LGJan 5
Causal and Federated Multimodal Learning for Cardiovascular Risk Prediction under Heterogeneous PopulationsRohit Kaushik, Eva Kaushik
Cardiovascular disease (CVD) continues to be the major cause of death globally, calling for predictive models that not only handle diverse and high-dimensional biomedical signals but also maintain interpretability and privacy. We create a single multimodal learning framework that integrates cross modal transformers with graph neural networks and causal representation learning to measure personalized CVD risk. The model combines genomic variation, cardiac MRI, ECG waveforms, wearable streams, and structured EHR data to predict risk while also implementing causal invariance constraints across different clinical subpopulations. To maintain transparency, we employ SHAP based feature attribution, counterfactual explanations and causal latent alignment for understandable risk factors. Besides, we position the design in a federated, privacy, preserving optimization protocol and establish rules for convergence, calibration and uncertainty quantification under distributional shift. Experimental studies based on large-scale biobank and multi institutional datasets reveal state discrimination and robustness, exhibiting fair performance across demographic strata and clinically distinct cohorts. This study paves the way for a principled approach to clinically trustworthy, interpretable and privacy respecting CVD prediction at the population level.
LGJan 5
CutisAI: Deep Learning Framework for Automated Dermatology and Cancer ScreeningRohit Kaushik, Eva Kaushik
The rapid growth of dermatological imaging and mobile diagnostic tools calls for systems that not only demonstrate empirical performance but also provide strong theoretical guarantees. Deep learning models have shown high predictive accuracy; however, they are often criticized for lacking well, calibrated uncertainty estimates without which these models are hardly deployable in a clinical setting. To this end, we present the Conformal Bayesian Dermatological Classifier (CBDC), a well, founded framework that combines Statistical Learning Theory, Topological Data Analysis (TDA), and Bayesian Conformal Inference. CBDC offers distribution, dependent generalization bounds that reflect dermatological variability, proves a topological stability theorem that guarantees the invariance of convolutional neural network embeddings under photometric and morphological perturbations and provides finite conformal coverage guarantees for trustworthy uncertainty quantification. Through exhaustive experiments on the HAM10000, PH2, and ISIC 2020 datasets, we show that CBDC not only attains classification accuracy but also generates calibrated predictions that are interpretable from a clinical perspective. This research constitutes a theoretical and practical leap for deep dermatological diagnostics, thereby opening the machine learning theory clinical applicability interface.
NENov 14, 2019
Performance evaluation of deep neural networks for forecasting time-series with multiple structural breaks and high volatilityRohit Kaushik, Shikhar Jain, Siddhant Jain et al.
The problem of automatic and accurate forecasting of time-series data has always been an interesting challenge for the machine learning and forecasting community. A majority of the real-world time-series problems have non-stationary characteristics that make the understanding of trend and seasonality difficult. Our interest in this paper is to study the applicability of the popular deep neural networks (DNN) as function approximators for non-stationary TSF. We evaluate the following DNN models: Multi-layer Perceptron (MLP), Convolutional Neural Network (CNN), and RNN with Long-Short Term Memory (LSTM-RNN) and RNN with Gated-Recurrent Unit (GRU-RNN). These DNN methods have been evaluated over 10 popular Indian financial stocks data. Further, the performance evaluation of these DNNs has been carried out in multiple independent runs for two settings of forecasting: (1) single-step forecasting, and (2) multi-step forecasting. These DNN methods show convincing performance for single-step forecasting (one-day ahead forecast). For the multi-step forecasting (multiple days ahead forecast), we have evaluated the methods for different forecast periods. The performance of these methods demonstrates that long forecast periods have an adverse effect on performance.