Mingxuan Yi

Mingxuan Yi, Zhanxing Zhu, Song Liu

The conventional understanding of adversarial training in generative adversarial networks (GANs) is that the discriminator is trained to estimate a divergence, and the generator learns to minimize this divergence. We argue that despite the fact that many variants of GANs were developed following this paradigm, the current theoretical understanding of GANs and their practical algorithms are inconsistent. In this paper, we leverage Wasserstein gradient flows which characterize the evolution of particles in the sample space, to gain theoretical insights and algorithmic inspiration of GANs. We introduce a unified generative modeling framework - MonoFlow: the particle evolution is rescaled via a monotonically increasing mapping of the log density ratio. Under our framework, adversarial training can be viewed as a procedure first obtaining MonoFlow's vector field via training the discriminator and the generator learns to draw the particle flow defined by the corresponding vector field. We also reveal the fundamental difference between variational divergence minimization and adversarial training. This analysis helps us to identify what types of generator loss functions can lead to the successful training of GANs and suggest that GANs may have more loss designs beyond the literature (e.g., non-saturated loss), as long as they realize MonoFlow. Consistent empirical studies are included to validate the effectiveness of our framework.

Mingxuan Yi, Vidal Mehra, Jing Chen et al.

Regime shifts in financial markets reorganise the joint dynamics of asset prices and macro variables, breaking any single-regime calibration. They are nonetheless difficult to detect reliably because the data signal is noisy and heavily multicollinear, while the contemporaneous text that announces them is unstructured. Standard regime shift detection methods rely solely on structured time-series data and ignore policy communications, even though these texts often signal shifts before they materialise in observed prices. We propose a text-enhanced regime shift detection pipeline that combines large language model (LLM) reasoning over central-bank communications with statistical validation on multivariate financial time series. The framework is detector-agnostic: text-proposed candidates are validated using a bootstrap likelihood-ratio test on a vector autoregression (VAR), while data-driven candidates from arbitrary regime detectors are ratified through a lenient LLM text check. We evaluate the framework on 2010-2024 FOMC minutes paired with a 14-variable U.S. Treasury and macroeconomic panel, using four interchangeable data-driven detectors. The proposed pipeline achieves F1 = 0.82 against a verified anchor list of monetary-policy regime shifts, with same-day modal detection latency and consistently stronger performance than pure data-driven baselines. The results demonstrate that combining unstructured policy text with statistical structural-break detection improves the robustness and interpretability of regime shift identification in financial markets.

Mingxuan Yi, Song Liu

Variational Inference approximates an unnormalized distribution via the minimization of Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence. Although this divergence is efficient for computation and has been widely used in applications, it suffers from some unreasonable properties. For example, it is not a proper metric, i.e., it is non-symmetric and does not preserve the triangle inequality. On the other hand, optimal transport distances recently have shown some advantages over KL divergence. With the help of these advantages, we propose a new variational inference method by minimizing sliced Wasserstein distance, a valid metric arising from optimal transport. This sliced Wasserstein distance can be approximated simply by running MCMC but without solving any optimization problem. Our approximation also does not require a tractable density function of variational distributions so that approximating families can be amortized by generators like neural networks. Furthermore, we provide an analysis of the theoretical properties of our method. Experiments on synthetic and real data are illustrated to show the performance of the proposed method.

Mingxuan Yi, Song Liu

Variational inference is a technique that approximates a target distribution by optimizing within the parameter space of variational families. On the other hand, Wasserstein gradient flows describe optimization within the space of probability measures where they do not necessarily admit a parametric density function. In this paper, we bridge the gap between these two methods. We demonstrate that, under certain conditions, the Bures-Wasserstein gradient flow can be recast as the Euclidean gradient flow where its forward Euler scheme is the standard black-box variational inference algorithm. Specifically, the vector field of the gradient flow is generated via the path-derivative gradient estimator. We also offer an alternative perspective on the path-derivative gradient, framing it as a distillation procedure to the Wasserstein gradient flow. Distillations can be extended to encompass $f$-divergences and non-Gaussian variational families. This extension yields a new gradient estimator for $f$-divergences, readily implementable using contemporary machine learning libraries like PyTorch or TensorFlow.

Lei Jiang, Wen Ge, Niels Cariou-Kotlarek et al.

Diffusion models have achieved state-of-the-art results in generative modelling but remain computationally intensive at inference time, often requiring thousands of discretization steps. To this end, we propose Sig-DEG (Signature-based Differential Equation Generator), a novel generator for distilling pre-trained diffusion models, which can universally approximate the backward diffusion process at a coarse temporal resolution. Inspired by high-order approximations of stochastic differential equations (SDEs), Sig-DEG leverages partial signatures to efficiently summarize Brownian motion over sub-intervals and adopts a recurrent structure to enable accurate global approximation of the SDE solution. Distillation is formulated as a supervised learning task, where Sig-DEG is trained to match the outputs of a fine-resolution diffusion model on a coarse time grid. During inference, Sig-DEG enables fast generation, as the partial signature terms can be simulated exactly without requiring fine-grained Brownian paths. Experiments demonstrate that Sig-DEG achieves competitive generation quality while reducing the number of inference steps by an order of magnitude. Our results highlight the effectiveness of signature-based approximations for efficient generative modeling.

Song Liu, Jiahao Yu, Jack Simons et al.

Many machine learning problems can be seen as approximating a \textit{target} distribution using a \textit{particle} distribution by minimizing their statistical discrepancy. Wasserstein Gradient Flow can move particles along a path that minimizes the $f$-divergence between the target and particle distributions. To move particles, we need to calculate the corresponding velocity fields derived from a density ratio function between these two distributions. Previous works estimated such density ratio functions and then differentiated the estimated ratios. These approaches may suffer from overfitting, leading to a less accurate estimate of the velocity fields. Inspired by non-parametric curve fitting, we directly estimate these velocity fields using interpolation techniques. We prove that our estimators are consistent under mild conditions. We validate their effectiveness using novel applications on domain adaptation and missing data imputation.

Song Liu, Yulong Zhang, Mingxuan Yi et al.

Density Ratio Estimation has attracted attention from the machine learning community due to its ability to compare the underlying distributions of two datasets. However, in some applications, we want to compare distributions of random variables that are \emph{inferred} from observations. In this paper, we study the problem of estimating the ratio between two posterior probability density functions of a latent variable. Particularly, we assume the posterior ratio function can be well-approximated by a parametric model, which is then estimated using observed information and prior samples. We prove the consistency of our estimator and the asymptotic normality of the estimated parameters as the number of prior samples tending to infinity. Finally, we validate our theories using numerical experiments and demonstrate the usefulness of the proposed method through some real-world applications.