LGAug 1, 2023
A Novel Temporal Multi-Gate Mixture-of-Experts Approach for Vehicle Trajectory and Driving Intention PredictionRenteng Yuan, Mohamed Abdel-Aty, Qiaojun Xiang et al.
Accurate Vehicle Trajectory Prediction is critical for automated vehicles and advanced driver assistance systems. Vehicle trajectory prediction consists of two essential tasks, i.e., longitudinal position prediction and lateral position prediction. There is a significant correlation between driving intentions and vehicle motion. In existing work, the three tasks are often conducted separately without considering the relationships between the longitudinal position, lateral position, and driving intention. In this paper, we propose a novel Temporal Multi-Gate Mixture-of-Experts (TMMOE) model for simultaneously predicting the vehicle trajectory and driving intention. The proposed model consists of three layers: a shared layer, an expert layer, and a fully connected layer. In the model, the shared layer utilizes Temporal Convolutional Networks (TCN) to extract temporal features. Then the expert layer is built to identify different information according to the three tasks. Moreover, the fully connected layer is used to integrate and export prediction results. To achieve better performance, uncertainty algorithm is used to construct the multi-task loss function. Finally, the publicly available CitySim dataset validates the TMMOE model, demonstrating superior performance compared to the LSTM model, achieving the highest classification and regression results. Keywords: Vehicle trajectory prediction, driving intentions Classification, Multi-task
LGApr 25, 2023
Lane Change Intention Recognition and Vehicle Status Prediction for Autonomous VehiclesRenteng Yuan, Mohamed Abdel-Aty, Xin Gu et al.
Accurately detecting and predicting lane change (LC)processes of human-driven vehicles can help autonomous vehicles better understand their surrounding environment, recognize potential safety hazards, and improve traffic safety. This paper focuses on LC processes, first developing a temporal convolutional network with an attention mechanism (TCN-ATM) model to recognize LC intention. Considering the intrinsic relationship among output variables, the Multi-task Learning (MTL)framework is employed to simultaneously predict multiple LC vehicle status indicators. Furthermore, a unified modeling framework for LC intention recognition and driving status prediction (LC-IR-SP) is developed. The results indicate that the classification accuracy of LC intention was improved from 96.14% to 98.20% when incorporating the attention mechanism into the TCN model. For LC vehicle status prediction issues, three multi-tasking learning models are constructed based on MTL framework. The results indicate that the MTL-LSTM model outperforms the MTL-TCN and MTL-TCN-ATM models. Compared to the corresponding single-task model, the MTL-LSTM model demonstrates an average decrease of 26.04% in MAE and 25.19% in RMSE.
MLJul 28, 2023
A Comparative Analysis of Machine Learning Methods for Lane Change Intention Recognition Using Vehicle Trajectory DataRenteng Yuan
Accurately detecting and predicting lane change (LC)processes can help autonomous vehicles better understand their surrounding environment, recognize potential safety hazards, and improve traffic safety. This paper focuses on LC processes and compares different machine learning methods' performance to recognize LC intention from high-dimensionality time series data. To validate the performance of the proposed models, a total number of 1023 vehicle trajectories is extracted from the CitySim dataset. For LC intention recognition issues, the results indicate that with ninety-eight percent of classification accuracy, ensemble methods reduce the impact of Type II and Type III classification errors. Without sacrificing recognition accuracy, the LightGBM demonstrates a sixfold improvement in model training efficiency than the XGBoost algorithm.