Diego Cerrai

Xuyang Shen, Zijie Pan, Diego Cerrai et al.

Extreme weather events, such as severe storms, hurricanes, snowstorms, and ice storms, which are exacerbated by climate change, frequently cause widespread power outages. These outages halt industrial operations, impact communities, damage critical infrastructure, profoundly disrupt economies, and have far-reaching effects across various sectors. To mitigate these effects, the University of Connecticut and Eversource Energy Center have developed an outage prediction modeling (OPM) system to provide pre-emptive forecasts for electric distribution networks before such weather events occur. However, existing predictive models in the system do not incorporate the spatial effect of extreme weather events. To this end, we develop Spatially Aware Hybrid Graph Neural Networks (SA-HGNN) with contrastive learning to enhance the OPM predictions for extreme weather-induced power outages. Specifically, we first encode spatial relationships of both static features (e.g., land cover, infrastructure) and event-specific dynamic features (e.g., wind speed, precipitation) via Spatially Aware Hybrid Graph Neural Networks (SA-HGNN). Next, we leverage contrastive learning to handle the imbalance problem associated with different types of extreme weather events and generate location-specific embeddings by minimizing intra-event distances between similar locations while maximizing inter-event distances across all locations. Thorough empirical studies in four utility service territories, i.e., Connecticut, Western Massachusetts, Eastern Massachusetts, and New Hampshire, demonstrate that SA-HGNN can achieve state-of-the-art performance for power outage prediction.

Durga Joshi, Chandi Witharana, Robert Fahey et al.

Our study introduces a novel, low-cost, and reproducible framework for real-time, object-level structural assessment and geolocation of roadside vegetation and infrastructure with commonly available but underutilized dashboard camera (dashcam) video data. We developed an end-to-end pipeline that combines monocular depth estimation, depth error correction, and geometric triangulation to generate accurate spatial and structural data from street-level video streams from vehicle-mounted dashcams. Depth maps were first estimated using a state-of-the-art monocular depth model, then refined via a gradient-boosted regression framework to correct underestimations, particularly for distant objects. The depth correction model achieved strong predictive performance (R2 = 0.92, MAE = 0.31 on transformed scale), significantly reducing bias beyond 15 m. Further, object locations were estimated using GPS-based triangulation, while object heights were calculated using pin hole camera geometry. Our method was evaluated under varying conditions of camera placement and vehicle speed. Low-speed vehicle with inside camera gave the highest accuracy, with mean geolocation error of 2.83 m, and mean absolute error (MAE) in height estimation of 2.09 m for trees and 0.88 m for poles. To the best of our knowledge, it is the first framework to combine monocular depth modeling, triangulated GPS-based geolocation, and real-time structural assessment for urban vegetation and infrastructure using consumer-grade video data. Our approach complements conventional RS methods, such as LiDAR and image by offering a fast, real-time, and cost-effective solution for object-level monitoring of vegetation risks and infrastructure exposure, making it especially valuable for utility companies, and urban planners aiming for scalable and frequent assessments in dynamic urban environments.