Alejandro Rodriguez Dominguez

Alejandro Rodriguez Dominguez

Large language models are trained primarily on human-generated data and feedback, yet they exhibit persistent errors arising from annotation noise, subjective preferences, and the limited expressive bandwidth of natural language. We argue that these limitations reflect structural properties of the supervision channel rather than model scale or optimization. We develop a unified theory showing that whenever the human supervision channel is not sufficient for a latent evaluation target, it acts as an information-reducing channel that induces a strictly positive excess-risk floor for any learner dominated by it. We formalize this Human-Bounded Intelligence limit and show that across six complementary frameworks (operator theory, PAC-Bayes, information theory, causal inference, category theory, and game-theoretic analyses of reinforcement learning from human feedback), non-sufficiency yields strictly positive lower bounds arising from the same structural decomposition into annotation noise, preference distortion, and semantic compression. The theory explains why scaling alone cannot eliminate persistent human-aligned errors and characterizes conditions under which auxiliary non-human signals (e.g., retrieval, program execution, tools) increase effective supervision capacity and collapse the floor by restoring information about the latent target. Experiments on real preference data, synthetic known-target tasks, and externally verifiable benchmarks confirm the predicted structural signatures: human-only supervision exhibits a persistent floor, while sufficiently informative auxiliary channels strictly reduce or eliminate excess error.

Alejandro Rodriguez Dominguez, Muhammad Shahzad, Xia Hong

Existing approaches to predictive uncertainty rely either on multi-hypothesis prediction, which promotes diversity but lacks principled aggregation, or on ensemble learning, which improves accuracy but rarely captures the structured ambiguity. This implicitly means that a unified framework consistent with the loss geometry remains absent. The Structured Basis Function Network addresses this gap by linking multi-hypothesis prediction and ensembling through centroidal aggregation induced by Bregman divergences. The formulation applies across regression and classification by aligning predictions with the geometry of the loss, and supports both a closed-form least-squares estimator and a gradient-based procedure for general objectives. A tunable diversity mechanism provides parametric control of the bias-variance-diversity trade-off, connecting multi-hypothesis generalisation with loss-aware ensemble aggregation. Experiments validate this relation and use the mechanism to study the complexity-capacity-diversity trade-off across datasets of increasing difficulty with deep-learning predictors.

Alejandro Rodriguez Dominguez, Muhammad Shahzad, Xia Hong

Multi-modal problems can be effectively addressed using multiple hypothesis frameworks, but integrating these frameworks into learning models poses significant challenges. This paper introduces a Structured Radial Basis Function Network (s-RBFN) as an ensemble of multiple hypothesis predictors for regression. During the training of the predictors, first the centroidal Voronoi tessellations are formed based on their losses and the true labels, representing geometrically the set of multiple hypotheses. Then, the trained predictors are used to compute a structured dataset with their predictions, including centers and scales for the basis functions. A radial basis function network, with each basis function focused on a particular hypothesis, is subsequently trained using this structured dataset for multiple hypotheses prediction. The s-RBFN is designed to train efficiently while controlling diversity in ensemble learning parametrically. The least-squares approach for training the structured ensemble model provides a closed-form solution for multiple hypotheses and structured predictions. During the formation of the structured dataset, a parameter is employed to avoid mode collapse by controlling tessellation shapes. This parameter provides a mechanism to balance diversity and generalization performance for the s-RBFN. The empirical validation on two multivariate prediction datasets-air quality and energy appliance predictions-demonstrates the superior generalization performance and computational efficiency of the structured ensemble model compared to other models and their single-hypothesis counterparts.