Lin Yi

Yuankai Wu, Hongyu Yang, Yi Lin et al.

Demystifying the delay propagation mechanisms among multiple airports is fundamental to precise and interpretable delay prediction, which is crucial during decision-making for all aviation industry stakeholders. The principal challenge lies in effectively leveraging the spatiotemporal dependencies and exogenous factors related to the delay propagation. However, previous works only consider limited spatiotemporal patterns with few factors. To promote more comprehensive propagation modeling for delay prediction, we propose SpatioTemporal Propagation Network (STPN), a space-time separable graph convolutional network, which is novel in spatiotemporal dependency capturing. From the aspect of spatial relation modeling, we propose a multi-graph convolution model considering both geographic proximity and airline schedule. From the aspect of temporal dependency capturing, we propose a multi-head self-attentional mechanism that can be learned end-to-end and explicitly reason multiple kinds of temporal dependency of delay time series. We show that the joint spatial and temporal learning models yield a sum of the Kronecker product, which factors the spatiotemporal dependence into the sum of several spatial and temporal adjacency matrices. By this means, STPN allows cross-talk of spatial and temporal factors for modeling delay propagation. Furthermore, a squeeze and excitation module is added to each layer of STPN to boost meaningful spatiotemporal features. To this end, we apply STPN to multi-step ahead arrival and departure delay prediction in large-scale airport networks. To validate the effectiveness of our model, we experiment with two real-world delay datasets, including U.S and China flight delays; and we show that STPN outperforms state-of-the-art methods. In addition, counterfactuals produced by STPN show that it learns explainable delay propagation patterns.

Zhiwei Wang, Jinxin Lv, Yunqiao Yang et al.

Vertebral landmark localization is a crucial step for variant spine-related clinical applications, which requires detecting the corner points of 17 vertebrae. However, the neighbor landmarks often disturb each other for the homogeneous appearance of vertebrae, which makes vertebral landmark localization extremely difficult. In this paper, we propose multi-stage cascaded convolutional neural networks (CNNs) to split the single task into two sequential steps, i.e., center point localization to roughly locate 17 center points of vertebrae, and corner point localization to find 4 corner points for each vertebra without distracted by others. Landmarks in each step are located gradually from a set of initialized points by regressing offsets via cascaded CNNs. Principal Component Analysis (PCA) is employed to preserve a shape constraint in offset regression to resist the mutual attraction of vertebrae. We evaluate our method on the AASCE dataset that consists of 609 tight spinal anterior-posterior X-ray images and each image contains 17 vertebrae composed of the thoracic and lumbar spine for spinal shape characterization. Experimental results demonstrate our superior performance of vertebral landmark localization over other state-of-the-arts with the relative error decreasing from 3.2e-3 to 7.2e-4.

Dongyue Guo, Zheng Zhang, Zhen Yan et al.

Flight Trajectory Prediction (FTP) is an essential task in Air Traffic Control (ATC), which can assist air traffic controllers in managing airspace more safely and efficiently. Existing approaches generally perform multi-horizon FTP tasks in an autoregressive manner, thereby suffering from error accumulation and low-efficiency problems. In this paper, a novel framework, called FlightBERT++, is proposed to i) forecast multi-horizon flight trajectories directly in a non-autoregressive way, and ii) improve the limitation of the binary encoding (BE) representation in the FlightBERT framework. Specifically, the proposed framework is implemented by a generalized encoder-decoder architecture, in which the encoder learns the temporal-spatial patterns from historical observations and the decoder predicts the flight status for the future horizons. Compared to conventional architecture, an innovative horizon-aware contexts generator is dedicatedly designed to consider the prior horizon information, which further enables non-autoregressive multi-horizon prediction. Additionally, the Gray code representation and the differential prediction paradigm are designed to cope with the high-bit misclassifications of the BE representation, which significantly reduces the outliers in the predictions. Moreover, a differential prompted decoder is proposed to enhance the capability of the differential predictions by leveraging the stationarity of the differential sequence. Extensive experiments are conducted to validate the proposed framework on a real-world flight trajectory dataset. The experimental results demonstrated that the proposed framework outperformed the competitive baselines in both FTP performance and computational efficiency.