Zubair Khalid

Muhammad Abdul Rahman, Muhammad Aamir Basheer, Zubair Khalid et al.

Logistic hubs play a pivotal role in the last-mile delivery distance; even a slight increment in distance negatively impacts the business of the e-commerce industry while also increasing its carbon footprint. The growth of this industry, particularly after Covid-19, has further intensified the need for optimized allocation of resources in an urban environment. In this study, we use a hybrid approach to optimize the placement of logistic hubs. The approach sequentially employs different techniques. Initially, delivery points are clustered using K-Means in relation to their spatial locations. The clustering method utilizes road network distances as opposed to Euclidean distances. Non-road network-based approaches have been avoided since they lead to erroneous and misleading results. Finally, hubs are located using the P-Median method. The P-Median method also incorporates the number of deliveries and population as weights. Real-world delivery data from Muller and Phipps (M&P) is used to demonstrate the effectiveness of the approach. Serving deliveries from the optimal hub locations results in the saving of 815 (10%) meters per delivery.

Sheraz Hassan, Muhammad Tahir, Momin Uppal et al.

Accurately predicting the demand for ride-hailing services can result in significant benefits such as more effective surge pricing strategies, improved driver positioning, and enhanced customer service. By understanding the demand fluctuations, companies can anticipate and respond to consumer requirements more efficiently, leading to increased efficiency and revenue. However, forecasting demand in a particular region can be challenging, as it is influenced by several external factors, such as time of day, weather conditions, and location. Thus, understanding and evaluating these factors is essential for predicting consumer behavior and adapting to their needs effectively. Grid-based deep learning approaches have proven effective in predicting regional taxi demand. However, these models have limitations in integrating external factors in their spatiotemporal complexity and maintaining high accuracy over extended time horizons without continuous retraining, which makes them less suitable for practical and commercial applications. To address these limitations, this paper introduces STEF-DHNet, a demand prediction model that combines Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) to integrate external features as spatiotemporal information and capture their influence on ride-hailing demand. The proposed model is evaluated using a long-term performance metric called the rolling error, which assesses its ability to maintain high accuracy over long periods without retraining. The results show that STEF-DHNet outperforms existing state-of-the-art methods on three diverse datasets, demonstrating its potential for practical use in real-world scenarios.

Osama Ahmad, Lukas Wesemann, Fabian Waschkowski et al.

This paper focuses on spatiotemporal (ST) traffic prediction using graph neural networks (GNNs). Given that ST data comprises non-stationary and complex temporal patterns, interpreting and predicting such trends is inherently challenging. Representing ST data in decomposed modes helps infer underlying behavior and assess the impact of noise on predictive performance. We propose a framework that decomposes ST data into interpretable modes using variational mode decomposition (VMD) and processes them through a neural network for future state forecasting. Unlike existing graph-based traffic forecasters that operate directly on raw or aggregated time series, the proposed hybrid approach, termed the Variational Mode Graph Convolutional Network (VMGCN), first decomposes non-stationary signals into interpretable variational modes by determining the optimal mode count via reconstruction-loss minimization and then learns both intramode and cross-mode spatiotemporal dependencies through a novel attention-augmented GCN. Additionally, we analyze the significance of each mode and the effect of bandwidth constraints on multi-horizon traffic flow predictions. The proposed two-stage design yields significant accuracy gains while providing frequency-level interpretability with demonstrated superior performance on the LargeST dataset for both short-term and long-term forecasting tasks. The implementation is publicly available on https://github.com/OsamaAhmad369/VMGCN.

Muhammad Abdul Rahman, Muhammad Ahmad Waseem, Zubair Khalid et al.

Any policy-level decision-making procedure and academic research involving the optimum use of resources for development and planning initiatives depends on accurate population density statistics. The current cutting-edge datasets offered by WorldPop and Meta do not succeed in achieving this aim for developing nations like Pakistan; the inputs to their algorithms provide flawed estimates that fail to capture the spatial and land-use dynamics. In order to precisely estimate population counts at a resolution of 30 meters by 30 meters, we use an accurate built settlement mask obtained using deep segmentation networks and satellite imagery. The Points of Interest (POI) data is also used to exclude non-residential areas.

Shoaib Imran, Muhammad Tahir, Zubair Khalid et al.

Low-rank and sparse decomposition based methods find their use in many applications involving background modeling such as clutter suppression and object tracking. While Robust Principal Component Analysis (RPCA) has achieved great success in performing this task, it can take hundreds of iterations to converge and its performance decreases in the presence of different phenomena such as occlusion, jitter and fast motion. The recently proposed deep unfolded networks, on the other hand, have demonstrated better accuracy and improved convergence over both their iterative equivalents as well as over other neural network architectures. In this work, we propose a novel deep unfolded spatiotemporal RPCA (DUST-RPCA) network, which explicitly takes advantage of the spatial and temporal continuity in the low-rank component. Our experimental results on the moving MNIST dataset indicate that DUST-RPCA gives better accuracy when compared with the existing state of the art deep unfolded RPCA networks.

Muhammad Ahmad Waseem, Muhammad Tahir, Zubair Khalid et al.

This paper considers the problem of extracting building footprints from satellite imagery -- a task that is critical for many urban planning and decision-making applications. While recent advancements in deep learning have made great strides in automated detection of building footprints, state-of-the-art methods available in existing literature often generate erroneous results for areas with densely connected buildings. Moreover, these methods do not incorporate the context of neighborhood images during training thus generally resulting in poor performance at image boundaries. In light of these gaps, we propose a novel Tuning Fork Network (TFNet) design for deep semantic segmentation that not only performs well for widely-spaced building but also has good performance for buildings that are closely packed together. The novelty of TFNet architecture lies in a a single encoder followed by two parallel decoders to separately reconstruct the building footprint and the building edge. In addition, the TFNet design is coupled with a novel methodology of incorporating neighborhood information at the tile boundaries during the training process. This methodology further improves performance, especially at the tile boundaries. For performance comparisons, we utilize the SpaceNet2 and WHU datasets, as well as a dataset from an area in Lahore, Pakistan that captures closely connected buildings. For all three datasets, the proposed methodology is found to significantly outperform benchmark methods.

Osama Ahmad, Zubair Khalid

This paper focuses on improving the robustness of spatiotemporal long-term prediction using a variational mode graph convolutional network (VMGCN) by introducing 3D channel attention. The deep learning network for this task relies on historical data inputs, yet real-time data can be corrupted by sensor noise, altering its distribution. We model this noise as independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) Gaussian noise and incorporate it into the LargeST traffic volume dataset, resulting in data with both inherent and additive noise components. Our approach involves decomposing the corrupted signal into modes using variational mode decomposition, followed by feeding the data into a learning pipeline for prediction. We integrate a 3D attention mechanism encompassing spatial, temporal, and channel attention. The spatial and temporal attention modules learn their respective correlations, while the channel attention mechanism is used to suppress noise and highlight the significant modes in the spatiotemporal signals. Additionally, a learnable soft thresholding method is implemented to exclude unimportant modes from the feature vector, and a feature reduction method based on the signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) is applied. We compare the performance of our approach against baseline models, demonstrating that our method achieves superior long-term prediction accuracy, robustness to noise, and improved performance with mode truncation compared to the baseline models. The code of the paper is available at https://github.com/OsamaAhmad369/VMGCN.

Usman Nazir, Muhammad Ahmad Waseem, Falak Sher Khan et al.

A reliable yet inexpensive tool for the estimation of flood water spread is conducive for efficient disaster management. The application of optical and SAR imagery in tandem provides a means of extended availability and enhanced reliability of flood mapping. We propose a methodology to merge these two types of imagery into a common data space and demonstrate its use in the identification of affected populations and infrastructure for the 2022 floods in Pakistan. The merging of optical and SAR data provides us with improved observations in cloud-prone regions; that is then used to gain additional insights into flood mapping applications. The use of open source datasets from WorldPop and OSM for population and roads respectively makes the exercise globally replicable. The integration of flood maps with spatial data on population and infrastructure facilitates informed policy design. We have shown that within the top five flood-affected districts in Sindh province, Pakistan, the affected population accounts for 31 %, while the length of affected roads measures 1410.25 km out of a total of 7537.96 km.

Nausherwan Malik, Zubair Khalid, Muhammad Faryad

Machine unlearning aims to remove the influence of specific training data from a learned model without full retraining. While recent work has begun to explore unlearning in quantum machine learning, existing approaches largely rely on fixed, uniform target distributions and do not explicitly control the trade-off between forgetting and retained model behaviour. In this work, we propose a distribution-guided framework for class-level quantum machine unlearning that treats unlearning as a constrained optimization problem. Our method introduces a tunable target distribution derived from model similarity statistics, decoupling the suppression of forgotten-class confidence from assumptions about redistribution among retained classes. We further incorporate an anchor-based preservation constraint that explicitly maintains predictive behaviour on selected retained data, yielding a controlled optimization trajectory that limits deviation from the original model. We evaluate the approach on variational quantum classifiers trained on the Iris and Covertype datasets. Results demonstrate sharp suppression of forgotten-class confidence, minimal degradation of retained-class performance, and closer alignment with the gold retrained model baselines compared to uniform-target unlearning. These findings highlight the importance of target design and constraint-based formulations for reliable and interpretable quantum machine unlearning.

Osama Ahmad, Lukas Wesemann, Fabian Waschkowski et al.

Accurate spatiotemporal forecasting is critical for numerous complex systems but remains challenging due to complex volatility patterns and spectral entanglement in conventional graph neural networks (GNNs). While decomposition-integrated approaches like variational mode graph convolutional network (VMGCN) improve accuracy through signal decomposition, they suffer from computational inefficiency and manual hyperparameter tuning. To address these limitations, we propose the mode adaptive graph network (MAGN) that transforms iterative variational mode decomposition (VMD) into a trainable neural module. Our key innovations include (1) an unfolded VMD (UVMD) module that replaces iterative optimization with a fixed-depth network to reduce the decomposition time (by 250x for the LargeST benchmark), and (2) mode-specific learnable bandwidth constraints (αk ) adapt spatial heterogeneity and eliminate manual tuning while preventing spectral overlap. Evaluated on the LargeST benchmark (6,902 sensors, 241M observations), MAGN achieves an 85-95% reduction in the prediction error over VMGCN and outperforms state-of-the-art baselines.

Osama Ahmad, Zubair Khalid, Muhammad Tahir et al.

Monitoring air pollution is crucial for protecting human health from exposure to harmful substances. Traditional methods of air quality monitoring, such as ground-based sensors and satellite-based remote sensing, face limitations due to high deployment costs, sparse sensor coverage, and environmental interferences. To address these challenges, this paper proposes a framework for high-resolution spatiotemporal Air Quality Index (AQI) mapping using sparse sensor data, satellite imagery, and various spatiotemporal factors. By leveraging Graph Neural Networks (GNNs), we estimate AQI values at unmonitored locations based on both spatial and temporal dependencies. The framework incorporates a wide range of environmental features, including meteorological data, road networks, points of interest (PoIs), population density, and urban green spaces, which enhance prediction accuracy. We illustrate the use of our approach through a case study in Lahore, Pakistan, where multi-resolution data is used to generate the air quality index map at a fine spatiotemporal scale.

Usman Nazir, Momin Uppal, Muhammad Tahir et al.

This paper proposes a multi-spectral random forest classifier with suitable feature selection and masking for tree cover estimation in urban areas. The key feature of the proposed classifier is filtering out the built-up region using spectral indices followed by random forest classification on the remaining mask with carefully selected features. Using Sentinel-2 satellite imagery, we evaluate the performance of the proposed technique on a specified area (approximately 82 acres) of Lahore University of Management Sciences (LUMS) and demonstrate that our method outperforms a conventional random forest classifier as well as state-of-the-art methods such as European Space Agency (ESA) WorldCover 10m 2020 product as well as a DeepLabv3 deep learning architecture.

Yahya Sattar, Zubair Khalid

The depletion and variations of groundwater storage~(GWS) are of critical importance for sustainable groundwater management. In this work, we use Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) to estimate variations in the terrestrial water storage~(TWS) and use it in conjunction with the Global Land Data Assimilation System~(GLDAS) data to extract GWS variations over time for Indus river basin~(IRB). We present a data processing framework that processes and combines these data-sets to provide an estimate of GWS changes. We also present the design of a band-limited optimally concentrated window function for spatial localization of the data in the region of interest. We construct the so-called optimal window for the IRB region and use it in our processing framework to analyze the GWS variations from 2005 to 2015. Our analysis reveals the expected seasonal variations in GWS and signifies groundwater depletion on average over the time period. Our proposed processing framework can be used to analyze spatio-temporal variations in TWS and GWS for any region of interest.

Alice P. Bates, Zubair Khalid, Jason D. McEwen et al.

This paper proposes a multi-shell sampling scheme and corresponding transforms for the accurate reconstruction of the diffusion signal in diffusion MRI by expansion in the spherical polar Fourier (SPF) basis. The sampling scheme uses an optimal number of samples, equal to the degrees of freedom of the band-limited diffusion signal in the SPF domain, and allows for computationally efficient reconstruction. We use synthetic data sets to demonstrate that the proposed scheme allows for greater reconstruction accuracy of the diffusion signal than the multi-shell sampling schemes obtained using the generalised electrostatic energy minimisation (gEEM) method used in the Human Connectome Project. We also demonstrate that the proposed sampling scheme allows for increased angular discrimination and improved rotational invariance of reconstruction accuracy than the gEEM schemes.