Peter Naylor

Brandon Victor, Mathilde Letard, Peter Naylor et al.

Floods are among the most common and devastating natural hazards, imposing immense costs on our society and economy due to their disastrous consequences. Recent progress in weather prediction and spaceborne flood mapping demonstrated the feasibility of anticipating extreme events and reliably detecting their catastrophic effects afterwards. However, these efforts are rarely linked to one another and there is a critical lack of datasets and benchmarks to enable the direct forecasting of flood extent. To resolve this issue, we curate a novel dataset enabling a timely prediction of flood extent. Furthermore, we provide a representative evaluation of state-of-the-art methods, structured into two benchmark tracks for forecasting flood inundation maps i) in general and ii) focused on coastal regions. Altogether, our dataset and benchmark provide a comprehensive platform for evaluating flood forecasts, enabling future solutions for this critical challenge. Data, code & models are shared at https://github.com/Multihuntr/GFF under a CC0 license.

Peter Naylor, Yao-Hung Hubert Tsai, Marick Laé et al.

Recent developments in self-supervised learning give us the possibility to further reduce human intervention in multi-step pipelines where the focus evolves around particular objects of interest. In the present paper, the focus lays in the nuclei in histopathology images. In particular we aim at extracting cellular information in an unsupervised manner for a downstream task. As nuclei present themselves in a variety of sizes, we propose a new Scale-dependant convolutional layer to bypass scaling issues when resizing nuclei. On three nuclei datasets, we benchmark the following methods: handcrafted, pre-trained ResNet, supervised ResNet and self-supervised features. We show that the proposed convolution layer boosts performance and that this layer combined with Barlows-Twins allows for better nuclei encoding compared to the supervised paradigm in the low sample setting and outperforms all other proposed unsupervised methods. In addition, we extend the existing TNBC dataset to incorporate nuclei class annotation in order to enrich and publicly release a small sample setting dataset for nuclei segmentation and classification.

Marco Fiorucci, Peter Naylor, Makoto Yamada

Unsupervised change detection between airborne LiDAR data points, taken at separate times over the same location, can be difficult due to unmatching spatial support and noise from the acquisition system. Most current approaches to detect changes in point clouds rely heavily on the computation of Digital Elevation Models (DEM) images and supervised methods. Obtaining a DEM leads to LiDAR informational loss due to pixelisation, and supervision requires large amounts of labelled data often unavailable in real-world scenarios. We propose an unsupervised approach based on the computation of the transport of 3D LiDAR points over two temporal supports. The method is based on unbalanced optimal transport and can be generalised to any change detection problem with LiDAR data. We apply our approach to publicly available datasets for monitoring urban sprawling in various noise and resolution configurations that mimic several sensors used in practice. Our method allows for unsupervised multi-class classification and outperforms the previous state-of-the-art unsupervised approaches by a significant margin.

Peter Naylor, Diego Di Carlo, Arianna Traviglia et al.

Identifying changes in a pair of 3D aerial LiDAR point clouds, obtained during two distinct time periods over the same geographic region presents a significant challenge due to the disparities in spatial coverage and the presence of noise in the acquisition system. The most commonly used approaches to detecting changes in point clouds are based on supervised methods which necessitate extensive labelled data often unavailable in real-world applications. To address these issues, we propose an unsupervised approach that comprises two components: Implicit Neural Representation (INR) for continuous shape reconstruction and a Gaussian Mixture Model for categorising changes. INR offers a grid-agnostic representation for encoding bi-temporal point clouds, with unmatched spatial support that can be regularised to enhance high-frequency details and reduce noise. The reconstructions at each timestamp are compared at arbitrary spatial scales, leading to a significant increase in detection capabilities. We apply our method to a benchmark dataset comprising simulated LiDAR point clouds for urban sprawling. This dataset encompasses diverse challenging scenarios, varying in resolutions, input modalities and noise levels. This enables a comprehensive multi-scenario evaluation, comparing our method with the current state-of-the-art approach. We outperform the previous methods by a margin of 10% in the intersection over union metric. In addition, we put our techniques to practical use by applying them in a real-world scenario to identify instances of illicit excavation of archaeological sites and validate our results by comparing them with findings from field experts.

Marie Reinbigler, Romain Rouffet, Peter Naylor et al.

The Urban Heat Island (UHI) effect, defined as a significant increase in temperature in urban environments compared to surrounding areas, is difficult to study in real cities using sensor data (satellites or in-situ stations) due to their coarse spatial and temporal resolution. Among the factors contributing to this effect are the properties of urban materials, which differ from those in rural areas. To analyze their individual impact and to test new material configurations, a high-resolution simulation at the city scale is required. Estimating the current materials used in a city, including those on building facades, is also challenging. We propose HeatMat, an approach to analyze at high resolution the individual impact of urban materials on the UHI effect in a real city, relying only on open data. We estimate building materials using street-view images and a pre-trained vision-language model (VLM) to supplement existing OpenStreetMap data, which describes the 2D geometry and features of buildings. We further encode this information into a set of 2D maps that represent the city's vertical structure and material characteristics. These maps serve as inputs for our 2.5D simulator, which models coupled heat transfers and enables random-access surface temperature estimation at multiple resolutions, reaching an x20 speedup compared to an equivalent simulation in 3D.

Peter Naylor, Benjamin Poignard, Héctor Climente-González et al.

We propose a feature screening method that integrates both feature-feature and feature-target relationships. Inactive features are identified via a penalized minimum Redundancy Maximum Relevance (mRMR) procedure, which is the continuous version of the classic mRMR penalized by a non-convex regularizer, and where the parameters estimated as zero coefficients represent the set of inactive features. We establish the conditions under which zero coefficients are correctly identified to guarantee accurate recovery of inactive features. We introduce a multi-stage procedure based on the knockoff filter enabling the penalized mRMR to discard inactive features while controlling the false discovery rate (FDR). Our method performs comparably to HSIC-LASSO but is more conservative in the number of selected features. It only requires setting an FDR threshold, rather than specifying the number of features to retain. The effectiveness of the method is illustrated through simulations and real-world datasets. The code to reproduce this work is available on the following GitHub: https://github.com/PeterJackNaylor/SmRMR.

Patrick Ebel, Brandon Victor, Peter Naylor et al.

Hurricanes and coastal floods are among the most disastrous natural hazards. Both are intimately related to storm surges, as their causes and effects, respectively. However, the short-term forecasting of storm surges has proven challenging, especially when targeting previously unseen locations or sites without tidal gauges. Furthermore, recent work improved short and medium-term weather forecasting but the handling of raw unassimilated data remains non-trivial. In this paper, we tackle both challenges and demonstrate that neural networks can implicitly assimilate sparse in situ tide gauge data with coarse ocean state reanalysis in order to forecast storm surges. We curate a global dataset to learn and validate the dense prediction of storm surges, building on preceding efforts. Other than prior work limited to known gauges, our approach extends to ungauged sites, paving the way for global storm surge forecasting.