Nasrin Alamdari

Shahab Aldin Shojaeezadeh, Malik Al-Wardy, Mohammad Reza Nikoo et al.

Soil erosion is a significant threat to the environment and long-term land management around the world. Accelerated soil erosion by human activities inflicts extreme changes in terrestrial and aquatic ecosystems, which is not fully surveyed/predicted for the present and probable future at field-scales (30-m). Here, we estimate/predict soil erosion rates by water erosion, (sheet and rill erosion), using three alternative (2.6, 4.5, and 8.5) Shared Socioeconomic Pathway and Representative Concentration Pathway (SSP-RCP) scenarios across the contiguous United States. Field Scale Soil Erosion Model (FSSLM) estimations rely on a high resolution (30-m) G2 erosion model integrated by satellite- and imagery-based estimations of land use and land cover (LULC), gauge observations of long-term precipitation, and scenarios of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6). The baseline model (2020) estimates soil erosion rates of 2.32 Mg ha 1 yr 1 with current agricultural conservation practices (CPs). Future scenarios with current CPs indicate an increase between 8% to 21% under different combinations of SSP-RCP scenarios of climate and LULC changes. The soil erosion forecast for 2050 suggests that all the climate and LULC scenarios indicate either an increase in extreme events or a change in the spatial location of extremes largely from the southern to the eastern and northeastern regions of the United States.

Mitra Nasr Azadani, Syed Usama Imtiaz, Nasrin Alamdari

High-dimensional low-sample-size (HDLSS) datasets constrain reliable environmental model development, where labeled data remain sparse. Reinforcement learning (RL)-based adaptive sensing methods can learn optimal sampling policies, yet their application is severely limited in HDLSS contexts. In this work, we present PiCSRL (Physics-Informed Contextual Spectral Reinforcement Learning), where embeddings are designed using domain knowledge and parsed directly into the RL state representation for improved adaptive sensing. We developed an uncertainty-aware belief model that encodes physics-informed features to improve prediction. As a representative example, we evaluated our approach for cyanobacterial gene concentration adaptive sampling task using NASA PACE hyperspectral imagery over Lake Erie. PiCSRL achieves optimal station selection (RMSE = 0.153, 98.4% bloom detection rate, outperforming random (0.296) and UCB (0.178) RMSE baselines, respectively. Our ablation experiments demonstrate that physics-informed features improve test generalization (0.52 R^2, +0.11 over raw bands) in semi-supervised learning. In addition, our scalability test shows that PiCSRL scales effectively to large networks (50 stations, >2M combinations) with significant improvements over baselines (p = 0.002). We posit PiCSRL as a sample-efficient adaptive sensing method across Earth observation domains for improved observation-to-target mapping.

Syed Usama Imtiaz, Mitra Nasr Azadani, Nasrin Alamdari

Foundation models are now increasingly being developed for Earth observation (EO), yet they often rely on stochastic masking that do not explicitly enforce physics constraints; a critical trustworthiness limitation, in particular for predictive models that guide public health decisions. In this work, we propose SpecTM (Spectral Targeted Masking), a physics-informed masking design that encourages the reconstruction of targeted bands from cross-spectral context during pretraining. To achieve this, we developed an adaptable multi-task (band reconstruction, bio-optical index inference, and 8-day-ahead temporal prediction) self-supervised learning (SSL) framework that encodes spectrally intrinsic representations via joint optimization, and evaluated it on a downstream microcystin concentration regression model using NASA PACE hyperspectral imagery over Lake Erie. SpecTM achieves R^2 = 0.695 (current week) and R^2 = 0.620 (8-day-ahead) predictions surpassing all baseline models by (+34% (0.51 Ridge) and +99% (SVR 0.31)) respectively. Our ablation experiments show targeted masking improves predictions by +0.037 R^2 over random masking. Furthermore, it outperforms strong baselines with 2.2x superior label efficiency under extreme scarcity. SpecTM enables physics-informed representation learning across EO domains and improves the interpretability of foundation models.