Vivek Mishra

Sarit Maitra, Vivek Mishra, Pratima Verma et al.

Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) models have recently attracted a great deal of interest from a variety of application sectors. Despite significant developments in this area, there are still no standardized methods or approaches for understanding AI model outputs. A systematic and cohesive framework is also increasingly necessary to incorporate new techniques like discriminative and generative models to close the gap. This paper contributes to the discourse on XAI by presenting an empirical evaluation based on a novel framework: Sampling - Variational Auto Encoder (VAE) - Ensemble Anomaly Detection (SVEAD). It is a hybrid architecture where VAE combined with ensemble stacking and SHapley Additive exPlanations are used for imbalanced classification. The finding reveals that combining ensemble stacking, VAE, and SHAP can. not only lead to better model performance but also provide an easily explainable framework. This work has used SHAP combined with Permutation Importance and Individual Conditional Expectations to create a powerful interpretability of the model. The finding has an important implication in the real world, where the need for XAI is paramount to boost confidence in AI applications.

Sarit Maitra, Vivek Mishra, Srashti Dwivedi et al.

This study introduces a novel forecasting strategy that leverages the power of fractional differencing (FD) to capture both short- and long-term dependencies in time series data. Unlike traditional integer differencing methods, FD preserves memory in series while stabilizing it for modeling purposes. By applying FD to financial data from the SPY index and incorporating sentiment analysis from news reports, this empirical analysis explores the effectiveness of FD in conjunction with binary classification of target variables. Supervised classification algorithms were employed to validate the performance of FD series. The results demonstrate the superiority of FD over integer differencing, as confirmed by Receiver Operating Characteristic/Area Under the Curve (ROCAUC) and Mathews Correlation Coefficient (MCC) evaluations.

Sarit Maitra, Sukanya Kundu, Vivek Mishra

To determine the effectiveness of metaheuristic Differential Evolution optimization strategy for inventory management (IM) in the context of stochastic demand, this empirical study undertakes a thorough investigation. The primary objective is to discern the most effective strategy for minimizing inventory costs within the context of uncertain demand patterns. Inventory costs refer to the expenses associated with holding and managing inventory within a business. The approach combines a continuous review of IM policies with a Monte Carlo Simulation (MCS). To find the optimal solution, the study focuses on meta-heuristic approaches and compares multiple algorithms. The outcomes reveal that the Differential Evolution (DE) algorithm outperforms its counterparts in optimizing IM. To fine-tune the parameters, the study employs the Latin Hypercube Sampling (LHS) statistical method. To determine the final solution, a method is employed in this study which combines the outcomes of multiple independent DE optimizations, each initiated with different random initial conditions. This approach introduces a novel and promising dimension to the field of inventory management, offering potential enhancements in performance and cost efficiency, especially in the presence of stochastic demand patterns.