Statistical Inference for Privatized Data with Unknown Sample SizeJordan Awan, Andres Felipe Barrientos, Nianqiao Ju
We develop both theory and algorithms to analyze privatized data in unbounded differential privacy (DP), where even the sample size is considered a sensitive quantity that requires privacy protection. We show that the distance between the sampling distributions under unbounded DP and bounded DP goes to zero as the sample size $n$ goes to infinity, provided that the noise used to privatize $n$ is at an appropriate rate; we also establish that Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC)-type posterior distributions converge under similar assumptions. We further give asymptotic results in the regime where the privacy budget for $n$ goes to infinity, establishing similarity of sampling distributions as well as showing that the MLE in the unbounded setting converges to the bounded-DP MLE. To facilitate valid, finite-sample Bayesian inference on privatized data under unbounded DP, we propose a reversible jump MCMC algorithm which extends the data augmentation MCMC of Ju et al, (2022). We also propose a Monte Carlo EM algorithm to compute the MLE from privatized data in both bounded and unbounded DP. We apply our methodology to analyze a linear regression model as well as a 2019 American Time Use Survey Microdata File which we model using a Dirichlet distribution.
Simulation-based Bayesian Inference from Privacy Protected DataYifei Xiong, Nianqiao Phyllis Ju, Sanguo Zhang
Many modern statistical analysis and machine learning applications require training models on sensitive user data. Under a formal definition of privacy protection, differentially private algorithms inject calibrated noise into the confidential data or during the data analysis process to produce privacy-protected datasets or queries. However, restricting access to only privatized data during statistical analysis makes it computationally challenging to make valid statistical inferences. In this work, we propose simulation-based inference methods from privacy-protected datasets. In addition to sequential Monte Carlo approximate Bayesian computation, we adopt neural conditional density estimators as a flexible family of distributions to approximate the posterior distribution of model parameters given the observed private query results. We illustrate our methods on discrete time-series data under an infectious disease model and with ordinary linear regression models. Illustrating the privacy-utility trade-off, our experiments and analysis demonstrate the necessity and feasibility of designing valid statistical inference procedures to correct for biases introduced by the privacy-protection mechanisms.
10.1CYJun 12
Redistricting from the Bottom Up: Sampling Communities of Interest with Differential PrivacyAtticus McWhorter, Caroline Hammond, Nianqiao Phyllis Ju et al.
Independent Redistricting Commissions (IRCs) are a promising tool for bottom-up redistricting, but their public testimony processes are vulnerable to adversarial manipulation. We propose using differential privacy to draw redistricting plans that incorporate community of interest (COI) testimonies while remaining robust to adversarial input. Treating individual testimonies as data points, we use the marked edge walk to sample from differentially private distributions of redistricting plans via the exponential mechanism. We introduce two score functions and demonstrate that both can be targeted by MEW across a range of privacy budgets. Applying this method to Missouri's mid-cycle redistricting using 808 COI testimonies, we show that COI-informed sampling outperforms an uninformed baseline and the enacted plan. An adversarial experiment demonstrates that the method can be robust to attacks under certain privacy budgets and may perform better in practice than formal group privacy guarantees imply. We also find that stronger COI preservation tends to spread minority and Democratic representation more evenly across districts.