Behnaz Moradijamei

Ali Tavasoli, Behnaz Moradijamei, Heman Shakeri

This paper presents an interpretable machine learning approach that characterizes load dynamics within an operator-theoretic framework for electricity load forecasting in power grids. We represent the dynamics of load data using the Koopman operator, which provides a linear, infinite-dimensional representation of the nonlinear dynamics, and approximate a finite version that remains robust against spectral pollutions due to truncation. By computing $ε$-approximate Koopman eigenfunctions using dynamics-adapted kernels in delay coordinates, we decompose the load dynamics into coherent spatiotemporal patterns that evolve quasi-independently. Our approach captures temporal coherent patterns due to seasonal changes and finer time scales, such as time of day and day of the week. This method allows for a more nuanced understanding of the complex interactions within power grids and their response to various exogenous factors. We assess our method using a large-scale dataset from a renewable power system in the continental European electricity system. The results indicate that our Koopman-based method surpasses a separately optimized deep learning (LSTM) architecture in both accuracy and computational efficiency, while providing deeper insights into the underlying dynamics of the power grid\footnote{The code is available at \href{https://github.com/Shakeri-Lab/Power-Grids}{github.com/Shakeri-Lab/Power-Grids}.

Justin Lee, Behnaz Moradijamei, Heman Shakeri

Modeling the evolution of high-dimensional systems from limited snapshot observations at irregular time points poses a significant challenge in quantitative biology and related fields. Traditional approaches often rely on dimensionality reduction techniques, which can oversimplify the dynamics and fail to capture critical transient behaviors in non-equilibrium systems. We present Multi-Marginal Stochastic Flow Matching (MMSFM), a novel extension of simulation-free score and flow matching methods to the multi-marginal setting, enabling the alignment of high-dimensional data measured at non-equidistant time points without reducing dimensionality. The use of measure-valued splines enhances robustness to irregular snapshot timing, and score matching prevents overfitting in high-dimensional spaces. We validate our framework on several synthetic and benchmark datasets, including gene expression data collected at uneven time points and an image progression task, demonstrating the method's versatility.