Y. Zhu

Xiuyuan Cheng, Yunqin Zhu, Yao Xie

Many data-driven decision problems are formulated using a nominal distribution estimated from historical data, while performance is ultimately determined by a deployment distribution that may be shifted, context-dependent, partially observed, or stress-induced. This tutorial presents modern generative models, particularly flow- and score-based methods, as mathematical tools for constructing decision-relevant distributions. From an operations research perspective, their primary value lies not in unconstrained sample synthesis but in representing and transforming distributions through transport maps, velocity fields, score fields, and guided stochastic dynamics. We present a unified framework based on pushforward maps, continuity, Fokker-Planck equations, Wasserstein geometry, and optimization in probability space. Within this framework, generative models can be used to learn nominal uncertainty, construct stressed or least-favorable distributions for robustness, and produce conditional or posterior distributions under side information and partial observation. We also highlight representative theoretical guarantees, including forward-reverse convergence for iterative flow models, first-order minimax analysis in transport-map space, and error-transfer bounds for posterior sampling with generative priors. The tutorial provides a principled introduction to using generative models for scenario generation, robust decision-making, uncertainty quantification, and related problems under distributional shift.

Yunqin Zhu, Henry Shaowu Yuchi, Yao Xie

Kernels are key to encoding prior beliefs and data structures in Gaussian process (GP) models. The design of expressive and scalable kernels has garnered significant research attention. Deep kernel learning enhances kernel flexibility by feeding inputs through a neural network before applying a standard parametric form. However, this approach remains limited by the choice of base kernels, inherits high inference costs, and often demands sparse approximations. Drawing on Mercer's theorem, we introduce a fully data-driven, scalable deep kernel representation where a neural network directly represents a low-rank kernel through a small set of basis functions. This construction enables highly efficient exact GP inference in linear time and memory without invoking inducing points. It also supports scalable mini-batch training based on a principled variational inference framework. We further propose a simple variance correction procedure to guard against overconfidence in uncertainty estimates. Experiments on synthetic and real-world data demonstrate the advantages of our deep kernel GP in terms of predictive accuracy, uncertainty quantification, and computational efficiency.