Niansheng Tang

Qianglin Wen, Xiangkun Wu, Chengchun Shi et al.

Experimental design has emerged as a powerful approach for improving the sample efficiency of A/B testing, yet existing designs rely critically on correctly specified models. We study robust sequential experimental design under model misspecification and develop a unified framework that covers both contextual bandit and dynamic settings. Theoretically, we prove that our design bounds the worst-case mean squared error of the estimated treatment effect. Empirically, we demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed approach using synthetic and real-world datasets from a leading technology company.

Sheng Pan, Niansheng Tang

Decentralized Federated Learning (DFL) remains highly vulnerable to adaptive backdoor attacks designed to bypass traditional passive defense metrics. To address this limitation, we shift the defensive paradigm toward a novel active, interventional auditing framework. First, we establish a dynamical model to characterize the spatiotemporal diffusion of adversarial updates across complex graph topologies. Second, we introduce a suite of proactive auditing metrics, stochastic entropy anomaly, randomized smoothing Kullback-Leibler divergence, and activation kurtosis. These metrics utilize private probes to stress-test local models, effectively exposing latent backdoors that remain invisible to conventional static detection. Furthermore, we implement a topology-aware defense placement strategy to maximize global aggregation resilience. We provide theoretical property for the system's convergence under co-evolving attack and defense dynamics. Numeric empirical evaluations across diverse architectures demonstrate that our active framework is highly competitive with state-of-the-art defenses in mitigating stealthy, adaptive backdoors while preserving primary task utility.

Qianglin Wen, Chengchun Shi, Ying Yang et al.

A/B testing has become the gold standard for policy evaluation in modern technological industries. Motivated by the widespread use of switchback experiments in A/B testing, this paper conducts a comprehensive comparative analysis of various switchback designs in Markovian environments. Unlike many existing works which derive the optimal design based on specific and relatively simple estimators, our analysis covers a range of state-of-the-art estimators developed in the reinforcement learning (RL) literature. It reveals that the effectiveness of different switchback designs depends crucially on (i) the size of the carryover effect and (ii) the auto-correlations among reward errors over time. Meanwhile, these findings are estimator-agnostic, i.e., they apply to most RL estimators. Based on these insights, we provide a workflow to offer guidelines for practitioners on designing switchback experiments in A/B testing.

Xinwen Liu, Lei Qian, Song Xi Chen et al.

Causal inference in settings involving complex spatio-temporal dependencies, such as environmental epidemiology, is challenging due to the presence of unmeasured confounding. However, a significant gap persists in existing methods: current diffusion-based causal models rely on restrictive assumptions of causal sufficiency or static confounding. To address this limitation, we introduce the Partially Functional Dynamic Backdoor Diffusion-based Causal Model (PFD-BDCM), a generative framework designed to bridge this gap. Our approach uniquely incorporates valid backdoor adjustments into the diffusion sampling mechanism to mitigate bias from unmeasured confounders. Specifically, it captures their intricate dynamics through region-specific structural equations and conditional autoregressive processes, and accommodates multi-resolution variables via functional data techniques. Furthermore, we provide theoretical guarantees by establishing error bounds for counterfactual estimates. Extensive experiments on synthetic data and a real-world air pollution case study confirm that PFD-BDCM outperforms current state-of-the-art methods.