property for a clamped-free damped string with respect to distributed and boundary disturbances. While efficient methods for establishing ISS properties for distributed parameter systems with respect to distributed disturbances have been developed during the last decades, establishing ISS properties with respect to boundary disturbances remains challenging. One of the well-known methods for well-posedness analysis of systems with boundary inputs is the use of a lifting operator for transferring the boundary disturbance to a distributed one. However, the resulting distributed disturbance involves time derivatives of the boundary perturbation. Thus, the subsequent ISS estimate depends on its amplitude, and may not be expressed in the strict form of ISS properties. To solve this problem, we show for a clamped-free damped string equation that the projection of the original system trajectories in an adequate Riesz basis can be used to establish the desired EISS property.

Oisín Moran, Robert Gilmore, Rodrigo Ordóñez-Hurtado et al.

This paper proposes a design for a hybrid, city-wide urban navigation system for moving agents demanding dedicated assistance. The hybrid system combines GPS and vehicle-to-vehicle communication from an ad-hoc network of parked cars, and RFID from fixed infrastructure -such as smart traffic lights- to enable a safely navigable city. Applications for such a system include high-speed drone navigation and directing visually impaired pedestrians.

Shaun Sweeney, Rodrigo Ordonez-Hurtado, Francesco Pilla et al.

The effect of transport-related pollution on human health is fast becoming recognised as a major issue in cities worldwide. Cyclists, in particular, face great risks, as they typically are most exposed to tail-pipe emissions. Three avenues are being explored worldwide in the fight against urban pollution: (i) outright bans on polluting vehicles and embracing zero tailpipe emission vehicles; (ii) measuring air-quality as a means to better informing citizens of zones of higher pollution; and (iii) developing smart mobility devices that seek to minimize the effect of polluting devices on citizens as they transport goods and individuals in our cities. Following this latter direction, in this paper we present a new way to protect cyclists from the effect of urban pollution. Namely, by exploiting the actuation possibilities afforded by pedelecs or e-bikes (electric bikes), we design a cyber-physical system that mitigates the effect of urban pollution by indirectly controlling the breathing rate of cyclists in polluted areas. Results from a real device are presented to illustrate the efficacy of our system.

Syed Eqbal Alam, Robert Shorten, Fabian Wirth et al.

In several smart city applications, multiple resources must be allocated among competing agents that are coupled through such shared resources and are constrained --- either through limitations of communication infrastructure or privacy considerations. We propose a distributed algorithm to solve such distributed multi-resource allocation problems with no direct inter-agent communication. We do so by extending a recently introduced additive-increase multiplicative-decrease (AIMD) algorithm, which only uses very little communication between the system and agents. Namely, a control unit broadcasts a one-bit signal to agents whenever one of the allocated resources exceeds capacity. Agents then respond to this signal in a probabilistic manner. In the proposed algorithm, each agent makes decision of its resource demand locally and an agent is unaware of the resource allocation of other agents. In empirical results, we observe that the average allocations converge over time to optimal allocations.

Yingqi Gu, Mingming Liu, Matheus Souza et al.

Traffic-related pollution is becoming a major societal problem globally. Cyclists are particularly exposed to this form of pollution due to their proximity to vehicles' tailpipes. In a number of recent studies, it is been shown that exposure to this form of pollution eventually outweighs the cardio-vascular benefits associated with cycling. Hence during cycling there are conflicting effects that affect the cyclist. On the one hand, cycling effort gives rise to health benefits, whereas exposure to pollution clearly does not. Mathematically speaking, these conflicting effects give rise to convex utility functions that describe the health threats accrued to cyclists. More particularly, and roughly speaking, for a given level of background pollution, there is an optimal length of journey time that minimises the health risks to a cyclist. In this paper, we consider a group of cyclists that share a common route. This may be recreational cyclists, or cyclists that travel together from an origin to destination. Given this context, we ask the following question. What is the common speed at which the cyclists should travel, so that the overall health risks can be minimised? We formulate this as an optimisation problem with consensus constraints. More specifically, we design an intelligent speed advisory system that recommends a common speed to a group of cyclists taking into account different levels of fitness of the cycling group, or different levels of electric assist in the case that some or all cyclists use e-bikes (electric bikes). To do this, we extend a recently derived consensus result to the case of quasi-convex utility functions. Simulation studies in different scenarios demonstrate the efficacy of our proposed system.

Syed Eqbal Alam, Robert Shorten, Fabian Wirth et al.

Internet-of-Things (IoT) enables the development of sharing economy applications. In many sharing economy scenarios, agents both produce as well as consume a resource; we call them prosumers. A community of prosumers agrees to sell excess resource to another community in a prosumer market. In this chapter, we propose a control theoretic approach to regulate the number of prosumers in a prosumer community, where each prosumer has a cost function that is coupled through its time-averaged production and consumption of the resource. Furthermore, each prosumer runs its distributed algorithm and takes only binary decisions in a probabilistic way, whether to produce one unit of the resource or not and to consume one unit of the resource or not. In the proposed approach, prosumers do not explicitly exchange information with each other due to privacy reasons, but little exchange of information is required for feedback signals, broadcast by a central agency. In the proposed approach, prosumers achieve the optimal values asymptotically. Furthermore, the proposed approach is suitable to implement in an IoT context with minimal demands on infrastructure. We describe two use cases; community-based car sharing and collaborative energy storage for prosumer markets. We also present simulation results to check the efficacy of the algorithms.

Andrew Cullen, Pietro Ferraro, Christopher King et al.

Recently, Directed Acyclic Graph (DAG) based Distributed Ledgers have been proposed for various applications in the smart mobility domain [1]. While many application studies have been described in the literature, an open problem in the DLT community concerns the lack of mathematical models describing their behaviour, and their validation. Building on a previous work in [1], we present, in this paper, a fluid based approximation for the IOTA Foundation DAG based DLT that incorporates varying transaction delays. This extension, namely the inclusion of varying delays, is important for feedback control applications (such as transactive control [2]). Extensive simulations are presented to illustrate the efficacy of our approach.

Syed Eqbal Alam, Robert Shorten, Fabian Wirth et al.

We study a class of distributed optimization problems for multiple shared resource allocation in Internet-connected devices. We propose a derandomized version of an existing stochastic additive-increase and multiplicative-decrease (AIMD) algorithm. The proposed solution uses one bit feedback signal for each resource between the system and the Internet-connected devices and does not require inter-device communication. Additionally, the Internet-connected devices do not compromise their privacy and the solution does not dependent on the number of participating devices. In the system, each Internet-connected device has private cost functions which are strictly convex, twice continuously differentiable and increasing. We show empirically that the long-term average allocations of multiple shared resources converge to optimal allocations and the system achieves minimum social cost. Furthermore, we show that the proposed derandomized AIMD algorithm converges faster than the stochastic AIMD algorithm and both the approaches provide approximately same solutions.

Quan Zhou, Ramen Ghosh, Robert Shorten et al.

There has been much recent interest in the regulation of AI. We argue for a view based on civil-rights legislation, built on the notions of equal treatment and equal impact. In a closed-loop view of the AI system and its users, the equal treatment concerns one pass through the loop. Equal impact, in our view, concerns the long-run average behaviour across repeated interactions. In order to establish the existence of the average and its properties, one needs to study the ergodic properties of the closed-loop and its unique stationary measure.

Sarah Boufelja Y., Anthony Quinn, Martin Corless et al.

The goal of this paper is to introduce a new theoretical framework for Optimal Transport (OT), using the terminology and techniques of Fully Probabilistic Design (FPD). Optimal Transport is the canonical method for comparing probability measures and has been successfully applied in a wide range of areas (computer vision Rubner et al. [2004], computer graphics Solomon et al. [2015], natural language processing Kusner et al. [2015], etc.). However, we argue that the current OT framework suffers from two shortcomings: first, it is hard to induce generic constraints and probabilistic knowledge in the OT problem; second, the current formalism does not address the question of uncertainty in the marginals, lacking therefore the mechanisms to design robust solutions. By viewing the OT problem as the optimal design of a probability density function with marginal constraints, we prove that OT is an instance of the more generic FPD framework. In this new setting, we can furnish the OT framework with the necessary mechanisms for processing probabilistic constraints and deriving uncertainty quantifiers, hence establishing a new extended framework, called FPD-OT. Our main contribution in this paper is to establish the connection between OT and FPD, providing new theoretical insights for both. This will lay the foundations for the application of FPD-OT in a subsequent work, notably in processing more sophisticated knowledge constraints, as well as in designing robust solutions in the case of uncertain marginals.

Joe Naoum-Sawaya, Emanuele Crisostomi, Mingming Liu et al.

We discuss a recently introduced ECO-driving concept known as SPONGE in the context of Plug-in Hybrid Electric Buses (PHEB)'s.Examples are given to illustrate the benefits of this approach to ECO-driving. Finally, distributed algorithms to realise SPONGE are discussed, paying attention to the privacy implications of the underlying optimisation problems.

Julien Monteil, Giovanni Russo, Robert Shorten

This paper is concerned with the study of bidirectionally coupled platoon systems. The case considered is when the vehicles are heterogeneous and the coupling can be nonlinear and asymmetric. For such systems, a sufficient condition for $\mathcal{L}_{\infty}$ string stability is presented. The effectiveness of our approach is illustrated via a numerical example, where it is shown how our result can be recast as an optimization problem, allowing to design the control protocol for each vehicle independently on the other vehicles and hence leading to a bottom-up approach for the design of string stable systems able to track a time-varying reference speed.

Rodrigo Ordóñez-Hurtado, Giovanni Russo, Sam Sinnott et al.

Vehicles are becoming connected entities. As a result, a likely scenario is that such entities might be literally bombarded with information from a multitude of devices. In this context, a key challenging requirement for both connected and autonomous vehicles is that they will need to become cognitive bodies, able to parse information and use only the pieces of information that are relevant to the vehicle in the context of a given journey. In order to address this fundamental requirement, a decision engine is presented in this paper. The engine makes it possible for the vehicle to understand which pieces of information are really relevant, and subsequently to process only those pieces of information. In order to illustrate the key features of our system, we show that it is possible to build upon the engine to develop a distributed traffic management system, and then we validate such a system via both conventional (numerical and SUMO-based) simulations and a Hardware-in-the-Loop (HIL) platform. Both the conventional simulations and the HIL validation showed that the engine can be effectively used to design a distributed traffic management system.

Bill Power, Brian Mulkeene, Anthony D. Fagan et al.

Electric and hybrid vehicles are growing in popularity. While these vehicles produce less pollution, they also produce less audible noise, especially at lower speeds. This makes it harder for pedestrians and cyclists to detect an approaching vehicle. Thus, an additional system is required to detect electric and hybrid vehicles and alert pedestrians and cyclists of their whereabouts, especially while these vehicles are driving at low speeds in cities. This paper introduces one such method based on high frequency audio emissions that are present in EVs, which arise, for example, from the process of magnetostriction. Our method is tested experimentally using 4 different tests vehicles, and a preliminary EV detection algorithm is also presented.

Yingqing Chen, Anni Li, Christos G. Cassandras et al.

Dynamic pricing is commonly used to regulate congestion in shared service systems. This paper is motivated by the fact that when heterogeneaous user groups (in terms of price responsiveness) are present, conventional monotonic pricing can lead to unfair outcomes by disproportionately excluding price-elastic users, particularly under high or uncertain demand. The paper's contributions are twofold. First, we show that when fairness is imposed as a hard state constraint, the optimal (revenue maximizing) pricing policy is generally non-monotonic in demand. This structural result departs fundamentally from standard surge pricing rules and reveals that price reduction under heavy load may be necessary to maintain equitable access. Second, we address the problem that price elasticity among heterogeneous users is unobservable. To solve it, we develop a robust dynamic pricing and admission control framework that enforces resource capacity and fairness constraints for all user type distributions consistent with aggregate measurements. By integrating integral High Order Control Barrier Functions (iHOCBFs) with a worst case robust optimization framework, we obtain a controller that guarantees forward invariance of safety and fairness constraints while optimizing revenue. Numerical experiments demonstrate improved fairness and revenue performance relative to monotonic surge pricing policies.

Rodion Nazarov, Anthony Quinn, Robert Shorten et al.

Artificial intelligence (AI) systems often interact with multiple agents. The regulation of such AI systems often requires that {\em a priori\/} guarantees of fairness and robustness be satisfied. With stochastic models of agents' responses to the outputs of AI systems, such {\em a priori\/} guarantees require non-trivial reasoning about the corresponding stochastic systems. Here, we present an open-source PyTorch-based toolkit for the use of stochastic control techniques in modelling interconnections of AI systems and properties of their repeated uses. It models robustness and fairness desiderata in a closed-loop fashion, and provides {\em a priori\/} guarantees for these interconnections. The PyTorch-based toolkit removes much of the complexity associated with the provision of fairness guarantees for closed-loop models of multi-agent systems.

Haozhe Tian, Homayoun Hamedmoghadam, Robert Shorten et al.

Reinforcement Learning (RL) is a powerful method for controlling dynamic systems, but its learning mechanism can lead to unpredictable actions that undermine the safety of critical systems. Here, we propose RL with Adaptive Regularization (RL-AR), an algorithm that enables safe RL exploration by combining the RL policy with a policy regularizer that hard-codes the safety constraints. RL-AR performs policy combination via a "focus module," which determines the appropriate combination depending on the state--relying more on the safe policy regularizer for less-exploited states while allowing unbiased convergence for well-exploited states. In a series of critical control applications, we demonstrate that RL-AR not only ensures safety during training but also achieves a return competitive with the standards of model-free RL that disregards safety.

Abigail Langbridge, Anthony Quinn, Robert Shorten

With the advent of the AI Act and other regulations, there is now an urgent need for algorithms that repair unfairness in training data. In this paper, we define fairness in terms of conditional independence between protected attributes ($S$) and features ($X$), given unprotected attributes ($U$). We address the important setting in which torrents of archival data need to be repaired, using only a small proportion of these data, which are $S|U$-labelled (the research data). We use the latter to design optimal transport (OT)-based repair plans on interpolated supports. This allows {\em off-sample}, labelled, archival data to be repaired, subject to stationarity assumptions. It also significantly reduces the size of the supports of the OT plans, with correspondingly large savings in the cost of their design and of their {\em sequential\/} application to the off-sample data. We provide detailed experimental results with simulated and benchmark real data (the Adult data set). Our performance figures demonstrate effective repair -- in the sense of quenching conditional dependence -- of large quantities of off-sample, labelled (archival) data.

Rodion Nazarov, Allen Gehret, Robert Shorten et al.

Modulus of local continuity is used to evaluate the robustness of neural networks and fairness of their repeated uses in closed-loop models. Here, we revisit a connection between generalized derivatives and moduli of local continuity, and present a non-uniform stochastic sample approximation for moduli of local continuity. This is of importance in studying robustness of neural networks and fairness of their repeated uses.

Quan Zhou, Jakub Marecek, Robert Shorten

There is an increasing appreciation that one may need to consider multiple measures of fairness, e.g., considering multiple group and individual fairness notions. The relative weights of the fairness regularisers are a priori unknown, may be time varying, and need to be learned on the fly. We consider the learning of time-varying convexifications of multiple fairness measures with limited graph-structured feedback.

Haozhe Tian, Pietro Ferraro, Robert Shorten et al.

The application of message-passing Graph Neural Networks has been a breakthrough for important network science problems. However, the competitive performance often relies on using handcrafted structural features as inputs, which increases computational cost and introduces bias into the otherwise purely data-driven network representations. Here, we eliminate the need for handcrafted features by introducing an attention mechanism and utilizing message-iteration profiles, in addition to an effective algorithmic approach to generate a structurally diverse training set of small synthetic networks. Thereby, we build an expressive message-passing framework and use it to efficiently solve the NP-hard problem of Network Dismantling, virtually equivalent to vital node identification, with significant real-world applications. Trained solely on diversified synthetic networks, our proposed model -- MIND: Message Iteration Network Dismantler -- generalizes to large, unseen real networks with millions of nodes, outperforming state-of-the-art network dismantling methods. Increased efficiency and generalizability of the proposed model can be leveraged beyond dismantling in a range of complex network problems.

Lianna Zhao, Luigi Vigneri, Andrew Cullen et al.

Access control is a fundamental component of the design of distributed ledgers, influencing many aspects of their design, such as fairness, efficiency, traditional notions of network security, and adversarial attacks such as Denial-of-Service (DoS) attacks. In this work, we consider the security of a recently proposed access control protocol for Directed Acyclic Graph-based distributed ledgers. We present a number of attack scenarios and potential vulnerabilities of the protocol and introduce a number of additional features which enhance its resilience. Specifically, a blacklisting algorithm, which is based on a reputation-weighted threshold, is introduced to handle both spamming and multi-rate malicious attackers. The introduction of a solidification request component is also introduced to ensure the fairness and consistency of network in the presence of attacks. Finally, a timestamp component is also introduced to maintain the consistency of the network in the presence of multi-rate attackers. Simulations to illustrate the efficacy and robustness of the revised protocol are also described.

Jonathan P. Epperlein, Roman Overko, Sergiy Zhuk et al.

Reinforcement learning (RL) algorithms aim to learn optimal decisions in unknown environments through experience of taking actions and observing the rewards gained. In some cases, the environment is not influenced by the actions of the RL agent, in which case the problem can be modeled as a contextual multi-armed bandit and lightweight myopic algorithms can be employed. On the other hand, when the RL agent's actions affect the environment, the problem must be modeled as a Markov decision process and more complex RL algorithms are required which take the future effects of actions into account. Moreover, in practice, it is often unknown from the outset whether or not the agent's actions will impact the environment and it is therefore not possible to determine which RL algorithm is most fitting. In this work, we propose to avoid this difficult decision entirely and incorporate a choice mechanism into our RL framework. Rather than assuming a specific problem structure, we use a probabilistic structure estimation procedure based on a likelihood-ratio (LR) test to make a more informed selection of learning algorithm. We derive a sufficient condition under which myopic policies are optimal, present an LR test for this condition, and derive a bound on the regret of our framework. We provide examples of real-world scenarios where our framework is needed and provide extensive simulations to validate our approach.

Ammar Malik, Hugo Lhachemi, Robert Shorten

I-nteract is a cyber-physical system that enables real-time interaction with both virtual and real artifacts to design 3D models for additive manufacturing by leveraging on mixed reality technologies. This paper presents novel advances in the development of the interaction platform I-nteract to generate 3D models using both constructive solid geometry and artificial intelligence. The system also enables the user to adjust the dimensions of the 3D models with respect to their physical workspace. The effectiveness of the system is demonstrated by generating 3D models of furniture (e.g., chairs and tables) and fitting them into the physical space in a mixed reality environment.

Ammar Malik, Hugo Lhachemi, Robert Shorten

This paper presents I-nteract, a cyber-physical system that enables real-time interaction with real and virtual objects in a mixed augmented reality environment to design 3D models for additive manufacturing. The system has been developed using mixed reality technologies such as HoloLens, for augmenting visual feedback, and haptic gloves, for augmenting haptic force feedback. The efficacy of the system has been demonstrated by generating 3D model using a novel scanning method to 3D print a customized orthopedic cast for human arm, by estimating spring rates of compression springs, and by simulating interaction with a virtual spring using hand.

Roman Overko, Rodrigo H. Ordonez-Hurtado, Sergiy Zhuk et al.

We introduce a permissioned distributed ledger technology (DLT) design for crowdsourced smart mobility applications. This architecture is based on a directed acyclic graph architecture (similar to the IOTA tangle) and uses both Proof-of-Work and Proof-of-Position mechanisms to provide protection against spam attacks and malevolent actors. In addition to enabling individuals to retain ownership of their data and to monetize it, the architecture also is suitable for distributed privacy-preserving machine learning algorithms, is lightweight, and can be implemented in simple internet-of-things (IoT) devices. To demonstrate its efficacy, we apply this framework to reinforcement learning settings where a third party is interested in acquiring information from agents. In particular, one may be interested in sampling an unknown vehicular traffic flow in a city, using a DLT-type architecture and without perturbing the density, with the idea of realizing a set of virtual tokens as surrogates of real vehicles to explore geographical areas of interest. These tokens, whose authenticated position determines write access to the ledger, are thus used to emulate the probing actions of commanded (real) vehicles on a given planned route by "jumping" from a passing-by vehicle to another to complete the planned trajectory. Consequently, the environment stays unaffected (i.e., the autonomy of participating vehicles is not influenced by the algorithm), regardless of the number of emitted tokens. The design of such a DLT architecture is presented, and numerical results from large-scale simulations are provided to validate the proposed approach.

Andrew Cullen, Pietro Ferraro, Christopher King et al.

Directed Acyclic Graph (DAG) based Distributed Ledgers can be useful in a number of applications in the IoT domain. A distributed ledger should serve as an immutable and irreversible record of transactions, however, a DAG structure is a more complicated mathematical object than its blockchain counterparts, and as a result, providing guarantees of immutability and irreversibility is more involved. In this paper, we analyse a commonly discussed attack scenario known as a parasite chain attack for the IOTA Foundation DAG based ledger. We analyse the efficacy of IOTA core MCMC algorithm using a matrix model and present an extension which improves the ledger resistance to these attacks.

Hugo Lhachemi, Ammar Malik, Robert Shorten

Our objective in this paper is to review the application of feedback ideas in the area of additive manufacturing. Both the application of feedback control to the 3D printing process, and the application of feedback theory to enable users to interact better with machines, are reviewed. Where appropriate, opportunities for future work are highlighted.

Syed Eqbal Alam, Robert Shorten, Fabian Wirth et al.

We consider a control problem involving several agents coupled through multiple unit-demand resources. Such resources are indivisible, and each agent's consumption is modeled as a Bernoulli random variable. Controlling the number of such agents in a probabilistic manner, subject to capacity constraints, is ubiquitous in smart cities. For instance, such agents can be humans in a feedback loop---who respond to a price signal, or automated decision-support systems that strive toward system-level goals. In this paper, we consider both single feedback loop corresponding to a single resource and multiple coupled feedback loops corresponding to multiple resources consumed by the same population of agents. For example, when a network of devices allocates resources to deliver several services, these services are coupled through capacity constraints on the resources. We propose a new algorithm with fundamental guarantees of convergence and optimality, as well as present an example illustrating its performance.

Pietro Ferraro, Christopher King, Robert Shorten

Directed Acylic Graphs (DAGs) are emerging as an attractive alternative to traditional blockchain architectures for distributed ledger technology (DLT). In particular DAG ledgers with stochastic attachment mechanisms potentially offer many advantages over blockchain, including scalability and faster transaction speeds. However, the random nature of the attachment mechanism coupled with the requirement of protection against double-spend transactions leaves open the possibility that not all transactions will be eventually validated. Such transactions are said to be orphaned, and will never be validated. Our principal contribution is to propose a simple modification to the attachment mechanism for the Tangle (the IOTA DAG architecture). This modification ensures that all transactions are validated in finite time, and preserves essential features of the popular Monte-Carlo selection algorithm. In order to demonstrate these results we derive a fluid approximation for the Tangle (in the limit of infinite arrival rate) and prove that this fluid model exhibits the desired behavior. We also present simulations which validate the results for finite arrival rates.

Jonathan P. Epperlein, Julien Monteil, Mingming Liu et al.

We present here a general framework and a specific algorithm for predicting the destination, route, or more generally a pattern, of an ongoing journey, building on the recent work of [Y. Lassoued, J. Monteil, Y. Gu, G. Russo, R. Shorten, and M. Mevissen, "Hidden Markov model for route and destination prediction," in IEEE International Conference on Intelligent Transportation Systems, 2017]. In the presented framework, known journey patterns are modelled as stochastic processes, emitting the road segments visited during the journey, and the ongoing journey is predicted by updating the posterior probability of each journey pattern given the road segments visited so far. In this contribution, we use Markov chains as models for the journey patterns, and consider the prediction as final, once one of the posterior probabilities crosses a predefined threshold. Despite the simplicity of both, examples run on a synthetic dataset demonstrate high accuracy of the made predictions.

Pietro Ferraro, Christopher King, Robert Shorten

This paper describes how Distributed Ledger Technologies can be used to design a class of cyber-physical systems, as well as to enforce social contracts and to orchestrate the behaviour of agents trying to access a shared resource. The first part of the paper analyses the advantages and disadvantages of using Distributed Ledger Technologies architectures to implement certain control systems in an Internet of Things (IoT) setting, and then focuses on a specific type of DLT based on a Directed Acyclic Graph. In this setting we propose a set of delay differential equations to describe the dynamical behaviour of the Tangle, an IoT-inspired Directed Acyclic Graph designed for the cryptocurrency IOTA. The second part proposes an application of Distributed Ledger Technologies as a mechanism for dynamic deposit pricing, wherein the deposit of digital currency is used to orchestrate access to a network of shared resources. The pricing signal is used as a mechanism to enforce the desired level of compliance according to a predetermined set of rules. After presenting an illustrative example, we analyze the control system and provide sufficient conditions for the stability of the network.

Mingming Liu, Fabian Wirth, Martin Corless et al.

We consider a class of consensus systems driven by a nonlinear input. Such systems arise in a class of IoT applications. Our objective in this paper is to determine conditions under which a certain partially distributed system converges to a Lur'e-like scalar system, and to provide a rigorous proof of its stability. Conditions are derived for the non-uniform convergence and stability of such a system and an example is given of a speed advisory system where such a system arises in real engineering practice.

Jakub Marecek, Robert Shorten, Jia Yuan Yu

For vehicle sharing schemes, where drop-off positions are not fixed, we propose a pricing scheme, where the price depends in part on the distance between where a vehicle is being dropped off and where the closest shared vehicle is parked. Under certain restrictive assumptions, we show that this pricing leads to a socially optimal spread of the vehicles within a region.

Mingming Liu, Rodrigo H. Ordóñez-Hurtado, Fabian Wirth et al.

One of the key ideas to make Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITS) work effectively is to deploy advanced communication and cooperative control technologies among the vehicles and road infrastructures. In this spirit, we propose a consensus-based distributed speed advisory system that optimally determines a recommended common speed for a given area in order that the group emissions, or group battery consumptions, are minimised. Our algorithms achieve this in a privacy-aware manner; namely, individual vehicles do not reveal in-vehicle information to other vehicles or to infrastructure. A mobility simulator is used to illustrate the efficacy of the algorithm, and hardware-in-the-loop tests involving a real vehicle are given to illustrate user acceptability and ease of the deployment.

Jakub Marecek, Robert Shorten, Jia Yuan Yu

In many "smart city" applications, congestion arises in part due to the nature of signals received by individuals from a central authority. In the model of Marecek et al. [arXiv:1406.7639, Int. J. Control 88(10), 2015], each agent uses one out of multiple resources at each time instant. The per-use cost of a resource depends on the number of concurrent users. A central authority has up-to-date knowledge of the congestion across all resources and uses randomisation to provide a scalar or an interval for each resource at each time. In this paper, the interval to broadcast per resource is obtained by taking the minima and maxima of costs observed within a time window of length r, rather than by randomisation. We show that the resulting distribution of agents across resources also converges in distribution, under plausible assumptions about the evolution of the population over time.