SPFeb 28
A Novel end-to-end Digital Health System Using Deep Learning-based ECG AnalysisArtemis Kontou, Natalia Miroshnikova, Costakis Matheou et al.
This study presents AI-HEART, a cloud-based information system for managing and analysing long-duration ambulatory electrocardiogram (ECG) recordings and supporting clinician decision-making. The platform operationalises an end-to-end pipeline that ingests multi-day three-lead ECGs, normalises inputs, performs signal preprocessing, and applies dedicated deep neural networks for wave delineation, noise/quality detection, and beat- and rhythm-level multi-class arrhythmia classification. To address class imbalance and real-world signal variability, model development combines large clinically annotated datasets with expert-in-the-loop curation and generative augmentation for under-represented rhythms. Empirical evaluation on three-lead ambulatory ECG data shows that delineation accuracy is sufficient for automated interval measurement, noise detection reliably flags poor-quality segments, and arrhythmia classification achieves high specificity with clinically useful macro-averaged performance across common and rarer rhythms. Beyond predictive accuracy, AI-HEART provides a scalable deployment approach for integrating AI into routine ECG services, enabling traceable outputs, audit-friendly storage of recordings and derived annotations, and clinician review/editing that captures feedback for controlled model improvement. The findings demonstrate the technical feasibility and operational value of a noise-aware AI-ECG platform as a digital health information system.
PEJan 28
Cross-Country Learning for National Infectious Disease Forecasting Using European DataZacharias Komodromos, Kleanthis Malialis, Artemis Kontou et al.
Accurate forecasting of infectious disease incidence is critical for public health planning and timely intervention. While most data-driven forecasting approaches rely primarily on historical data from a single country, such data are often limited in length and variability, restricting the performance of machine learning (ML) models. In this work, we investigate a cross-country learning approach for infectious disease forecasting, in which a single model is trained on time series data from multiple countries and evaluated on a country of interest. This setting enables the model to exploit shared epidemic dynamics across countries and to benefit from an enlarged training set. We examine this approach through a case study on COVID-19 case forecasting in Cyprus, using surveillance data from European countries. We evaluate multiple ML models and analyse the impact of the lookback window length and cross-country `data augmentation' on multi-step forecasting performance. Our results show that incorporating data from other countries can lead to consistent improvements over models trained solely on national data. Although the empirical focus is on Cyprus and COVID-19, the proposed framework and findings are applicable to infectious disease forecasting more broadly, particularly in settings with limited national historical data.