5.3LGOct 24, 2023
Task Grouping for Automated Multi-Task Machine Learning via Task Affinity PredictionAfiya Ayman, Ayan Mukhopadhyay, Aron Laszka
When a number of similar tasks have to be learned simultaneously, multi-task learning (MTL) models can attain significantly higher accuracy than single-task learning (STL) models. However, the advantage of MTL depends on various factors, such as the similarity of the tasks, the sizes of the datasets, and so on; in fact, some tasks might not benefit from MTL and may even incur a loss of accuracy compared to STL. Hence, the question arises: which tasks should be learned together? Domain experts can attempt to group tasks together following intuition, experience, and best practices, but manual grouping can be labor-intensive and far from optimal. In this paper, we propose a novel automated approach for task grouping. First, we study the affinity of tasks for MTL using four benchmark datasets that have been used extensively in the MTL literature, focusing on neural network-based MTL models. We identify inherent task features and STL characteristics that can help us to predict whether a group of tasks should be learned together using MTL or if they should be learned independently using STL. Building on this predictor, we introduce a randomized search algorithm, which employs the predictor to minimize the number of MTL trainings performed during the search for task groups. We demonstrate on the four benchmark datasets that our predictor-driven search approach can find better task groupings than existing baseline approaches.
10.7AIJul 15, 2024
Enabling MCTS Explainability for Sequential Planning Through Computation Tree LogicZiyan An, Hendrik Baier, Abhishek Dubey et al.
Monte Carlo tree search (MCTS) is one of the most capable online search algorithms for sequential planning tasks, with significant applications in areas such as resource allocation and transit planning. Despite its strong performance in real-world deployment, the inherent complexity of MCTS makes it challenging to understand for users without technical background. This paper considers the use of MCTS in transportation routing services, where the algorithm is integrated to develop optimized route plans. These plans are required to meet a range of constraints and requirements simultaneously, further complicating the task of explaining the algorithm's operation in real-world contexts. To address this critical research gap, we introduce a novel computation tree logic-based explainer for MCTS. Our framework begins by taking user-defined requirements and translating them into rigorous logic specifications through the use of language templates. Then, our explainer incorporates a logic verification and quantitative evaluation module that validates the states and actions traversed by the MCTS algorithm. The outcomes of this analysis are then rendered into human-readable descriptive text using a second set of language templates. The user satisfaction of our approach was assessed through a survey with 82 participants. The results indicated that our explanatory approach significantly outperforms other baselines in user preference.
2.3SYJan 7
Online Decision-Making Under Uncertainty for Vehicle-to-Building SystemsRishav Sen, Yunuo Zhang, Fangqi Liu et al.
Vehicle-to-building (V2B) systems integrate physical infrastructures, such as smart buildings and electric vehicles (EVs) connected to chargers at the building, with digital control mechanisms to manage energy use. By utilizing EVs as flexible energy reservoirs, buildings can dynamically charge and discharge them to optimize energy use and cut costs under time-variable pricing and demand charge policies. This setup leads to the V2B optimization problem, where buildings coordinate EV charging and discharging to minimize total electricity costs while meeting users' charging requirements. However, the V2B optimization problem is challenging because of: (1) fluctuating electricity pricing, which includes both energy charges ($/kWh) and demand charges ($/kW); (2) long planning horizons (typically over 30 days); (3) heterogeneous chargers with varying charging rates, controllability, and directionality (i.e., unidirectional or bidirectional); and (4) user-specific battery levels at departure to ensure user requirements are met. In contrast to existing approaches that often model this setting as a single-shot combinatorial optimization problem, we highlight critical limitations in prior work and instead model the V2B optimization problem as a Markov decision process (MDP), i.e., a stochastic control process. Solving the resulting MDP is challenging due to the large state and action spaces. To address the challenges of the large state space, we leverage online search, and we counter the action space by using domain-specific heuristics to prune unpromising actions. We validate our approach in collaboration with Nissan Advanced Technology Center - Silicon Valley. Using data from their EV testbed, we show that the proposed framework significantly outperforms state-of-the-art methods.
2.5OCJan 13
Grid-Aware Charging and Operational Optimization for Mixed-Fleet Public TransitRishav Sen, Amutheezan Sivagnanam, Aron Laszka et al.
The rapid growth of urban populations and the increasing need for sustainable transportation solutions have prompted a shift towards electric buses in public transit systems. However, the effective management of mixed fleets consisting of both electric and diesel buses poses significant operational challenges. One major challenge is coping with dynamic electricity pricing, where charging costs vary throughout the day. Transit agencies must optimize charging assignments in response to such dynamism while accounting for secondary considerations such as seating constraints. This paper presents a comprehensive mixed-integer linear programming (MILP) model to address these challenges by jointly optimizing charging schedules and trip assignments for mixed (electric and diesel bus) fleets while considering factors such as dynamic electricity pricing, vehicle capacity, and route constraints. We address the potential computational intractability of the MILP formulation, which can arise even with relatively small fleets, by employing a hierarchical approach tailored to the fleet composition. By using real-world data from the city of Chattanooga, Tennessee, USA, we show that our approach can result in significant savings in the operating costs of the mixed transit fleets.
7.1AIOct 15, 2020
Uncertainty Aware Wildfire ManagementTina Diao, Samriddhi Singla, Ayan Mukhopadhyay et al.
Recent wildfires in the United States have resulted in loss of life and billions of dollars, destroying countless structures and forests. Fighting wildfires is extremely complex. It is difficult to observe the true state of fires due to smoke and risk associated with ground surveillance. There are limited resources to be deployed over a massive area and the spread of the fire is challenging to predict. This paper proposes a decision-theoretic approach to combat wildfires. We model the resource allocation problem as a partially-observable Markov decision process. We also present a data-driven model that lets us simulate how fires spread as a function of relevant covariates. A major problem in using data-driven models to combat wildfires is the lack of comprehensive data sources that relate fires with relevant covariates. We present an algorithmic approach based on large-scale raster and vector analysis that can be used to create such a dataset. Our data with over 2 million data points is the first open-source dataset that combines existing fire databases with covariates extracted from satellite imagery. Through experiments using real-world wildfire data, we demonstrate that our forecasting model can accurately model the spread of wildfires. Finally, we use simulations to demonstrate that our response strategy can significantly reduce response times compared to baseline methods.
7.1RONov 20, 2024
Shrinking POMCP: A Framework for Real-Time UAV Search and RescueYunuo Zhang, Baiting Luo, Ayan Mukhopadhyay et al.
Efficient path optimization for drones in search and rescue operations faces challenges, including limited visibility, time constraints, and complex information gathering in urban environments. We present a comprehensive approach to optimize UAV-based search and rescue operations in neighborhood areas, utilizing both a 3D AirSim-ROS2 simulator and a 2D simulator. The path planning problem is formulated as a partially observable Markov decision process (POMDP), and we propose a novel ``Shrinking POMCP'' approach to address time constraints. In the AirSim environment, we integrate our approach with a probabilistic world model for belief maintenance and a neurosymbolic navigator for obstacle avoidance. The 2D simulator employs surrogate ROS2 nodes with equivalent functionality. We compare trajectories generated by different approaches in the 2D simulator and evaluate performance across various belief types in the 3D AirSim-ROS simulator. Experimental results from both simulators demonstrate that our proposed shrinking POMCP solution achieves significant improvements in search times compared to alternative methods, showcasing its potential for enhancing the efficiency of UAV-assisted search and rescue operations.
1.2CYDec 30, 2023
Deploying ADVISER: Impact and Lessons from Using Artificial Intelligence for Child Vaccination Uptake in NigeriaOpadele Kehinde, Ruth Abdul, Bose Afolabi et al.
More than 5 million children under five years die from largely preventable or treatable medical conditions every year, with an overwhelmingly large proportion of deaths occurring in underdeveloped countries with low vaccination uptake. One of the United Nations' sustainable development goals (SDG 3) aims to end preventable deaths of newborns and children under five years of age. We focus on Nigeria, where the rate of infant mortality is appalling. In particular, low vaccination uptake in Nigeria is a major driver of more than 2,000 daily deaths of children under the age of five years. In this paper, we describe our collaboration with government partners in Nigeria to deploy ADVISER: AI-Driven Vaccination Intervention Optimiser. The framework, based on an integer linear program that seeks to maximize the cumulative probability of successful vaccination, is the first successful deployment of an AI-enabled toolchain for optimizing the allocation of health interventions in Nigeria. In this paper, we provide a background of the ADVISER framework and present results, lessons, and success stories of deploying ADVISER to more than 13,000 families in the state of Oyo, Nigeria.
1.4LGFeb 21
In-Context Planning with Latent Temporal AbstractionsBaiting Luo, Yunuo Zhang, Nathaniel S. Keplinger et al.
Planning-based reinforcement learning for continuous control is bottlenecked by two practical issues: planning at primitive time scales leads to prohibitive branching and long horizons, while real environments are frequently partially observable and exhibit regime shifts that invalidate stationary, fully observed dynamics assumptions. We introduce I-TAP (In-Context Latent Temporal-Abstraction Planner), an offline RL framework that unifies in-context adaptation with online planning in a learned discrete temporal-abstraction space. From offline trajectories, I-TAP learns an observation-conditioned residual-quantization VAE that compresses each observation-macro-action segment into a coarse-to-fine stack of discrete residual tokens, and a temporal Transformer that autoregressively predicts these token stacks from a short recent history. The resulting sequence model acts simultaneously as a context-conditioned prior over abstract actions and a latent dynamics model. At test time, I-TAP performs Monte Carlo Tree Search directly in token space, using short histories for implicit adaptation without gradient update, and decodes selected token stacks into executable actions. Across deterministic MuJoCo, stochastic MuJoCo with per-episode latent dynamics regimes, and high-dimensional Adroit manipulation, including partially observable variants, I-TAP consistently matches or outperforms strong model-free and model-based offline baselines, demonstrating efficient and robust in-context planning under stochastic dynamics and partial observability.
7.8AIMar 8
Dynamic Vehicle Routing Problem with Prompt Confirmation of Advance RequestsAmutheezan Sivagnanam, Ayan Mukhopadhyay, Samitha Samaranayake et al.
Transit agencies that operate on-demand transportation services have to respond to trip requests from passengers in real time, which involves solving dynamic vehicle routing problems with pick-up and drop-off constraints. Based on discussions with public transit agencies, we observe a real-world problem that is not addressed by prior work: when trips are booked in advance (e.g., trip requests arrive a few hours in advance of their requested pick-up times), the agency needs to promptly confirm whether a request can be accepted or not, and ensure that accepted requests are served as promised. State-of-the-art computational approaches either provide prompt confirmation but lack the ability to continually optimize and improve routes for accepted requests, or they provide continual optimization but cannot guarantee serving all accepted requests. To address this gap, we introduce a novel problem formulation of dynamic vehicle routing with prompt confirmation and continual optimization. We propose a novel computational approach for this vehicle routing problem, which integrates a quick insertion search for prompt confirmation with an anytime algorithm for continual optimization. To maximize the number requests served, we train a non-myopic objective function using reinforcement learning, which guides both the insertion and the anytime algorithms towards optimal, non-myopic solutions. We evaluate our computational approach on a real-world microtransit dataset from a public transit agency in the U.S., demonstrating that our proposed approach provides prompt confirmation while significantly increasing the number of requests served compared to existing approaches.
1.2MAJan 4
CONSENT: A Negotiation Framework for Leveraging User Flexibility in Vehicle-to-Building Charging under UncertaintyRishav Sen, Fangqi Liu, Jose Paolo Talusan et al.
The growth of Electric Vehicles (EVs) creates a conflict in vehicle-to-building (V2B) settings between building operators, who face high energy costs from uncoordinated charging, and drivers, who prioritize convenience and a full charge. To resolve this, we propose a negotiation-based framework that, by design, guarantees voluntary participation, strategy-proofness, and budget feasibility. It transforms EV charging into a strategic resource by offering drivers a range of incentive-backed options for modest flexibility in their departure time or requested state of charge (SoC). Our framework is calibrated with user survey data and validated using real operational data from a commercial building and an EV manufacturer. Simulations show that our negotiation protocol creates a mutually beneficial outcome: lowering the building operator's costs by over 3.5\% compared to an optimized, non-negotiating smart charging policy, while simultaneously reducing user charging expenses by 22\% below the utility's retail energy rate. By aligning operator and EV user objectives, our framework provides a strategic bridge between energy and mobility systems, transforming EV charging from a source of operational friction into a platform for collaboration and shared savings.
NS-Gym: Open-Source Simulation Environments and Benchmarks for Non-Stationary Markov Decision ProcessesNathaniel S. Keplinger, Baiting Luo, Iliyas Bektas et al.
In many real-world applications, agents must make sequential decisions in environments where conditions are subject to change due to various exogenous factors. These non-stationary environments pose significant challenges to traditional decision-making models, which typically assume stationary dynamics. Non-stationary Markov decision processes (NS-MDPs) offer a framework to model and solve decision problems under such changing conditions. However, the lack of standardized benchmarks and simulation tools has hindered systematic evaluation and advance in this field. We present NS-Gym, the first simulation toolkit designed explicitly for NS-MDPs, integrated within the popular Gymnasium framework. In NS-Gym, we segregate the evolution of the environmental parameters that characterize non-stationarity from the agent's decision-making module, allowing for modular and flexible adaptations to dynamic environments. We review prior work in this domain and present a toolkit encapsulating key problem characteristics and types in NS-MDPs. This toolkit is the first effort to develop a set of standardized interfaces and benchmark problems to enable consistent and reproducible evaluation of algorithms under non-stationary conditions. We also benchmark six algorithmic approaches from prior work on NS-MDPs using NS-Gym. Our vision is that NS-Gym will enable researchers to assess the adaptability and robustness of their decision-making algorithms to non-stationary conditions.
4.1AIOct 15, 2020
Designing Emergency Response Pipelines : Lessons and ChallengesAyan Mukhopadhyay, Geoffrey Pettet, Mykel Kochenderfer et al.
Emergency response to incidents such as accidents, crimes, and fires is a major problem faced by communities. Emergency response management comprises of several stages and sub-problems like forecasting, resource allocation, and dispatch. The design of principled approaches to tackle each problem is necessary to create efficient emergency response management (ERM) pipelines. Over the last six years, we have worked with several first responder organizations to design ERM pipelines. In this paper, we highlight some of the challenges that we have identified and lessons that we have learned through our experience in this domain. Such challenges are particularly relevant for practitioners and researchers, and are important considerations even in the design of response strategies to mitigate disasters like floods and earthquakes.