David B. Shmoys

Woo-Hyung Cho, Shane Henderson, David Shmoys

There is significant interest in deploying machine learning algorithms for diagnostic radiology, as modern learning techniques have made it possible to detect abnormalities in medical images within minutes. While machine-assisted diagnoses cannot yet reliably replace human reviews of images by a radiologist, they could inform prioritization rules for determining the order by which to review patient cases so that patients with time-sensitive conditions could benefit from early intervention. We study this scenario by formulating it as a learning-augmented online scheduling problem. We are given information about each arriving patient's urgency level in advance, but these predictions are inevitably error-prone. In this formulation, we face the challenges of decision making under imperfect information, and of responding dynamically to prediction error as we observe better data in real-time. We propose a simple online policy and show that this policy is in fact the best possible in certain stylized settings. We also demonstrate that our policy achieves the two desiderata of online algorithms with predictions: consistency (performance improvement with prediction accuracy) and robustness (protection against the worst case). We complement our theoretical findings with empirical evaluations of the policy under settings that more accurately reflect clinical scenarios in the real world.

Sander Aarts, David B. Shmoys, Alex Coy

Understanding how subsets of items are chosen from offered sets is critical to assortment planning, wireless network planning, and many other applications. There are two seemingly unrelated subset choice models that capture dependencies between items: intuitive and interpretable random utility models; and tractable determinantal point processes (DPPs). This paper connects the two. First, all DPPs are shown to be random utility models. Next, a determinantal choice model that enjoys the best of both worlds is specified; the model is shown to subsume logistic regression when dependence is minimal, and MNL when dependence is maximally negative. This makes the model interpretable, while retaining the tractability of DPPs. A simulation study verifies that the model can learn a continuum of negative dependencies from data, and an applied study using original experimental data produces novel insights on wireless interference in LoRa networks.

Nikhil Garg, Wes Gurnee, David Rothschild et al.

Every representative democracy must specify a mechanism under which voters choose their representatives. The most common mechanism in the United States -- Winner takes all single-member districts -- both enables substantial partisan gerrymandering and constrains `fair' redistricting, preventing proportional representation in legislatures. We study the design of \textit{multi-member districts (MMDs)}, in which each district elects multiple representatives, potentially through a non-Winner takes all voting rule. We carry out large-scale empirical analyses for the U.S. House of Representatives under MMDs with different social choice functions, under algorithmically generated maps optimized for either partisan benefit or proportionality. Doing so requires efficiently incorporating predicted partisan outcomes -- under various multi-winner social choice functions -- into an algorithm that optimizes over an ensemble of maps. We find that with three-member districts using Single Transferable Vote, fairness-minded independent commissions would be able to achieve proportional outcomes in every state up to rounding, \textit{and} advantage-seeking partisans would have their power to gerrymander significantly curtailed. Simultaneously, such districts would preserve geographic cohesion. Through simulation, we find that the insights are robust to cross-party voting. In the process, we advance a rich research agenda at the intersection of social choice and computational gerrymandering.