Rui Araújo

Francisco Souza, Cristiano Premebida, Rui Araújo

This paper presents a novel feature selection method based on the conditional mutual information (CMI). The proposed High Order Conditional Mutual Information Maximization (HOCMIM) incorporates high order dependencies into the feature selection procedure and has a straightforward interpretation due to its bottom-up derivation. The HOCMIM is derived from the CMI's chain expansion and expressed as a maximization optimization problem. The maximization problem is solved using a greedy search procedure, which speeds up the entire feature selection process. The experiments are run on a set of benchmark datasets (20 in total). The HOCMIM is compared with eighteen state-of-the-art feature selection algorithms, from the results of two supervised learning classifiers (Support Vector Machine and K-Nearest Neighbor). The HOCMIM achieves the best results in terms of accuracy and shows to be faster than high order feature selection counterparts.

Andre Luiz Farias Novaes, Rui Alexandre de Matos Araujo, Jose Figueiredo et al.

Meter-level load forecasting is crucial for efficient energy management and power system planning for Smart Grids (SGs), in tasks associated with regulation, dispatching, scheduling, and unit commitment of power grids. Although a variety of algorithms have been proposed and applied on the field, more accurate and robust models are still required: the overall utility cost of operations in SGs increases 10 million currency units if the load forecasting error increases 1%, and the mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) in forecasting is still much higher than 1%. Transformers have become the new state-of-the-art in a variety of tasks, including the ones in computer vision, natural language processing and time series forecasting, surpassing alternative neural models such as convolutional and recurrent neural networks. In this letter, we present a new state-of-the-art Transformer-based algorithm for the meter-level load forecasting task, which has surpassed the former state-of-the-art, LSTM, and the traditional benchmark, vanilla RNN, in all experiments by a margin of at least 13% in MAPE.