Yixiang Zheng

Defu Cao, Furong Jia, Sercan O Arik et al.

The past decade has witnessed significant advances in time series modeling with deep learning. While achieving state-of-the-art results, the best-performing architectures vary highly across applications and domains. Meanwhile, for natural language processing, the Generative Pre-trained Transformer (GPT) has demonstrated impressive performance via training one general-purpose model across various textual datasets. It is intriguing to explore whether GPT-type architectures can be effective for time series, capturing the intrinsic dynamic attributes and leading to significant accuracy improvements. In this paper, we propose a novel framework, TEMPO, that can effectively learn time series representations. We focus on utilizing two essential inductive biases of the time series task for pre-trained models: (i) decomposition of the complex interaction between trend, seasonal and residual components; and (ii) introducing the design of prompts to facilitate distribution adaptation in different types of time series. TEMPO expands the capability for dynamically modeling real-world temporal phenomena from data within diverse domains. Our experiments demonstrate the superior performance of TEMPO over state-of-the-art methods on zero shot setting for a number of time series benchmark datasets. This performance gain is observed not only in scenarios involving previously unseen datasets but also in scenarios with multi-modal inputs. This compelling finding highlights TEMPO's potential to constitute a foundational model-building framework.

Xueqing Peng, Zhuohan Xie, Yupeng Cao et al.

As AI agents improve, the central question is no longer whether they can solve isolated well-defined financial tasks, but whether they can reliably carry out financial professional work. Existing financial benchmarks offer only a partial view of this ability, as they primarily evaluate static competencies such as question answering, retrieval, summarization, and classification. We introduce Herculean, the first skilled benchmark for agentic financial intelligence spanning four representative workflows, including Trading, Hedging, Market Insights, and Auditing. Each workflow is instantiated as a standardized MCP-based skill environment with its own tools, interaction dynamics, constraints, and success criteria, enabling consistent end-to-end assessment of heterogeneous agent systems. Across frontier agents, we find agents perform relatively well on Trading and Market Insights, but struggle substantially on Hedging and Auditing, where long-horizon coordination, state consistency, and structured verification are critical. Overall, our results point to a key gap in current agents in turning financial reasoning into dependable workflow execution in high-stakes financial workflows.

Zhiwei Liu, Yangyang Yu, Yupeng Cao et al.

LLM-based financial agents increasingly rely on both numerical market data and textual signals for sequential trading and stock prediction. However, financial misinformation often appears as subtle textual perturbations rather than explicit falsehoods, making it difficult to detect while still capable of significantly altering agent reasoning and decisions. To study this risk, we propose AutoRedTrader, an autonomous red-teaming framework that generates finance-specific misinformation through behavioral bias manipulation, minor textual perturbations, and rewriting strategies, with agent feedback used to strengthen attacks over time. We evaluate AutoRedTrader in a POMDP-based financial agent simulation environment, and further examine a time-series-informed grounding setting for robustness analysis. The framework enables systematic evaluation of how subtle misinformation affects financial agents and whether historical market evidence can stabilize decisions under misleading textual signals. We evaluate the framework on Bitcoin transaction data. The results show that AutoRedTrader achieves the strongest attack performance with 69.00% misinformation exposure rate and 26.67% attack success rate, outperforming general-purpose misinformation and red-teaming baselines. Ablation studies further show that all modules contribute to generating retrievable and decision-effective financial misinformation.