Jesse Roberts

Kelsey Rainey, Jesse Roberts

This paper investigates rubric-aware, multitask fine-tuning of transformer models for automated grading of introductory C++ programming assignments, with the goal of producing grade predictions that better reflect instructor grading behavior than general-purpose LLMs. Using multi-semester CS1 data, student submissions are paired with numeric scores, letter-grade buckets, and assignment rubrics, then preprocessed into unified sequences for transformer input. A BART encoder-decoder with LoRA adaptation is trained to jointly predict numeric grades and grade buckets, augmented with a distribution-matching term to align predicted and empirical grade distributions, an evaluation dimension often overlooked in prior work. Experiments compare single-task and multitask training, hard one-hot versus fuzzy and boundary-based soft labels, and rubric versus no-rubric conditions, with additional T5 and pairwise-pretrained variants. Results show that multitask BART with boundary-based soft labels and rubric context achieves lower mean absolute error and stronger grade-distribution alignment than single-task, hard-label, or code-only baselines. Fully fine-tuned T5 further improves distributional fidelity, while pairwise pretraining reduces numeric error at the cost of minority-class sensitivity. Collectively, the findings suggest that calibration-aware, rubric-guided training produces more instructor-like grading behavior than accuracy-optimized alternatives.

Hunter Sawyer, Jesse Roberts, Simon Matei

Urban traffic simulation is a critical tool for infrastructure planning, including the placement of electric vehicle charging stations. However, realistic traffic simulation across many cities is hindered by two fundamental data limitations: detailed real-world traffic measurements are available for only a small fraction of road segments in most cities, and employment distribution data critical for modeling commuter traffic is rarely available at the resolution needed for simulation. This paper presents a genetic algorithm-based framework that directly addresses both limitations, calibrating urban traffic simulations from sparse road observations without requiring detailed job location data. Using the SUMO traffic simulation platform for Greensboro, North Carolina, our approach optimizes job distributions and gate-traffic parameters to align simulated traffic with a small sample of roads with known traffic-flow rates. We demonstrate that this approach produces simulated traffic that correlates well with real-world measurements, generalizes to road segments withheld from training, and produces job distributions that show promising qualitative agreement with census employment data despite never directly training on that employment data. This work demonstrates that realistic urban traffic simulation can be achieved from minimal real-world observations, offering a scalable and data-light approach to simulation calibration that reduces the barrier to deploying traffic models across diverse cities.

Kyle Moore, Jesse Roberts, Daryl Watson et al.

Uncertainty Quantification is a large and growing subfield of large language model behavioral analysis. Primarily to recognize and combat hallucination, the field has largely focused on measuring and improving calibration, the accuracy of uncertainty judgments to task efficacy. In this work, we investigate the relatively underexplored question of how similar large language model uncertainty is to human uncertainty. We investigate the presence and strength of human-similar uncertainty signals, deemed uncertainty alignment, in large language model overt behavior and internal activation patterns. We identify whether the models show evidence of simultaneous alignment and calibration on a variety of datasets covering both multiple choice and open ended factual recall. And we characterize the effect of instruct fine-tuning on each of these facets.

Jesse Roberts, Kyle Moore, Drew Wilenzick et al.

The recent proliferation of research into transformer based natural language processing has led to a number of studies which attempt to detect the presence of human-like cognitive behavior in the models. We contend that, as is true of human psychology, the investigation of cognitive behavior in language models must be conducted in an appropriate population of an appropriate size for the results to be meaningful. We leverage work in uncertainty estimation in a novel approach to efficiently construct experimental populations. The resultant tool, PopulationLM, has been made open source. We provide theoretical grounding in the uncertainty estimation literature and motivation from current cognitive work regarding language models. We discuss the methodological lessons from other scientific communities and attempt to demonstrate their application to two artificial population studies. Through population based experimentation we find that language models exhibit behavior consistent with typicality effects among categories highly represented in training. However, we find that language models don't tend to exhibit structural priming effects. Generally, our results show that single models tend to over estimate the presence of cognitive behaviors in neural models.

Jared Scott, Jesse Roberts

Human communication depends on implicit social signals where effectiveness is shaped by tone, context, and conversational norms rather than semantic content alone. We introduce KARMA (Karma-Aligned Reward Model Adaptation), a framework for LLM learning of context-sensitive conversational behavior from large-scale social interaction data. KARMA trains a reward model on Reddit conversations to predict response valuation conditioned on context, and uses this signal to fine-tune language models via reinforcement learning to improve performance on pragmatics-mediated tasks. Critically, we find that the highest performing reward model does not lead to better downstream model alignment: a reward model relying exclusively on conversational context was a worse predictor of Reddit karma but yielded substantially better downstream performance. We evaluate the effects of KARMA applied to a downstream model with and without direct exposure to the social media data. The resulting models show improved pragmatics-mediated behaviors with largely mitigated undesirable side effects. Factuality is consistently diminished by KARMA across all conditions, including when the downstream model has no direct exposure to Reddit data, suggesting that this tension is embedded in the reward signal itself rather than introduced by noisy training data.

Jesse Roberts, Kyle Moore, Thao Pham et al.

This paper evaluates whether large language models (LLMs) exhibit cognitive fan effects, similar to those discovered by Anderson in humans, after being pre-trained on human textual data. We conduct two sets of in-context recall experiments designed to elicit fan effects. Consistent with human results, we find that LLM recall uncertainty, measured via token probability, is influenced by the fan effect. Our results show that removing uncertainty disrupts the observed effect. The experiments suggest the fan effect is consistent whether the fan value is induced in-context or in the pre-training data. Finally, these findings provide in-silico evidence that fan effects and typicality are expressions of the same phenomena.

Ray Umphrey, Jesse Roberts, Lindsey Roberts

This study explores the potential of large language models (LLMs) for identifying and examining intertextual relationships within biblical, Koine Greek texts. By evaluating the performance of LLMs on various intertextuality scenarios the study demonstrates that these models can detect direct quotations, allusions, and echoes between texts. The LLM's ability to generate novel intertextual observations and connections highlights its potential to uncover new insights. However, the model also struggles with long query passages and the inclusion of false intertextual dependences, emphasizing the importance of expert evaluation. The expert-in-the-loop methodology presented offers a scalable approach for intertextual research into the complex web of intertextuality within and beyond the biblical corpus.

Kyle Moore, Jesse Roberts, Thao Pham et al.

Language models are known to absorb biases from their training data, leading to predictions driven by statistical regularities rather than semantic relevance. We investigate the impact of these biases on answer choice preferences in the Massive Multi-Task Language Understanding (MMLU) task. Our findings show that these biases are predictive of model preference and mirror human test-taking strategies even when chain of thought (CoT) reasoning is used. To address this issue, we introduce Counterfactual Prompting with Agnostically Primed CoT (APriCoT). We demonstrate that while Counterfactual Prompting with CoT alone is insufficient to mitigate bias, APriCoT effectively reduces the influence of base-rate probabilities while improving overall accuracy. Our results suggest that mitigating bias requires a slow thinking process which CoT alone may not provide as it tends to reinforce fast thinking model bias under some prompting methodologies. APriCoT is a step toward developing more robust and fair language models that can think slow.

Jesse Roberts, Lindsey Roberts, Alice Reed

The internet offers tremendous access to services, social connections, and needed products. However, to those without sufficient experience, engaging with businesses and friends across the internet can be daunting due to the ever present danger of scammers and thieves, to say nothing of the myriad of potential computer viruses. Like a forest rich with both edible and poisonous plants, those familiar with the norms inhabit it safely with ease while newcomers need a guide. However, reliance on a human digital guide can be taxing and often impractical. We propose and pilot a simple but unexplored idea: could an LLM provide the necessary support to help the elderly who are separated by the digital divide safely achieve digital autonomy?

Hunter Sawyer, Jesse Roberts, Kyle Moore

The field of psychology has long recognized a basic level of categorization that humans use when labeling visual stimuli, a term coined by Rosch in 1976. This level of categorization has been found to be used most frequently, to have higher information density, and to aid in visual language tasks with priming in humans. Here, we investigate basic-level categorization in two recently released, open-source vision-language models (VLMs). This paper demonstrates that Llama 3.2 Vision Instruct (11B) and Molmo 7B-D both prefer basic-level categorization consistent with human behavior. Moreover, the models' preferences are consistent with nuanced human behaviors like the biological versus non-biological basic level effects and the well-established expert basic level shift, further suggesting that VLMs acquire complex cognitive categorization behaviors from the human data on which they are trained. We also find our expert prompting methods demonstrate lower accuracy then our non-expert prompting methods, contradicting popular thought regarding the use of expertise prompting methods.

Jesse Roberts

In this paper, we bridge work in rock climbing route generation and grading into the computational creativity community. We provide the necessary background to situate that literature and demonstrate the domain's intellectual merit in the computational creativity community. We provide a guiding set of desiderata for future work in this area. We propose an approach to computational route grading. Finally, we identify important gaps in the literature and consider how they may be filled. This paper thus also serves as a pilot study, planting a flag for our ongoing research in this domain.

Jesse Roberts, Kyle Moore, Doug Fisher

In this paper, we evaluate whether LLMs learn to make human-like preference judgements in strategic scenarios as compared with known empirical results. Solar and Mistral are shown to exhibit stable value-based preference consistent with humans and exhibit human-like preference for cooperation in the prisoner's dilemma (including stake-size effect) and traveler's dilemma (including penalty-size effect). We establish a relationship between model size, value-based preference, and superficiality. Finally, results here show that models tending to be less brittle have relied on sliding window attention suggesting a potential link. Additionally, we contribute a novel method for constructing preference relations from arbitrary LLMs and support for a hypothesis regarding human behavior in the traveler's dilemma.

Micah Rentschler, Jesse Roberts

What if artificial intelligence could not only solve problems for which it was trained but also learn to teach itself to solve new problems (i.e., meta-learn)? In this study, we demonstrate that a pre-trained transformer fine-tuned with reinforcement learning over multiple episodes develops the ability to solve problems that it has never encountered before - an emergent ability called In-Context Reinforcement Learning (ICRL). This powerful meta-learner not only excels in solving unseen in-distribution environments with remarkable sample efficiency, but also shows strong performance in out-of-distribution environments. In addition, we show that it exhibits robustness to the quality of its training data, seamlessly stitches together behaviors from its context, and adapts to non-stationary environments. These behaviors demonstrate that an RL-trained transformer can iteratively improve upon its own solutions, making it an excellent general-purpose problem solver.

Kyle Moore, Jesse Roberts, Daryl Watson et al.

Recent work has sought to quantify large language model uncertainty to facilitate model control and modulate user trust. Previous works focus on measures of uncertainty that are theoretically grounded or reflect the average overt behavior of the model. In this work, we investigate a variety of uncertainty measures, in order to identify measures that correlate with human group-level uncertainty. We find that Bayesian measures and a variation on entropy measures, top-k entropy, tend to agree with human behavior as a function of model size. We find that some strong measures decrease in human-similarity with model size, but, by multiple linear regression, we find that combining multiple uncertainty measures provide comparable human-alignment with reduced size-dependency.

Yago Romano Matinez, Jesse Roberts

LLMs promise to assist humans -- not just by answering questions, but by offering useful guidance across a wide range of tasks. But how far does that assistance go? Can a large language model based agent actually help someone accomplish their goal as an active participant? We test this question by engaging an LLM in UNO, a turn-based card game, asking it not to win but instead help another player to do so. We built a tool that allows decoder-only LLMs to participate as agents within the RLCard game environment. These models receive full game-state information and respond using simple text prompts under two distinct prompting strategies. We evaluate models ranging from small (1B parameters) to large (70B parameters) and explore how model scale impacts performance. We find that while all models were able to successfully outperform a random baseline when playing UNO, few were able to significantly aid another player.

Kyle Moore, Jesse Roberts, Daryl Watson

There has been much recent interest in evaluating large language models for uncertainty calibration to facilitate model control and modulate user trust. Inference time uncertainty, which may provide a real-time signal to the model or external control modules, is particularly important for applying these concepts to improve LLM-user experience in practice. While many of the existing papers consider model calibration, comparatively little work has sought to evaluate how closely model uncertainty aligns to human uncertainty. In this work, we evaluate a collection of inference-time uncertainty measures, using both established metrics and novel variations, to determine how closely they align with both human group-level uncertainty and traditional notions of model calibration. We find that numerous measures show evidence of strong alignment to human uncertainty, even despite the lack of alignment to human answer preference. For those successful metrics, we find moderate to strong evidence of model calibration in terms of both correctness correlation and distributional analysis.

Micah Rentschler, Jesse Roberts

Ensuring sufficient exploration is a central challenge when training meta-reinforcement learning (meta-RL) agents to solve novel environments. Conventional solutions to the exploration-exploitation dilemma inject explicit incentives such as randomization, uncertainty bonuses, or intrinsic rewards to encourage exploration. In this work, we hypothesize that an agent trained solely to maximize a greedy (exploitation-only) objective can nonetheless exhibit emergent exploratory behavior, provided three conditions are met: (1) Recurring Environmental Structure, where the environment features repeatable regularities that allow past experience to inform future choices; (2) Agent Memory, enabling the agent to retain and utilize historical interaction data; and (3) Long-Horizon Credit Assignment, where learning propagates returns over a time frame sufficient for the delayed benefits of exploration to inform current decisions. Through experiments in stochastic multi-armed bandits and temporally extended gridworlds, we observe that, when both structure and memory are present, a policy trained on a strictly greedy objective exhibits information-seeking exploratory behavior. We further demonstrate, through controlled ablations, that emergent exploration vanishes if either environmental structure or agent memory is absent (Conditions 1 & 2). Surprisingly, removing long-horizon credit assignment (Condition 3) does not always prevent emergent exploration-a result we attribute to the pseudo-Thompson Sampling effect. These findings suggest that, under the right prerequisites, exploration and exploitation need not be treated as orthogonal objectives but can emerge from a unified reward-maximization process.

Kyle Moore, Jesse Roberts, Thao Pham et al.

Cloze testing is a common method for measuring the behavior of large language models on a number of benchmark tasks. Using the MMLU dataset, we show that the base-rate probability (BRP) differences across answer tokens are significant and affect task performance ie. guess A if uncertain. We find that counterfactual prompting does sufficiently mitigate the BRP effect. The BRP effect is found to have a similar effect to test taking strategies employed by humans leading to the conflation of task performance and test-taking ability. We propose the Nvr-X-MMLU task, a variation of MMLU, which helps to disambiguate test-taking ability from task performance and reports the latter.

Jesse Roberts

In this article we prove that the general transformer neural model undergirding modern large language models (LLMs) is Turing complete under reasonable assumptions. This is the first work to directly address the Turing completeness of the underlying technology employed in GPT-x as past work has focused on the more expressive, full auto-encoder transformer architecture. From this theoretical analysis, we show that the sparsity/compressibility of the word embedding is an important consideration for Turing completeness to hold. We also show that Transformers are are a variant of B machines studied by Hao Wang.