Ayobami Adewale

Ayobami Adewale, Chris Lee, Amnir Hadachi et al.

As we move towards a mixed-traffic scenario of Autonomous vehicles (AVs) and Human-driven vehicles (HDVs), understanding the car-following behaviour is important to improve traffic efficiency and road safety. Using a real-world trajectory dataset, this study uses descriptive and statistical analysis to investigate the car-following behaviours of three vehicle pairs: HDV-AV, AV-HDV and HDV-HDV in mixed traffic. The ANOVA test showed that car-following behaviours across different vehicle pairs are statistically significant (p-value < 0.05). We also introduce a data-driven Knowledge Distillation Neural Network (KDNN) model for predicting car-following behaviour in terms of speed. The KDNN model demonstrates comparable predictive accuracy to its teacher network, a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network, and outperforms both the standalone student network, a Multilayer Perceptron (MLP), and traditional physics-based models like the Gipps model. Notably, the KDNN model better prevents collisions, measured by minimum Time-to-Collision (TTC), and operates with lower computational power, making it ideal for AVs or driving simulators requiring efficient computing.

Ayobami E. Adewale, Amnir Hadachi

Public transportation system commuters are often interested in getting accurate travel time information to plan their daily activities. However, this information is often difficult to predict accurately due to the irregularities of road traffic, caused by factors such as weather conditions, road accidents, and traffic jams. In this study, two neural network models namely multi-layer(MLP) perceptron and long short-term model(LSTM) are developed for predicting link travel time of a busy route with input generated using Origin-Destination travel time matrix derived from a historical GPS dataset. The experiment result showed that both models can make near-accurate predictions however, LSTM is more susceptible to noise as time step increases.