10.5CLMay 11
Decomposing Evolutionary Mixture-of-LoRA Architectures: The Routing Lever, the Lifecycle Penalty, and a Substrate-Conditional BoundaryRamchand Kumaresan
We decompose an evolutionary mixture-of-LoRA system on a from-scratch ~150M-parameter widened-D substrate (D=1536, V=32000; D/V approx 0.048; the "widened-1536" substrate) into three factors -- a router rewrite (parallel sigmoid gate with learnable per-adapter floor and bounded temperature anneal, fed post-stack hidden states rather than token-embedding means), a per-domain leave-one-out evaluation scope, and a lifecycle of death plus alpha-blend inheritance plus SVD mutation plus slot reallocation -- and report a 5-of-8 partial 2^3 factorial run at n=3 seeds and 25000 adaptation steps per cell. The attribution chain is sharp on this substrate: the router rewrite carries the entire +0.0426 nat balanced log-PPL improvement (Delta = log PPL_ref - log PPL_test, positive = improvement; t=12.86, p=0.006) attributed to "the full evolutionary system vs the static B3 baseline"; the headline full-system-vs-B3 balanced contrast itself is +0.015 nats, t=1.94, p=0.19 at n=3 and does not clear alpha=0.05. The per-domain evaluation scope is null at seed-resolution, and the lifecycle is a net drag of approx -0.028 nats (t=-4.46,p=0.047 in the primary chain). An auxiliary alpha=0 inheritance counterfactual at n=3 seeds is sign-inconsistent at the headline metric and underpowered for either an equivalence or load-bearing conclusion (corrected from an earlier arithmetic-mean aggregator that erroneously cleared inheritance; see Appendix B.11). A base-perturbation probe directionally refutes a "genomic-context" reframe of the lifecycle role. A controllable synthetic sandbox locates a substrate-conditional regime boundary: evolutionary search on the routing channel is load-bearing only when adapters are pre-aligned to the task; in every other regime tested it underperforms, ties, or actively degrades the gradient solution.
72.6CLMar 24
KALAVAI: Predicting When Independent Specialist Fusion Works -- A Quantitative Model for Post-Hoc Cooperative LLM TrainingRamchand Kumaresan
Independently trained domain specialists can be fused post-hoc into a single model that outperforms any individual specialist, and the gain is predictable: gain = 0.82 x divergence - 2.72 (R^2 = 0.856, n=6, 3-26% divergence). This enables practitioners to estimate cooperative value before committing compute. Below ~3.3% divergence, gains approach zero.In the KALAVAI protocol, contributors fine-tune copies of a shared checkpoint independently, then submit for lightweight MoE routing (500 steps). Gains are consistent: +7.72% at 410M (+/-0.02%, 3 seeds), +7.49% at 1B (+/-0.01%, 3 seeds), +6.53% at 6.9B, each over the best specialist. The router matches domain-oracle routing within <10^{-5} nats. Cross-lingual fusion (Tamil/Yoruba/Welsh/Code) achieves +21.76%, with Yoruba perplexity falling 41.9 to 7.7. A 20-contributor federation achieves +16.71% (+/-0.07pp, 3 seeds).Three requirements bound the protocol. Shared initialisation is necessary: checkpoint mismatch degrades routing. Frozen layers are optional below ~10,000 steps and beneficial beyond. Learned routing is essential: uniform averaging degrades by -1.2% vs. best specialist, while any trained router achieves oracle-optimal assignment.
LGFeb 6
ACAR: Adaptive Complexity Routing for Multi-Model Ensembles with Auditable Decision TracesRamchand Kumaresan
We present ACAR (Adaptive Complexity and Attribution Routing), a measurement framework for studying multi-model orchestration under auditable conditions. ACAR uses self-consistency variance (sigma) computed from N=3 probe samples to route tasks across single-model, two-model, and three-model execution modes. The system is implemented on top of TEAMLLM, a deterministic execution substrate with immutable artifacts and complete decision traces. We evaluate ACAR on 1,510 tasks spanning four benchmarks: MathArena, Reasoning Gym, LiveCodeBench, and SuperGPQA, using Claude Sonnet 4, GPT-4o, and Gemini 2.0 Flash, producing more than 7,550 auditable runs. Results show that sigma-based routing achieves 55.6 percent accuracy, exceeding the two-model baseline of 54.4 percent while avoiding full ensembling on 54.2 percent of tasks. The routing mechanism is model-agnostic and requires no learned components. We also document negative results. First, retrieval augmentation reduced accuracy by 3.4 percentage points, as median retrieval similarity was only 0.167, demonstrating that experience injection without semantic alignment introduces noise rather than grounding. Second, when models agree on incorrect answers (sigma equals zero), no downstream ensemble can recover; this agreement-but-wrong failure mode is intrinsic to self-consistency and bounds achievable accuracy at approximately eight percentage points below full ensembling. Third, attribution estimates based on proxy signals such as response similarity and entropy showed weak correlation with ground-truth leave-one-out values, indicating that practical attribution requires explicit counterfactual computation. This work documents which assumptions fail in practice and provides falsifiable baselines for future research on routing, retrieval, and multi-model attribution.