Ibtihal Ferwana

Moulik Choraria, Ibtihal Ferwana, Ankur Mani et al.

Learning models that are robust to distribution shifts is a key concern in the context of their real-life applicability. Invariant Risk Minimization (IRM) is a popular framework that aims to learn robust models from multiple environments. The success of IRM requires an important assumption: the underlying causal mechanisms/features remain invariant across environments. When not satisfied, we show that IRM can over-constrain the predictor and to remedy this, we propose a relaxation via $\textit{partial invariance}$. In this work, we theoretically highlight the sub-optimality of IRM and then demonstrate how learning from a partition of training domains can help improve invariant models. Several experiments, conducted both in linear settings as well as with deep neural networks on tasks over both language and image data, allow us to verify our conclusions.

Ibtihal Ferwana, Suyoung Park, Ting-Yi Wu et al.

Discontinuities can be fairly arbitrary but also cause a significant impact on outcomes in larger systems. Indeed, their arbitrariness is why they have been used to infer causal relationships among variables in numerous settings. Regression discontinuity from econometrics assumes the existence of a discontinuous variable that splits the population into distinct partitions to estimate the causal effects of a given phenomenon. Here we consider the design of partitions for a given discontinuous variable to optimize a certain effect previously studied using regression discontinuity. To do so, we propose a quantization-theoretic approach to optimize the effect of interest, first learning the causal effect size of a given discontinuous variable and then applying dynamic programming for optimal quantization design of discontinuities to balance the gain and loss in that effect size. We also develop a computationally-efficient reinforcement learning algorithm for the dynamic programming formulation of optimal quantization. We demonstrate our approach by designing optimal time zone borders for counterfactuals of social capital, social mobility, and health. This is based on regression discontinuity analyses we perform on novel data, which may be of independent empirical interest.

Moulik Choraria, Ibtihal Ferwana, Ankur Mani et al.

The Invariant Risk Minimization (IRM) framework aims to learn invariant features from a set of environments for solving the out-of-distribution (OOD) generalization problem. The underlying assumption is that the causal components of the data generating distributions remain constant across the environments or alternately, the data "overlaps" across environments to find meaningful invariant features. Consequently, when the "overlap" assumption does not hold, the set of truly invariant features may not be sufficient for optimal prediction performance. Such cases arise naturally in networked settings and hierarchical data-generating models, wherein the IRM performance becomes suboptimal. To mitigate this failure case, we argue for a partial invariance framework. The key idea is to introduce flexibility into the IRM framework by partitioning the environments based on hierarchical differences, while enforcing invariance locally within the partitions. We motivate this framework in classification settings with causal distribution shifts across environments. Our results show the capability of the partial invariant risk minimization to alleviate the trade-off between fairness and risk in certain settings.