Yura Kim

Jaeho Choi, Yura Kim, Kwang-Ho Kim et al.

The precipitation nowcasting methods have been elaborated over the centuries because rain has a crucial impact on human life. Not only quantitative precipitation forecast (QPF) models and convolutional long short-term memory (ConvLSTM), but also various sophisticated methods such as the latest MetNet-2 are emerging. In this paper, we propose a paired complementary temporal cycle-consistent adversarial networks (PCT-CycleGAN) for radar-based precipitation nowcasting, inspired by cycle-consistent adversarial networks (CycleGAN), which shows strong performance in image-to-image translation. PCT-CycleGAN generates temporal causality using two generator networks with forward and backward temporal dynamics in paired complementary cycles. Each generator network learns a huge number of one-to-one mappings about time-dependent radar-based precipitation data to approximate a mapping function representing the temporal dynamics in each direction. To create robust temporal causality between paired complementary cycles, novel connection loss is proposed. And torrential loss to cover exceptional heavy rain events is also proposed. The generator network learning forward temporal dynamics in PCT-CycleGAN generates radar-based precipitation data 10 minutes from the current time. Also, it provides a reliable prediction of up to 2 hours with iterative forecasting. The superiority of PCT-CycleGAN is demonstrated through qualitative and quantitative comparisons with several previous methods.

Yura Kim, Daniel Kessler, Elizaveta Levina

Functional connections in the brain are frequently represented by weighted networks, with nodes representing locations in the brain, and edges representing the strength of connectivity between these locations. One challenge in analyzing such data is that inference at the individual edge level is not particularly biologically meaningful; interpretation is more useful at the level of so-called functional regions, or groups of nodes and connections between them; this is often called "graph-aware" inference in the neuroimaging literature. However, pooling over functional regions leads to significant loss of information and lower accuracy. Another challenge is correlation among edge weights within a subject, which makes inference based on independence assumptions unreliable. We address both these challenges with a linear mixed effects model, which accounts for functional regions and for edge dependence, while still modeling individual edge weights to avoid loss of information. The model allows for comparing two populations, such as patients and healthy controls, both at the functional regions level and at individual edge level, leading to biologically meaningful interpretations. We fit this model to a resting state fMRI data on schizophrenics and healthy controls, obtaining interpretable results consistent with the schizophrenia literature.