Jasper van Vliet

Solomiia Kurchaba, Jasper van Vliet, Fons J. Verbeek et al.

The shipping industry is one of the strongest anthropogenic emitters of $\text{NO}_\text{x}$ -- substance harmful both to human health and the environment. The rapid growth of the industry causes societal pressure on controlling the emission levels produced by ships. All the methods currently used for ship emission monitoring are costly and require proximity to a ship, which makes global and continuous emission monitoring impossible. A promising approach is the application of remote sensing. Studies showed that some of the $\text{NO}_\text{2}$ plumes from individual ships can visually be distinguished using the TROPOspheric Monitoring Instrument on board the Copernicus Sentinel 5 Precursor (TROPOMI/S5P). To deploy a remote sensing-based global emission monitoring system, an automated procedure for the estimation of $\text{NO}_\text{2}$ emissions from individual ships is needed. The extremely low signal-to-noise ratio of the available data as well as the absence of ground truth makes the task very challenging. Here, we present a methodology for the automated segmentation of $\text{NO}_\text{2}$ plumes produced by seagoing ships using supervised machine learning on TROPOMI/S5P data. We show that the proposed approach leads to a more than a 20\% increase in the average precision score in comparison to the methods used in previous studies and results in a high correlation of 0.834 with the theoretically derived ship emission proxy. This work is a crucial step toward the development of an automated procedure for global ship emission monitoring using remote sensing data.

Solomiia Kurchaba, Jasper van Vliet, Fons J. Verbeek et al.

Starting from 2021, more demanding $\text{NO}_\text{x}$ emission restrictions were introduced for ships operating in the North and Baltic Sea waters. Since all methods currently used for ship compliance monitoring are financially and time demanding, it is important to prioritize the inspection of ships that have high chances of being non-compliant. The current state-of-the-art approach for a large-scale ship $\text{NO}_\text{2}$ estimation is a supervised machine learning-based segmentation of ship plumes on TROPOMI/S5P images. However, challenging data annotation and insufficiently complex ship emission proxy used for the validation limit the applicability of the model for ship compliance monitoring. In this study, we present a method for the automated selection of potentially non-compliant ships using a combination of machine learning models on TROPOMI satellite data. It is based on a proposed regression model predicting the amount of $\text{NO}_\text{2}$ that is expected to be produced by a ship with certain properties operating in the given atmospheric conditions. The model does not require manual labeling and is validated with TROPOMI data directly. The differences between the predicted and actual amount of produced $\text{NO}_\text{2}$ are integrated over observations of the ship in time and are used as a measure of the inspection worthiness of a ship. To assure the robustness of the results, we compare the obtained results with the results of the previously developed segmentation-based method. Ships that are also highly deviating in accordance with the segmentation method require further attention. If no other explanations can be found by checking the TROPOMI data, the respective ships are advised to be the candidates for inspection.