Yunyang Shi

Han Gong, Zhen Zhou, Yunyang Shi et al.

Large language models (LLMs) and multimodal large models (MLLMs) are increasingly used for transportation tasks such as regulation question answering, traffic management support, engineering review, and autonomous-driving scene reasoning. Yet transportation workflows are rule-intensive, computation-intensive, safety-critical, and inherently multimodal. Existing general benchmarks provide limited evidence of whether a model can apply regulations correctly, perform verifiable engineering calculations, or interpret traffic scenes reliably, while the small number of public transportation benchmarks remain narrow in scope and rarely support fine-grained diagnosis across text, images, and point-cloud data. To address this gap, we present TRIP-Evaluate, an open multimodal benchmark for large models in transportation. The benchmark organizes 837 items using a role-task-knowledge taxonomy that covers vehicle, traffic-management, traveler, and planning-and-design functions. Each item is annotated with capability, modality, and difficulty labels, enabling diagnosis from overall accuracy down to specific failure modes. The current release includes 596 text items, 198 image items, and 43 point-cloud items. TRIP-Evaluate also standardizes item construction, quality control, prompting, decoding, and scoring to improve cross-model comparability. Results on a diverse panel of models show that text-based performance is improving, but substantial weaknesses remain in multi-step engineering calculation, rule-constrained reasoning, multimodal scene understanding, and point-cloud understanding. Overall, TRIP-Evaluate provides a reproducible, diagnosable, and engineering-aligned evaluation baseline for model selection, regression testing, and safer deployment in transportation applications.

Zhen Zhou, Zhirui Wang, Qi Hong et al.

Time series forecasting in real-world applications requires both high predictive accuracy and interpretable uncertainty quantification. Traditional point prediction methods often fail to capture the inherent uncertainty in time series data, while existing probabilistic approaches struggle to balance computational efficiency with interpretability. We propose a novel Multi-Expert Learning Distributional Labels (LDL) framework that addresses these challenges through mixture-of-experts architectures with distributional learning capabilities. Our approach introduces two complementary methods: (1) Multi-Expert LDL, which employs multiple experts with different learned parameters to capture diverse temporal patterns, and (2) Pattern-Aware LDL-MoE, which explicitly decomposes time series into interpretable components (trend, seasonality, changepoints, volatility) through specialized sub-experts. Both frameworks extend traditional point prediction to distributional learning, enabling rich uncertainty quantification through Maximum Mean Discrepancy (MMD). We evaluate our methods on aggregated sales data derived from the M5 dataset, demonstrating superior performance compared to baseline approaches. The continuous Multi-Expert LDL achieves the best overall performance, while the Pattern-Aware LDL-MoE provides enhanced interpretability through component-wise analysis. Our frameworks successfully balance predictive accuracy with interpretability, making them suitable for real-world forecasting applications where both performance and actionable insights are crucial.