Guy Schumann

Ioanna Bouri, Manu Lahariya, Omer Nivron et al.

Reliable prediction of river floods in the first 72 hours can reduce harm because emergency agencies have sufficient time to prepare and deploy for help at the scene. Such river flood prediction models already exist and perform relatively well in most high-income countries. But, due to the limited availability of data, these models are lacking in low-income countries. Here, we offer the first global river flood prediction framework based on the newly published Caravan dataset. Our framework aims to serve as a benchmark for future global river flood prediction research. To support generalizability claims we include custom data evaluation splits. Further, we propose and evaluate a novel two-path LSTM architecture (2P-LSTM) against three baseline models. Finally, we evaluate the generated models on different locations in Africa and Asia that were not part of the Caravan dataset.

Dolores Garcia, Gonzalo Mateo-Garcia, Hannes Bernhardt et al.

Where are the Earth's streams flowing right now? Inland surface waters expand with floods and contract with droughts, so there is no one map of our streams. Current satellite approaches are limited to monthly observations that map only the widest streams. These are fed by smaller tributaries that make up much of the dendritic surface network but whose flow is unobserved. A complete map of our daily waters can give us an early warning for where droughts are born: the receding tips of the flowing network. Mapping them over years can give us a map of impermanence of our waters, showing where to expect water, and where not to. To that end, we feed the latest high-res sensor data to multiple deep learning models in order to map these flowing networks every day, stacking the times series maps over many years. Specifically, i) we enhance water segmentation to $50$ cm/pixel resolution, a 60$\times$ improvement over previous state-of-the-art results. Our U-Net trained on 30-40cm WorldView3 images can detect streams as narrow as 1-3m (30-60$\times$ over SOTA). Our multi-sensor, multi-res variant, WasserNetz, fuses a multi-day window of 3m PlanetScope imagery with 1m LiDAR data, to detect streams 5-7m wide. Both U-Nets produce a water probability map at the pixel-level. ii) We integrate this water map over a DEM-derived synthetic valley network map to produce a snapshot of flow at the stream level. iii) We apply this pipeline, which we call Pix2Streams, to a 2-year daily PlanetScope time-series of three watersheds in the US to produce the first high-fidelity dynamic map of stream flow frequency. The end result is a new map that, if applied at the national scale, could fundamentally improve how we manage our water resources around the world.

Gonzalo Mateo-Garcia, Silviu Oprea, Lewis Smith et al.

Satellite imaging is a critical technology for monitoring and responding to natural disasters such as flooding. Despite the capabilities of modern satellites, there is still much to be desired from the perspective of first response organisations like UNICEF. Two main challenges are rapid access to data, and the ability to automatically identify flooded regions in images. We describe a prototypical flood segmentation system, identifying cloud, water and land, that could be deployed on a constellation of small satellites, performing processing on board to reduce downlink bandwidth by 2 orders of magnitude. We target PhiSat-1, part of the FSSCAT mission, which is planned to be launched by the European Space Agency (ESA) near the start of 2020 as a proof of concept for this new technology.