Alejandro Penacho Riveiros

Alejandro Penacho Riveiros, Nicola Bastianello, Matthieu Barreau

In this paper we address the problem of detecting differences or anomalies in a dynamical system, based on historical data of nominal operations. This problem encompasses quality control, where newly manufactured systems are tested against desired nominal operations, and the detection of changes in the dynamics due to degradation or repairs. We propose a model free approach based on Gaussian processes (GPs). The idea is to train offline a GP based on nominal data, which is then deployed online to detect whether measurements of the system state are compatible with nominal operations or if they deviate. Detecting this deviation is made more challenging by the presence of process and measurement noise, which might obfuscate deviations in the dynamics. The detection then is based on a threshold that ensures a specific false positive rate. We showcase the promising performance of the proposed method with two systems, and highlight several interesting future research questions.

Alejandro Penacho Riveiros, Nicola Bastianello, Karl H. Johansson et al.

As the number of satellites in orbit has increased exponentially in recent years, ensuring their correct functionality has started to require automated methods to decrease human workload. In this work, we present an algorithm that analyzes the on-board data related to friction from the Reaction Wheel Assemblies (RWA) of a satellite and determines their operating status, distinguishing between nominal status and several possible anomalies that require preventive measures to be taken. The algorithm first uses a model based on hybrid systems theory to extract the information relevant to the problem. The extraction process combines techniques in changepoint detection, dynamic programming, and maximum likelihood in a structured way. A classifier then uses the extracted information to determine the status of the RWA. This last classifier has been previously trained with a labelled dataset produced by a high-fidelity simulator, comprised for the most part of nominal data. The final algorithm combines model-based and data-based approaches to obtain satisfactory results with an accuracy around 95%.

Alejandro Penacho Riveiros, Matthieu Barreau, Nicola Bastianello

Industrial control applications require detecting system anomalies as accurately and quickly as possible to enable prompt maintenance. In this context, it is common to consider several possible plant models, each linked to a different anomaly. The log-likelihood ratio method can then be used to identify the most accurate model and thereby classify which anomaly, if any, has occurred. Although the method has been applied to a wide variety of systems, there is no formal analysis of what makes anomalies more or less prone to detection. In this paper, we investigate a real-time anomaly detector based on the log-likelihood ratio and provide a theoretical characterization of its error rate when it is applied to linear Gaussian systems. We showcase the performance of this algorithm and the characterization obtained, and demonstrate how the latter can be leveraged for observer design.

Delphine Longuet, Amira Elouazzani, Alejandro Penacho Riveiros et al.

Failures in satellite components are costly and challenging to address, often requiring significant human and material resources. Embedding a hybrid AI-based system for fault detection directly in the satellite can greatly reduce this burden by allowing earlier detection. However, such systems must operate with extremely high reliability. To ensure this level of dependability, we employ the formal verification tool Marabou to verify the local robustness of the neural network models used in the AI-based algorithm. This tool allows us to quantify how much a model's input can be perturbed before its output behavior becomes unstable, thereby improving trustworthiness with respect to its performance under uncertainty.