Bibi Groot

Kirk Vanacore, Danielle R Thomas, Digory Smith et al.

This paper introduces a scalable causal inference framework for estimating the immediate, session-level effects of on-demand human tutoring embedded within adaptive learning systems. Because students seek assistance at moments of difficulty, conventional evaluation is confounded by self-selection and time-varying knowledge states. We address these challenges by integrating principled analytic sample construction with Deep Knowledge Tracing (DKT) to estimate latent mastery, followed by doubly robust estimation using Causal Forests. Applying this framework to over 5,000 middle-school mathematics tutoring sessions, we find that requesting human tutoring increases next-problem correctness by approximately 4 percentage points and accuracy on the subsequent skill encountered by approximately 3 percentage points, suggesting that the effects of tutoring have proximal transfer across knowledge components. This effect is robust to various forms of model specification and potential unmeasured confounders. Notably, these effects exhibit significant heterogeneity across sessions and students, with session-level effect estimates ranging from $-20.25pp$ to $+19.91pp$. Our follow-up analyses suggest that typical behavioral indicators, such as student talk time, do not consistently correlate with high-impact sessions. Furthermore, treatment effects are larger for students with lower prior mastery and slightly smaller for low-SES students. This framework offers a rigorous, practical template for the evaluation and continuous improvement of on-demand human tutoring, with direct applications for emerging AI tutoring systems.

LearnLM Team, Eedi, Albert Wang et al.

One-to-one tutoring is widely considered the gold standard for personalized education, yet it remains prohibitively expensive to scale. To evaluate whether generative AI might help expand access to this resource, we conducted an exploratory randomized controlled trial (RCT) with $N = 165$ students across five UK secondary schools. We integrated LearnLM -- a generative AI model fine-tuned for pedagogy -- into chat-based tutoring sessions on the Eedi mathematics platform. In the RCT, expert tutors directly supervised LearnLM, with the remit to revise each message it drafted until they would be satisfied sending it themselves. LearnLM proved to be a reliable source of pedagogical instruction, with supervising tutors approving 76.4% of its drafted messages making zero or minimal edits (i.e., changing only one or two characters). This translated into effective tutoring support: students guided by LearnLM performed at least as well as students chatting with human tutors on each learning outcome we measured. In fact, students who received support from LearnLM were 5.5 percentage points more likely to solve novel problems on subsequent topics (with a success rate of 66.2%) than those who received tutoring from human tutors alone (rate of 60.7%). In interviews, tutors highlighted LearnLM's strength at drafting Socratic questions that encouraged deeper reflection from students, with multiple tutors even reporting that they learned new pedagogical practices from the model. Overall, our results suggest that pedagogically fine-tuned AI tutoring systems may play a promising role in delivering effective, individualized learning support at scale.