Rameshwar Garg

Rameshwar Garg, Shriya Barpanda, Girish Rao Salanke N S et al.

Time series data is being used everywhere, from sales records to patients' health evolution metrics. The ability to deal with this data has become a necessity, and time series analysis and forecasting are used for the same. Every Machine Learning enthusiast would consider these as very important tools, as they deepen the understanding of the characteristics of data. Forecasting is used to predict the value of a variable in the future, based on its past occurrences. A detailed survey of the various methods that are used for forecasting has been presented in this paper. The complete process of forecasting, from preprocessing to validation has also been explained thoroughly. Various statistical and deep learning models have been considered, notably, ARIMA, Prophet and LSTMs. Hybrid versions of Machine Learning models have also been explored and elucidated. Our work can be used by anyone to develop a good understanding of the forecasting process, and to identify various state of the art models which are being used today.

Nikhil Nayak, Rujula Singh R, Rameshwar Garg et al.

In today's day and age, a mobile phone has become a basic requirement needed for anyone to thrive. With the cellular traffic demand increasing so dramatically, it is now necessary to accurately predict the user traffic in cellular networks, so as to improve the performance in terms of resource allocation and utilisation. Since traffic learning and prediction is a classical and appealing field, which still yields many meaningful results, there has been an increasing interest in leveraging Machine Learning tools to analyse the total traffic served in a given region, to optimise the operation of the network. With the help of this project, we seek to exploit the traffic history by using it to predict the nature and occurrence of future traffic. Furthermore, we classify the traffic into particular application types, to increase our understanding of the nature of the traffic. By leveraging the power of machine learning and identifying its usefulness in the field of cellular networks we try to achieve three main objectives - classification of the application generating the traffic, prediction of packet arrival intensity and burst occurrence. The design of the prediction and classification system is done using Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) model. The LSTM predictor developed in this experiment would return the number of uplink packets and also estimate the probability of burst occurrence in the specified future time interval. For the purpose of classification, the regression layer in our LSTM prediction model is replaced by a softmax classifier which is used to classify the application generating the cellular traffic into one of the four applications including surfing, video calling, voice calling, and video streaming.