LGOct 19, 2022
Adversarial De-confounding in Individualised Treatment Effects EstimationVinod Kumar Chauhan, Soheila Molaei, Marzia Hoque Tania et al. · oxford
Observational studies have recently received significant attention from the machine learning community due to the increasingly available non-experimental observational data and the limitations of the experimental studies, such as considerable cost, impracticality, small and less representative sample sizes, etc. In observational studies, de-confounding is a fundamental problem of individualised treatment effects (ITE) estimation. This paper proposes disentangled representations with adversarial training to selectively balance the confounders in the binary treatment setting for the ITE estimation. The adversarial training of treatment policy selectively encourages treatment-agnostic balanced representations for the confounders and helps to estimate the ITE in the observational studies via counterfactual inference. Empirical results on synthetic and real-world datasets, with varying degrees of confounding, prove that our proposed approach improves the state-of-the-art methods in achieving lower error in the ITE estimation.
18.9LGMar 11
PRIME-CVD: A Parametrically Rendered Informatics Medical Environment for Education in Cardiovascular Risk ModellingNicholas I-Hsien Kuo, Marzia Hoque Tania, Blanca Gallego et al.
In recent years, progress in medical informatics and machine learning has been accelerated by the availability of openly accessible benchmark datasets. However, patient-level electronic medical record (EMR) data are rarely available for teaching or methodological development due to privacy, governance, and re-identification risks. This has limited reproducibility, transparency, and hands-on training in cardiovascular risk modelling. Here we introduce PRIME-CVD, a parametrically rendered informatics medical environment designed explicitly for medical education. PRIME-CVD comprises two openly accessible synthetic data assets representing a cohort of 50,000 adults undergoing primary prevention for cardiovascular disease. The datasets are generated entirely from a user-specified causal directed acyclic graph parameterised using publicly available Australian population statistics and published epidemiologic effect estimates, rather than from patient-level EMR data or trained generative models. Data Asset 1 provides a clean, analysis-ready cohort suitable for exploratory analysis, stratification, and survival modelling, while Data Asset 2 restructures the same cohort into a relational, EMR-style database with realistic structural and lexical heterogeneity. Together, these assets enable instruction in data cleaning, harmonisation, causal reasoning, and policy-relevant risk modelling without exposing sensitive information. Because all individuals and events are generated de novo, PRIME-CVD preserves realistic subgroup imbalance and risk gradients while ensuring negligible disclosure risk. PRIME-CVD is released under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 licence to support reproducible research and scalable medical education.