LGJul 26, 2025Code
Predicting Human Mobility in Disasters via LLM-Enhanced Cross-City LearningYinzhou Tang, Huandong Wang, Xiaochen Fan et al.
The vulnerability of cities to natural disasters has increased with urbanization and climate change, making it more important to predict human mobility in the disaster scenarios for downstream tasks including location-based early disaster warning and pre-allocating rescue resources, etc. However, existing human mobility prediction models are mainly designed for normal scenarios, and fail to adapt to disaster scenarios due to the shift of human mobility patterns under disaster. To address this issue, we introduce \textbf{DisasterMobLLM}, a mobility prediction framework for disaster scenarios that can be integrated into existing deep mobility prediction methods by leveraging LLMs to model the mobility intention and transferring the common knowledge of how different disasters affect mobility intentions between cities. This framework utilizes a RAG-Enhanced Intention Predictor to forecast the next intention, refines it with an LLM-based Intention Refiner, and then maps the intention to an exact location using an Intention-Modulated Location Predictor. Extensive experiments illustrate that DisasterMobLLM can achieve a 32.8\% improvement in terms of Acc@1 and a 35.0\% improvement in terms of the F1-score of predicting immobility compared to the baselines. The code is available at https://github.com/tsinghua-fib-lab/DisasterMobLLM.
AIMar 9, 2025Code
Causal Discovery and Inference towards Urban Elements and Associated FactorsTao Feng, Yunke Zhang, Xiaochen Fan et al.
To uncover the city's fundamental functioning mechanisms, it is important to acquire a deep understanding of complicated relationships among citizens, location, and mobility behaviors. Previous research studies have applied direct correlation analysis to investigate such relationships. Nevertheless, due to the ubiquitous confounding effects, empirical correlation analysis may not accurately reflect underlying causal relationships among basic urban elements. In this paper, we propose a novel urban causal computing framework to comprehensively explore causalities and confounding effects among a variety of factors across different types of urban elements. In particular, we design a reinforcement learning algorithm to discover the potential causal graph, which depicts the causal relations between urban factors. The causal graph further serves as the guidance for estimating causal effects between pair-wise urban factors by propensity score matching. After removing the confounding effects from correlations, we leverage significance levels of causal effects in downstream urban mobility prediction tasks. Experimental studies on open-source urban datasets show that the discovered causal graph demonstrates a hierarchical structure, where citizens affect locations, and they both cause changes in urban mobility behaviors. Experimental results in urban mobility prediction tasks further show that the proposed method can effectively reduce confounding effects and enhance performance of urban computing tasks.
SOC-PHJun 9, 2025
A Survey of Physics-Informed AI for Complex Urban SystemsEn Xu, Huandong Wang, Yunke Zhang et al.
Urban systems are typical examples of complex systems, where the integration of physics-based modeling with artificial intelligence (AI) presents a promising paradigm for enhancing predictive accuracy, interpretability, and decision-making. In this context, AI excels at capturing complex, nonlinear relationships, while physics-based models ensure consistency with real-world laws and provide interpretable insights. We provide a comprehensive review of physics-informed AI methods in urban applications. The proposed taxonomy categorizes existing approaches into three paradigms - Physics-Integrated AI, Physics-AI Hybrid Ensemble, and AI-Integrated Physics - and further details seven representative methods. This classification clarifies the varying degrees and directions of physics-AI integration, guiding the selection and development of appropriate methods based on application needs and data availability. We systematically examine their applications across eight key urban domains: energy, environment, economy, transportation, information, public services, emergency management, and the urban system as a whole. Our analysis highlights how these methodologies leverage physical laws and data-driven models to address urban challenges, enhancing system reliability, efficiency, and adaptability. By synthesizing existing methodologies and their urban applications, we identify critical gaps and outline future research directions, paving the way toward next-generation intelligent urban system modeling.
SPSep 12, 2020
EdgeLoc: An Edge-IoT Framework for Robust Indoor Localization Using Capsule NetworksQianwen Ye, Xiaochen Fan, Gengfa Fang et al.
With the unprecedented demand for location-based services in indoor scenarios, wireless indoor localization has become essential for mobile users. While GPS is not available at indoor spaces, WiFi RSS fingerprinting has become popular with its ubiquitous accessibility. However, it is challenging to achieve robust and efficient indoor localization with two major challenges. First, the localization accuracy can be degraded by the random signal fluctuations, which would influence conventional localization algorithms that simply learn handcrafted features from raw fingerprint data. Second, mobile users are sensitive to the localization delay, but conventional indoor localization algorithms are computation-intensive and time-consuming. In this paper, we propose EdgeLoc, an edge-IoT framework for efficient and robust indoor localization using capsule networks. We develop a deep learning model with the CapsNet to efficiently extract hierarchical information from WiFi fingerprint data, thereby significantly improving the localization accuracy. Moreover, we implement an edge-computing prototype system to achieve a nearly real-time localization process, by enabling mobile users with the deep-learning model that has been well-trained by the edge server. We conduct a real-world field experimental study with over 33,600 data points and an extensive synthetic experiment with the open dataset, and the experimental results validate the effectiveness of EdgeLoc. The best trade-off of the EdgeLoc system achieves 98.5% localization accuracy within an average positioning time of only 2.31 ms in the field experiment.