A. Zhukov

A. Zhukov, J. Benois-Pineau, R. Giot

The most popular methods in AI-machine learning paradigm are mainly black boxes. This is why explanation of AI decisions is of emergency. Although dedicated explanation tools have been massively developed, the evaluation of their quality remains an open research question. In this paper, we generalize the methodologies of evaluation of post-hoc explainers of CNNs' decisions in visual classification tasks with reference and no-reference based metrics. We apply them on our previously developed explainers (FEM, MLFEM), and popular Grad-CAM. The reference-based metrics are Pearson correlation coefficient and Similarity computed between the explanation map and its ground truth represented by a Gaze Fixation Density Map obtained with a psycho-visual experiment. As a no-reference metric, we use stability metric, proposed by Alvarez-Melis and Jaakkola. We study its behaviour, consensus with reference-based metrics and show that in case of several kinds of degradation on input images, this metric is in agreement with reference-based ones. Therefore, it can be used for evaluation of the quality of explainers when the ground truth is not available.

A. Zhukov, D. Sidorov, A. Foley

Concept drift has potential in smart grid analysis because the socio-economic behaviour of consumers is not governed by the laws of physics. Likewise there are also applications in wind power forecasting. In this paper we present decision tree ensemble classification method based on the Random Forest algorithm for concept drift. The weighted majority voting ensemble aggregation rule is employed based on the ideas of Accuracy Weighted Ensemble (AWE) method. Base learner weight in our case is computed for each sample evaluation using base learners accuracy and intrinsic proximity measure of Random Forest. Our algorithm exploits both temporal weighting of samples and ensemble pruning as a forgetting strategy. We present results of empirical comparison of our method with original random forest with incorporated "replace-the-looser" forgetting andother state-of-the-art concept-drfit classifiers like AWE2.