Haiyong Luo

Yanjun Qin, Yuchen Fang, Haiyong Luo et al.

Traffic forecasting is a problem of intelligent transportation systems (ITS) and crucial for individuals and public agencies. Therefore, researches pay great attention to deal with the complex spatio-temporal dependencies of traffic system for accurate forecasting. However, there are two challenges: 1) Most traffic forecasting studies mainly focus on modeling correlations of neighboring sensors and ignore correlations of remote sensors, e.g., business districts with similar spatio-temporal patterns; 2) Prior methods which use static adjacency matrix in graph convolutional networks (GCNs) are not enough to reflect the dynamic spatial dependence in traffic system. Moreover, fine-grained methods which use self-attention to model dynamic correlations of all sensors ignore hierarchical information in road networks and have quadratic computational complexity. In this paper, we propose a novel dynamic multi-graph convolution recurrent network (DMGCRN) to tackle above issues, which can model the spatial correlations of distance, the spatial correlations of structure, and the temporal correlations simultaneously. We not only use the distance-based graph to capture spatial information from nodes are close in distance but also construct a novel latent graph which encoded the structure correlations among roads to capture spatial information from nodes are similar in structure. Furthermore, we divide the neighbors of each sensor into coarse-grained regions, and dynamically assign different weights to each region at different times. Meanwhile, we integrate the dynamic multi-graph convolution network into the gated recurrent unit (GRU) to capture temporal dependence. Extensive experiments on three real-world traffic datasets demonstrate that our proposed algorithm outperforms state-of-the-art baselines.

Yuchen Fang, Yanjun Qin, Haiyong Luo et al.

Traffic prediction has gradually attracted the attention of researchers because of the increase in traffic big data. Therefore, how to mine the complex spatio-temporal correlations in traffic data to predict traffic conditions more accurately become a difficult problem. Previous works combined graph convolution networks (GCNs) and self-attention mechanism with deep time series models (e.g. recurrent neural networks) to capture the spatio-temporal correlations separately, ignoring the relationships across time and space. Besides, GCNs are limited by over-smoothing issue and self-attention is limited by quadratic problem, result in GCNs lack global representation capabilities, and self-attention inefficiently capture the global spatial dependence. In this paper, we propose a novel deep learning model for traffic forecasting, named Multi-Context Aware Spatio-Temporal Joint Linear Attention (STJLA), which applies linear attention to the spatio-temporal joint graph to capture global dependence between all spatio-temporal nodes efficiently. More specifically, STJLA utilizes static structural context and dynamic semantic context to improve model performance. The static structure context based on node2vec and one-hot encoding enriches the spatio-temporal position information. Furthermore, the multi-head diffusion convolution network based dynamic spatial context enhances the local spatial perception ability, and the GRU based dynamic temporal context stabilizes sequence position information of the linear attention, respectively. Experiments on two real-world traffic datasets, England and PEMSD7, demonstrate that our STJLA can achieve up to 9.83% and 3.08% accuracy improvement in MAE measure over state-of-the-art baselines.