CESep 11, 2023
Using causal inference to avoid fallouts in data-driven parametric analysis: a case study in the architecture, engineering, and construction industryXia Chen, Ruiji Sun, Ueli Saluz et al.
The decision-making process in real-world implementations has been affected by a growing reliance on data-driven models. We investigated the synergetic pattern between the data-driven methods, empirical domain knowledge, and first-principles simulations. We showed the potential risk of biased results when using data-driven models without causal analysis. Using a case study assessing the implication of several design solutions on the energy consumption of a building, we proved the necessity of causal analysis during the data-driven modeling process. We concluded that: (a) Data-driven models' accuracy assessment or domain knowledge screening may not rule out biased and spurious results; (b) Data-driven models' feature selection should involve careful consideration of causal relationships, especially colliders; (c) Causal analysis results can be used as an aid to first-principles simulation design and parameter checking to avoid cognitive biases. We proved the benefits of causal analysis when applied to data-driven models in building engineering.
LGJan 23, 2023
Utilizing Domain Knowledge: Robust Machine Learning for Building Energy Prediction with Small, Inconsistent DatasetsXia Chen, Manav Mahan Singh, Philipp Geyer
The demand for a huge amount of data for machine learning (ML) applications is currently a bottleneck in an empirically dominated field. We propose a method to combine prior knowledge with data-driven methods to significantly reduce their data dependency. In this study, component-based machine learning (CBML) as the knowledge-encoded data-driven method is examined in the context of energy-efficient building engineering. It encodes the abstraction of building structural knowledge as semantic information in the model organization. We design a case experiment to understand the efficacy of knowledge-encoded ML in sparse data input (1% - 0.0125% sampling rate). The result reveals its three advanced features compared with pure ML methods: 1. Significant improvement in the robustness of ML to extremely small-size and inconsistent datasets; 2. Efficient data utilization from different entities' record collections; 3. Characteristics of accepting incomplete data with high interpretability and reduced training time. All these features provide a promising path to alleviating the deployment bottleneck of data-intensive methods and contribute to efficient real-world data usage. Moreover, four necessary prerequisites are summarized in this study that ensures the target scenario benefits by combining prior knowledge and ML generalization.
AIJul 10, 2023
Pathway toward prior knowledge-integrated machine learning in engineeringXia Chen, Philipp Geyer
Despite the digitalization trend and data volume surge, first-principles models (also known as logic-driven, physics-based, rule-based, or knowledge-based models) and data-driven approaches have existed in parallel, mirroring the ongoing AI debate on symbolism versus connectionism. Research for process development to integrate both sides to transfer and utilize domain knowledge in the data-driven process is rare. This study emphasizes efforts and prevailing trends to integrate multidisciplinary domain professions into machine acknowledgeable, data-driven processes in a two-fold organization: examining information uncertainty sources in knowledge representation and exploring knowledge decomposition with a three-tier knowledge-integrated machine learning paradigm. This approach balances holist and reductionist perspectives in the engineering domain.
LGJan 23, 2023
A Dynamic Feedforward Control Strategy for Energy-efficient Building System OperationXia Chen, Xiaoye Cai, Alexander Kümpel et al.
The development of current building energy system operation has benefited from: 1. Informational support from the optimal design through simulation or first-principles models; 2. System load and energy prediction through machine learning (ML). Through the literature review, we note that in current control strategies and optimization algorithms, most of them rely on receiving information from real-time feedback or using only predictive signals based on ML data fitting. They do not fully utilize dynamic building information. In other words, embedding dynamic prior knowledge from building system characteristics simultaneously for system control draws less attention. In this context, we propose an engineer-friendly control strategy framework. The framework is integrated with a feedforward loop that embedded a dynamic building environment with leading and lagging system information involved: The simulation combined with system characteristic information is imported to the ML predictive algorithms. ML generates step-ahead information by rolling-window feed-in of simulation output to minimize the errors of its forecasting predecessor in a loop and achieve an overall optimal. We tested it in a case for heating system control with typical control strategies, which shows our framework owns a further energy-saving potential of 15%.
LGOct 20, 2024
Integrating Symbolic Neural Networks with Building Physics: A Study and ProposalXia Chen, Guoquan Lv, Xinwei Zhuang et al.
Symbolic neural networks, such as Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks (KAN), offer a promising approach for integrating prior knowledge with data-driven methods, making them valuable for addressing inverse problems in scientific and engineering domains. This study explores the application of KAN in building physics, focusing on predictive modeling, knowledge discovery, and continuous learning. Through four case studies, we demonstrate KAN's ability to rediscover fundamental equations, approximate complex formulas, and capture time-dependent dynamics in heat transfer. While there are challenges in extrapolation and interpretability, we highlight KAN's potential to combine advanced modeling methods for knowledge augmentation, which benefits energy efficiency, system optimization, and sustainability assessments beyond the personal knowledge constraints of the modelers. Additionally, we propose a model selection decision tree to guide practitioners in appropriate applications for building physics.
APNov 28, 2025
From 'What-is' to 'What-if' in Human-Factor Analysis: A Post-Occupancy Evaluation CaseXia Chen, Ruiji Sun, Philipp Geyer et al.
Human-factor analysis typically employs correlation analysis and significance testing to identify relationships between variables. However, these descriptive ('what-is') methods, while effective for identifying associations, are often insufficient for answering causal ('what-if') questions. Their application in such contexts often overlooks confounding and colliding variables, potentially leading to bias and suboptimal or incorrect decisions. We advocate for explicitly distinguishing descriptive from interventional questions in human-factor analysis, and applying causal inference frameworks specifically to these problems to prevent methodological mismatches. This approach disentangles complex variable relationships and enables counterfactual reasoning. Using post-occupancy evaluation (POE) data from the Center for the Built Environment's (CBE) Occupant Survey as a demonstration case, we show how causal discovery reveals intervention hierarchies and directional relationships that traditional associational analysis misses. The systematic distinction between causally associated and independent variables, combined with intervention prioritization capabilities, offers broad applicability to complex human-centric systems, for example, in building science or ergonomics, where understanding intervention effects is critical for optimization and decision-making.
LGJul 25, 2025
Component-Based Machine Learning for Indoor Flow and Temperature Fields Prediction Latent Feature Aggregation and Flow InteractionShaofan Wang, Nils Thuerey, Philipp Geyer
Accurate and efficient prediction of indoor airflow and temperature distributions is essential for building energy optimization and occupant comfort control. However, traditional CFD simulations are computationally intensive, limiting their integration into real-time or design-iterative workflows. This study proposes a component-based machine learning (CBML) surrogate modeling approach to replace conventional CFD simulation for fast prediction of indoor velocity and temperature fields. The model consists of three neural networks: a convolutional autoencoder with residual connections (CAER) to extract and compress flow features, a multilayer perceptron (MLP) to map inlet velocities to latent representations, and a convolutional neural network (CNN) as an aggregator to combine single-inlet features into dual-inlet scenarios. A two-dimensional room with varying left and right air inlet velocities is used as a benchmark case, with CFD simulations providing training and testing data. Results show that the CBML model accurately and fast predicts two-component aggregated velocity and temperature fields across both training and testing datasets.
LGJan 24, 2024
Machine Learning in Proton Exchange Membrane Water Electrolysis -- Part I: A Knowledge-Integrated FrameworkXia Chen, Alexander Rex, Janis Woelke et al.
In this study, we propose to adopt a novel framework, Knowledge-integrated Machine Learning, for advancing Proton Exchange Membrane Water Electrolysis (PEMWE) development. Given the significance of PEMWE in green hydrogen production and the inherent challenges in optimizing its performance, our framework aims to meld data-driven models with domain-specific insights systematically to address the domain challenges. We first identify the uncertainties originating from data acquisition conditions, data-driven model mechanisms, and domain expertise, highlighting their complementary characteristics in carrying information from different perspectives. Building upon this foundation, we showcase how to adeptly decompose knowledge and extract unique information to contribute to the data augmentation, modeling process, and knowledge discovery. We demonstrate a hierarchical three-level framework, termed the "Ladder of Knowledge-integrated Machine Learning", in the PEMWE context, applying it to three case studies within a context of cell degradation analysis to affirm its efficacy in interpolation, extrapolation, and information representation. This research lays the groundwork for more knowledge-informed enhancements in ML applications in engineering.
LGAug 30, 2021
Explainable AI for Engineering Design: A Unified Approach of Systems Engineering and Component- Based Deep Learning Demonstrated by Energy- Efficient Building DesignPhilipp Geyer, Manav Mahan Singh, Xia Chen
Data-driven models created by machine learning, gain in importance in all fields of design and engineering. They, have high potential to assist decision-makers in creating novel, artefacts with better performance and sustainability. However,, limited generalization and the black-box nature of these models, lead to limited explainability and reusability. To overcome this, situation, we propose a component-based approach to create, partial component models by machine learning (ML). This, component-based approach aligns deep learning with systems, engineering (SE). The key contribution of the component-based, method is that activations at interfaces between the components, are interpretable engineering quantities. In this way, the, hierarchical component system forms a deep neural network, (DNN) that a priori integrates information for engineering, explainability. The, approach adapts the model structure to engineering methods of, systems engineering and to domain knowledge. We examine the, performance of the approach by the field of energy-efficient, building design: First, we observed better generalization of the, component-based method by analyzing prediction accuracy, outside the training data. Especially for representative designs, different in structure, we observe a much higher accuracy, (R2 = 0.94) compared to conventional monolithic methods, (R2 = 0.71). Second, we illustrate explainability by exemplary, demonstrating how sensitivity information from SE and rules, from low-depth decision trees serve engineering. Third, we, evaluate explainability by qualitative and quantitative methods, demonstrating the matching of preliminary knowledge and data-driven, derived strategies and show correctness of activations at, component interfaces compared to white-box simulation results, (envelope components: R2 = 0.92..0.99; zones: R2 = 0.78..0.93).