Paolo Penna

Paolo Penna, Manvir Schneider

Many proof-of-stake protocols finance validator rewards from two sources: transaction fees and a finite reserve of tokens. This creates a dynamic hand-off problem. Early in the life of the system, fees may be too small to fund the target level of security; later, fees may become sufficient. The central question is whether the reserve provides enough runway for the protocol to remain secure until this fee-only region is reached. We study this problem in a discrete-time stochastic model of validator participation. Token price and transaction demand fluctuate over time, while validators choose participation strategically. We solve the validator entry game and derive an exact state-dependent reserve threshold, i.e., the minimal reserve stock necessary and sufficient to sustain a target security level. This threshold separates three regions: infeasibility, reserve-dependent security, and fee-only security. Security fails if the reserve first falls below the state-dependent threshold, and a successful hand-off occurs exactly if the fee-only region is reached before that failure time. We derive stress-test guarantees that convert lower confidence bands for token price and demand into reserve requirements, and obtain explicit failure-probability and expected hand-off-time bounds. Finally, we extend the model to forward-looking validators and derive the Markov participation condition that captures how current participation affects future reserve-funded rewards. The main implication is that reserve policy should not be evaluated by nominal depletion dates or steady-state reward ratios alone. A protocol can have a large nominal reserve and still be close to security failure after adverse price or demand shocks. Conversely, once demand crosses the fee-only threshold, the reserve becomes redundant for security. This paper provides a tractable equilibrium framework for stress-testing this transition.

Lukas Klein, João B. S. Carvalho, Mennatallah El-Assady et al.

Explainable AI aims to render model behavior understandable by humans, which can be seen as an intermediate step in extracting causal relations from correlative patterns. Due to the high risk of possible fatal decisions in image-based clinical diagnostics, it is necessary to integrate explainable AI into these safety-critical systems. Current explanatory methods typically assign attribution scores to pixel regions in the input image, indicating their importance for a model's decision. However, they fall short when explaining why a visual feature is used. We propose a framework that utilizes interpretable disentangled representations for downstream-task prediction. Through visualizing the disentangled representations, we enable experts to investigate possible causation effects by leveraging their domain knowledge. Additionally, we deploy a multi-path attribution mapping for enriching and validating explanations. We demonstrate the effectiveness of our approach on a synthetic benchmark suite and two medical datasets. We show that the framework not only acts as a catalyst for causal relation extraction but also enhances model robustness by enabling shortcut detection without the need for testing under distribution shifts.

Luca Corinzia, Paolo Penna, Wojciech Szpankowski et al.

We study the problem of estimating a rank-1 additive deformation of a Gaussian tensor according to the \emph{maximum-likelihood estimator} (MLE). The analysis is carried out in the sparse setting, where the underlying signal has a support that scales sublinearly with the total number of dimensions. We show that for Bernoulli distributed signals, the MLE undergoes an \emph{all-or-nothing} (AoN) phase transition, already established for the minimum mean-square-error estimator (MMSE) in the same problem. The result follows from two main technical points: (i) the connection established between the MLE and the MMSE, using the first and second-moment methods in the constrained signal space, (ii) a recovery regime for the MMSE stricter than the simple error vanishing characterization given in the standard AoN, that is here proved as a general result.

Luca Corinzia, Paolo Penna, Wojciech Szpankowski et al.

In this work, we consider the problem of recovery a planted $k$-densest sub-hypergraph on $d$-uniform hypergraphs. This fundamental problem appears in different contexts, e.g., community detection, average-case complexity, and neuroscience applications as a structural variant of tensor-PCA problem. We provide tight \emph{information-theoretic} upper and lower bounds for the exact recovery threshold by the maximum-likelihood estimator, as well as \emph{algorithmic} bounds based on approximate message passing algorithms. The problem exhibits a typical statistical-to-computational gap observed in analogous sparse settings that widen with increasing sparsity of the problem. The bounds show that the signal structure impacts the location of the statistical and computational phase transition that the known existing bounds for the tensor-PCA model do not capture. This effect is due to the generic planted signal prior that this latter model addresses.