Hellward Broszio

Hao Cheng, Mengmeng Liu, Lin Chen et al.

Trajectory prediction has been a long-standing problem in intelligent systems like autonomous driving and robot navigation. Models trained on large-scale benchmarks have made significant progress in improving prediction accuracy. However, the importance on efficiency for real-time applications has been less emphasized. This paper proposes an attention-based graph model, named GATraj, which achieves a good balance of prediction accuracy and inference speed. We use attention mechanisms to model the spatial-temporal dynamics of agents, such as pedestrians or vehicles, and a graph convolutional network to model their interactions. Additionally, a Laplacian mixture decoder is implemented to mitigate mode collapse and generate diverse multimodal predictions for each agent. GATraj achieves state-of-the-art prediction performance at a much higher speed when tested on the ETH/UCY datasets for pedestrian trajectories, and good performance at about 100 Hz inference speed when tested on the nuScenes dataset for autonomous driving. We conduct extensive experiments to analyze the probability estimation of the Laplacian mixture decoder and compare it with a Gaussian mixture decoder for predicting different multimodalities. Furthermore, comprehensive ablation studies demonstrate the effectiveness of each proposed module in GATraj. The code is released at https://github.com/mengmengliu1998/GATraj.

Mengmeng Liu, Hao Cheng, Lin Chen et al.

Trajectory prediction for autonomous driving must continuously reason the motion stochasticity of road agents and comply with scene constraints. Existing methods typically rely on one-stage trajectory prediction models, which condition future trajectories on observed trajectories combined with fused scene information. However, they often struggle with complex scene constraints, such as those encountered at intersections. To this end, we present a novel method, called LAformer. It uses a temporally dense lane-aware estimation module to select only the top highly potential lane segments in an HD map, which effectively and continuously aligns motion dynamics with scene information, reducing the representation requirements for the subsequent attention-based decoder by filtering out irrelevant lane segments. Additionally, unlike one-stage prediction models, LAformer utilizes predictions from the first stage as anchor trajectories and adds a second-stage motion refinement module to further explore temporal consistency across the complete time horizon. Extensive experiments on Argoverse 1 and nuScenes demonstrate that LAformer achieves excellent performance for multimodal trajectory prediction.