Keita Broadwater

Keita Broadwater

Traditional benchmarks for large language models (LLMs) primarily assess safety risk through breadth-oriented evaluation across diverse tasks. However, real-world deployment exposes a different class of risk: operational failures arising from repeated inference on identical or near-identical prompts rather than broad task generalization. In high-stakes settings, response consistency and safety under sustained use are critical. We introduce Accelerated Prompt Stress Testing (APST), a depth-oriented evaluation framework inspired by reliability engineering. APST repeatedly samples identical prompts under controlled operational conditions (e.g., decoding temperature) to surface latent failure modes including hallucinations, refusal inconsistency, and unsafe completions. Rather than treating failures as isolated events, APST models them as stochastic outcomes of independent inference events. We formalize safety failures using Bernoulli and binomial models to estimate per-inference failure probabilities, enabling quantitative comparison of reliability across models and decoding configurations. Applying APST to multiple instruction-tuned LLMs evaluated on AIR-BENCH-derived safety prompts, we find that models with similar benchmark-aligned scores can exhibit substantially different empirical failure rates under repeated sampling, particularly as temperature increases. These results demonstrate that shallow, single-sample evaluation can obscure meaningful reliability differences under sustained use. APST complements existing benchmarks by providing a practical framework for evaluating LLM safety and reliability under repeated inference, bridging benchmark alignment and deployment-oriented risk assessment.

Keita Broadwater

Traditional benchmarks for large language models (LLMs), such as HELM and AIR-BENCH, primarily assess safety risk through breadth-oriented evaluation across diverse tasks. However, real-world deployment often exposes a different class of risk: operational failures arising from repeated generations of the same prompt rather than broad task generalization. In high-stakes settings, response consistency and safety under repeated use are critical operational requirements. We introduce Accelerated Prompt Stress Testing (APST), a depth-oriented evaluation framework inspired by highly accelerated stress testing in reliability engineering. APST probes LLM behavior by repeatedly sampling identical prompts under controlled operational conditions, including temperature variation and prompt perturbation, to surface latent failure modes such as hallucinations, refusal inconsistency, and unsafe completions. Rather than treating failures as isolated events, APST characterizes them statistically as stochastic outcomes of repeated inference. We model observed safety failures using Bernoulli and binomial formulations to estimate per-inference failure probabilities, enabling quantitative comparison of operational risk across models and configurations. We apply APST to multiple instruction-tuned LLMs evaluated on AIR-BENCH 2024 derived safety and security prompts. While models exhibit similar performance under conventional single- or very-low-sample evaluation (N <= 3), repeated sampling reveals substantial variation in empirical failure probabilities across temperatures. These results demonstrate that shallow benchmark scores can obscure meaningful differences in reliability under sustained use.