Guodong Wei

Deyun Zhang, Shijia Geng, Yang Zhou et al.

The artificial intelligence (AI) system has achieved expert-level performance in electrocardiogram (ECG) signal analysis. However, in underdeveloped countries or regions where the healthcare information system is imperfect, only paper ECGs can be provided. Analysis of real-world ECG images (photos or scans of paper ECGs) remains challenging due to complex environments or interference. In this study, we present an AI system developed to detect and screen cardiac abnormalities (CAs) from real-world ECG images. The system was evaluated on a large dataset of 52,357 patients from multiple regions and populations across the world. On the detection task, the AI system obtained area under the receiver operating curve (AUC) of 0.996 (hold-out test), 0.994 (external test 1), 0.984 (external test 2), and 0.979 (external test 3), respectively. Meanwhile, the detection results of AI system showed a strong correlation with the diagnosis of cardiologists (cardiologist 1 (R=0.794, p<1e-3), cardiologist 2 (R=0.812, p<1e-3)). On the screening task, the AI system achieved AUCs of 0.894 (hold-out test) and 0.850 (external test). The screening performance of the AI system was better than that of the cardiologists (AI system (0.846) vs. cardiologist 1 (0.520) vs. cardiologist 2 (0.480)). Our study demonstrates the feasibility of an accurate, objective, easy-to-use, fast, and low-cost AI system for CA detection and screening. The system has the potential to be used by healthcare professionals, caregivers, and general users to assess CAs based on real-world ECG images.

Wenrui Zhang, Xinxin Di, Guodong Wei et al.

With the development of deep learning-based methods, automated classification of electrocardiograms (ECGs) has recently gained much attention. Although the effectiveness of deep neural networks has been encouraging, the lack of information given by the outputs restricts clinicians' reexamination. If the uncertainty estimation comes along with the classification results, cardiologists can pay more attention to "uncertain" cases. Our study aims to classify ECGs with rejection based on data uncertainty and model uncertainty. We perform experiments on a real-world 12-lead ECG dataset. First, we estimate uncertainties using the Monte Carlo dropout for each classification prediction, based on our Bayesian neural network. Then, we accept predictions with uncertainty under a given threshold and provide "uncertain" cases for clinicians. Furthermore, we perform a simulation experiment using varying thresholds. Finally, with the help of a clinician, we conduct case studies to explain the results of large uncertainties and incorrect predictions with small uncertainties. The results show that correct predictions are more likely to have smaller uncertainties, and the performance on accepted predictions improves as the accepting ratio decreases (i.e. more rejections). Case studies also help explain why rejection can improve the performance. Our study helps neural networks produce more accurate results and provide information on uncertainties to better assist clinicians in the diagnosis process. It can also enable deep-learning-based ECG interpretation in clinical implementation.