Shuhao Yan

Shuhao Yan, Paul Goulart, Mark Cannon

This paper considers linear discrete-time systems with additive disturbances, and designs a Model Predictive Control (MPC) law to minimise a quadratic cost function subject to a chance constraint. The chance constraint is defined as a discounted sum of violation probabilities on an infinite horizon. By penalising violation probabilities close to the initial time and ignoring violation probabilities in the far future, this form of constraint enables the feasibility of the online optimisation to be guaranteed without an assumption of boundedness of the disturbance. A computationally convenient MPC optimisation problem is formulated using Chebyshev's inequality and we introduce an online constraint-tightening technique to ensure recursive feasibility based on knowledge of a suboptimal solution. The closed loop system is guaranteed to satisfy the chance constraint and a quadratic stability condition.

Feras Al Taha, Shuhao Yan, Eilyan Bitar

This paper proposes a distributionally robust approach to regret optimal control of discrete-time linear dynamical systems with quadratic costs subject to a stochastic additive disturbance on the state process. The underlying probability distribution of the disturbance process is unknown, but assumed to lie in a given ball of distributions defined in terms of the type-2 Wasserstein distance. In this framework, strictly causal linear disturbance feedback controllers are designed to minimize the worst-case expected regret. The regret incurred by a controller is defined as the difference between the cost it incurs in response to a realization of the disturbance process and the cost incurred by the optimal noncausal controller which has perfect knowledge of the disturbance process realization at the outset. Building on a well-established duality theory for optimal transport problems, we derive a reformulation of the minimax regret optimal control problem as a tractable semidefinite program. Using the equivalent dual reformulation, we characterize a worst-case distribution achieving the worst-case expected regret in relation to the distribution at the center of the Wasserstein ball. We compare the minimax regret optimal control design method with the distributionally robust optimal control approach using an illustrative example and numerical experiments.

Shuhao Yan, Francesca Parise, Eilyan Bitar

We study sample average approximations (SAA) of chance constrained programs. SAA methods typically approximate the actual distribution in the chance constraint using an empirical distribution constructed from random samples assumed to be independent and identically distributed according to the actual distribution. In this paper, we consider a nonstationary variant of this problem, where the random samples are assumed to be independently drawn in a sequential fashion from an unknown and possibly time-varying distribution. This nonstationarity may be driven by changing environmental conditions present in many real-world applications. To account for the potential nonstationarity in the data generation process, we propose a novel robust SAA method exploiting information about the Wasserstein distance between the sequence of data-generating distributions and the actual chance constraint distribution. As a key result, we obtain distribution-free estimates of the sample size required to ensure that the robust SAA method will yield solutions that are feasible for the chance constraint under the actual distribution with high confidence.