Jason J. Ford

Helen Carson, Jason J. Ford, Michael Milford

While substantial progress has been made in the absolute performance of localization and Visual Place Recognition (VPR) techniques, it is becoming increasingly clear from translating these systems into applications that other capabilities like integrity and predictability are just as important, especially for safety- or operationally-critical autonomous systems. In this research we present a new, training-free approach to predicting the likely quality of localization estimates, and a novel method for using these predictions to bias a sequence-matching process to produce additional performance gains beyond that of a naive sequence matching approach. Our combined system is lightweight, runs in real-time and is agnostic to the underlying VPR technique. On extensive experiments across four datasets and three VPR techniques, we demonstrate our system improves precision performance, especially at the high-precision/low-recall operating point. We also present ablation and analysis identifying the performance contributions of the prediction and weighted sequence matching components in isolation, and the relationship between the quality of the prediction system and the benefits of the weighted sequential matcher.

Jasmin James, Jason J. Ford, Timothy L. Molloy

In this paper we consider the problem of quickly detecting changes in an intermittent signal that can (repeatedly) switch between a normal and an anomalous state. We pose this intermittent signal detection problem as an optimal stopping problem and establish a quickest intermittent signal detection (ISD) rule with a threshold structure. We develop bounds to characterise the performance of our ISD rule and establish a new filter for estimating its detection delays. Finally, we examine the performance of our ISD rule in both a simulation study and an important vision based aircraft detection application where the ISD rule demonstrates improvements in detection range and false alarm rates relative to the current state of the art aircraft detection techniques.

Jason J. Ford, Jasmin James, Timothy L. Molloy

This paper provides the first description of a weak practical super-martingale phenomenon that can emerge in the test statistic in Shiryaev's Bayesian quickest change detection (QCD) problem. We establish that this super-martingale phenomenon can emerge under a condition on the relative entropy between pre and post change densities when the measurements are insufficiently informative to overcome the change time's geometric prior. We illustrate this super-martingale phenomenon in a simple Bayesian QCD problem which highlights the unsuitability of Shiryaev's test statistic for detecting subtle change events.

Jasmin James, Jason J. Ford, Timothy L. Molloy

Unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) operations are steadily expanding into many important applications. A key technology for better enabling their commercial use is an onboard sense and avoid (SAA) technology which can detect potential mid-air collision threats in the same manner expected from a human pilot. Ideally, aircraft should be detected as early as possible whilst maintaining a low false alarm rate, however, textured clouds and other unstructured terrain make this trade-off a challenge. In this paper we present a new technique for the modelling and detection of aircraft above the horizon that is able to penalise non-aircraft artefacts (such as textured clouds and other unstructured terrain). We evaluate the performance of our proposed system on flight data of a Cessna 172 on a near collision course encounter with a ScanEagle UAV data collection aircraft. By penalising non-aircraft artefacts we are able to demonstrate, for a zero false alarm rate, a mean detection range of 2445m corresponding to an improvement in detection ranges by 9.8% (218m).

Jasmin Martin, Jenna Riseley, Jason J. Ford

The emerging global market for unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) services is anticipated to reach USD 58.4 billion by 2026, spurring significant efforts to safely integrate routine UAV operations into the national airspace in a manner that they do not compromise the existing safety levels. The commercial use of UAVs would be enhanced by an ability to sense and avoid potential mid-air collision threats however research in this field is hindered by the lack of available datasets as they are expensive and technically complex to capture. In this paper we present a dataset for vision based aircraft detection. The dataset consists of 15 image sequences containing 55,521 images of a fixed-wing aircraft approaching a stationary, grounded camera. Ground truth labels and a performance benchmark are also provided. To our knowledge, this is the first public dataset for studying medium sized, fixed-wing aircraft on a collision course with the observer. The full dataset and ground truth labels are publicly available at https://qcr.github.io/dataset/aircraft-collision-course/.

Jasmin James, Jason J. Ford, Timothy L. Molloy

Commercial operation of unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) would benefit from an onboard ability to sense and avoid (SAA) potential mid-air collision threats. In this paper we present a new approach for detection of aircraft below the horizon. We address some of the challenges faced by existing vision-based SAA methods such as detecting stationary aircraft (that have no relative motion to the background), rejecting moving ground vehicles, and simultaneous detection of multiple aircraft. We propose a multi-stage, vision-based aircraft detection system which utilises deep learning to produce candidate aircraft that we track over time. We evaluate the performance of our proposed system on real flight data where we demonstrate detection ranges comparable to the state of the art with the additional capability of detecting stationary aircraft, rejecting moving ground vehicles, and tracking multiple aircraft.