Zhongyong Chen

Chengshuo Shen, Wei Zheng, Yonghua Ding et al.

Disruption prediction has made rapid progress in recent years, especially in machine learning (ML)-based methods. Understanding why a predictor makes a certain prediction can be as crucial as the prediction's accuracy for future tokamak disruption predictors. The purpose of most disruption predictors is accuracy or cross-machine capability. However, if a disruption prediction model can be interpreted, it can tell why certain samples are classified as disruption precursors. This allows us to tell the types of incoming disruption and gives us insight into the mechanism of disruption. This paper designs a disruption predictor called Interpretable Disruption Predictor based On Physics-guided feature extraction (IDP-PGFE) on J-TEXT. The prediction performance of the model is effectively improved by extracting physics-guided features. A high-performance model is required to ensure the validity of the interpretation results. The interpretability study of IDP-PGFE provides an understanding of J-TEXT disruption and is generally consistent with existing comprehension of disruption. IDP-PGFE has been applied to the disruption due to continuously increasing density towards density limit experiments on J-TEXT. The time evolution of the PGFE features contribution demonstrates that the application of ECRH triggers radiation-caused disruption, which lowers the density at disruption. While the application of RMP indeed raises the density limit in J-TEXT. The interpretability study guides intuition on the physical mechanisms of density limit disruption that RMPs affect not only the MHD instabilities but also the radiation profile, which delays density limit disruption.

Chengshuo Shen, Wei Zheng, Bihao Guo et al.

The high acquisition cost and the significant demand for disruptive discharges for data-driven disruption prediction models in future tokamaks pose an inherent contradiction in disruption prediction research. In this paper, we demonstrated a novel approach to predict disruption in a future tokamak using only a few discharges. The first step is to use the existing understanding of physics to extract physics-guided features from the diagnostic signals of each tokamak, called physics-guided feature extraction (PGFE). The second step is to align a few data from the future tokamak (target domain) and a large amount of data from existing tokamak (source domain) based on a domain adaptation algorithm called CORrelation ALignment (CORAL). It is the first attempt at applying domain adaptation in the task of disruption prediction. PGFE has been successfully applied in J-TEXT to predict disruption with excellent performance. PGFE can also reduce the data volume requirements due to extracting the less device-specific features, thereby establishing a solid foundation for cross-tokamak disruption prediction. We have further improved CORAL (supervised CORAL, S-CORAL) to enhance its appropriateness in feature alignment for the disruption prediction task. To simulate the existing and future tokamak case, we selected J-TEXT as the existing tokamak and EAST as the future tokamak, which has a large gap in the ranges of plasma parameters. The utilization of the S-CORAL improves the disruption prediction performance on future tokamak. Through interpretable analysis, we discovered that the learned knowledge of the disruption prediction model through this approach exhibits more similarities to the model trained on large data volumes of future tokamak.

Chengshuo Shen, Jianchao Li, Yonghua Ding et al.

Measurement of locked mode (LM) is important for the physical research of Magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) instabilities and plasma disruption. The n = 0 pick-up need to be extracted and subtracted to calculate the amplitude and phase of the LM. A new method to extract this pick-up has been developed by predicting the n = 0 pick-up brn=0 by the LM detectors based on Neural Networks (NNs) in J-TEXT. An approach called Power Multiple Time Scale (PMTS) has been developed with outstanding regressing effect in multiple frequency ranges. Three models have been progressed based on PMTS NNs. PMTS could fit the brn=0 on the LM detectors with little errors both in time domain and frequency domain. The n>0 pick-up brn>0 generated by resonant magnetic perturbations (RMPs) can be obtained after subtracting the extracted brn=0. This new method uses only one LM instead of 4 LM detectors to extract brn=0. Therefore, the distribution of the LM detectors can also be optimized based on this new method.