Marco Hoffmann

Marco Hoffmann, Hans Hasse, Fabian Jirasek

Although the pure component vapor pressure is one of the most important properties for designing chemical processes, no broadly applicable, sufficiently accurate, and open-source prediction method has been available. To overcome this, we have developed GRAPPA - a hybrid graph neural network for predicting vapor pressures of pure components. GRAPPA enables the prediction of the vapor pressure curve of basically any organic molecule, requiring only the molecular structure as input. The new model consists of three parts: A graph attention network for the message passing step, a pooling function that captures long-range interactions, and a prediction head that yields the component-specific parameters of the Antoine equation, from which the vapor pressure can readily and consistently be calculated for any temperature. We have trained and evaluated GRAPPA on experimental vapor pressure data of almost 25,000 pure components. We found excellent prediction accuracy for unseen components, outperforming state-of-the-art group contribution methods and other machine learning approaches in applicability and accuracy. The trained model and its code are fully disclosed, and GRAPPA is directly applicable via the interactive website ml-prop.mv.rptu.de.

Marco Hoffmann, Thomas Specht, Nicolas Hayer et al.

Machine learning (ML) enables the development of powerful methods for predicting thermophysical properties with unprecedented scope and accuracy. However, technical barriers like cumbersome implementation in established workflows hinder their application in practice. With MLPROP, we provide an interactive web interface for directly applying advanced ML methods to predict thermophysical properties without requiring ML expertise, thereby substantially increasing the accessibility of novel models. MLPROP currently includes models for predicting the vapor pressure of pure components (GRAPPA), activity coefficients and vapor-liquid equilibria in binary mixtures (UNIFAC 2.0, mod. UNIFAC 2.0, and HANNA), and a routine to fit NRTL parameters to the model predictions. MLPROP will be continuously updated and extended and is accessible free of charge via https://ml-prop.mv.rptu.de/. MLPROP removes the barrier to learning and experimenting with new ML-based methods for predicting thermophysical properties. The source code of all models is available as open source, which allows integration into existing workflows.

Marco Hoffmann, Thomas Specht, Quirin Göttl et al.

The excess Gibbs energy plays a central role in chemical engineering and chemistry, providing a basis for modeling the thermodynamic properties of liquid mixtures. Predicting the excess Gibbs energy of multi-component mixtures solely from the molecular structures of their components is a long-standing challenge. In this work, we address this challenge by integrating physical laws as hard constraints within a flexible neural network. The resulting model, HANNA, was trained end-to-end on an extensive experimental dataset for binary mixtures from the Dortmund Data Bank, guaranteeing thermodynamically consistent predictions. A novel surrogate solver developed in this work enabled the inclusion of liquid-liquid equilibrium data in the training process. Furthermore, a geometric projection method was applied to enable robust extrapolations to multi-component mixtures, without requiring additional parameters. We demonstrate that HANNA delivers excellent predictions, clearly outperforming state-of-the-art benchmark methods in accuracy and scope. The trained model and corresponding code are openly available, and an interactive interface is provided on our website, MLPROP.

Rebecca Loubet, Pascal Zittlau, Marco Hoffmann et al.

In this short note, we report and analyze a striking event: OpenAI's large language model o3 has outwitted all students in a university exam on thermodynamics. The thermodynamics exam is a difficult hurdle for most students, where they must show that they have mastered the fundamentals of this important topic. Consequently, the failure rates are very high, A-grades are rare - and they are considered proof of the students' exceptional intellectual abilities. This is because pattern learning does not help in the exam. The problems can only be solved by knowledgeably and creatively combining principles of thermodynamics. We have given our latest thermodynamics exam not only to the students but also to OpenAI's most powerful reasoning model, o3, and have assessed the answers of o3 exactly the same way as those of the students. In zero-shot mode, the model o3 solved all problems correctly, better than all students who took the exam; its overall score was in the range of the best scores we have seen in more than 10,000 similar exams since 1985. This is a turning point: machines now excel in complex tasks, usually taken as proof of human intellectual capabilities. We discuss the consequences this has for the work of engineers and the education of future engineers.